Central Florida

[ocala]

virgo10 Wrote:Not much in the way of weather going on here. To put it simply it is just plain

B E A U T I F U L

cool2

I disagree. This weather is boring.
Give me summertime with afternoon thunderstorms.

[ROLLTIDE]

Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Tampa Bay Area, FL

Current Version | Previous Version | Text Only | [url=jwindow.print()]Print[/url] | Product List | Glossary Off
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32

000
FXUS62 KTBW 181311
AFDTBW

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY RUSKIN FL
811 AM EST WED NOV 18 2009

.DISCUSSION...A COLD FRONT ACROSS NORTHERN FL AND REACHING SW OVER
THE GULF HAS LITTLE SIGNIFICANT PRECIPITATION WITH IT. A RIDGE OF
HIGH PRESSURE ACROSS THE AREA IS SLOWLY BREAKING DOWN. PATCHY
EARLY MORNING FOG HAS LIFTED SOME BUT STILL PERSISTS IN SOME
LOCATIONS. EXPECT IT TO BE GONE AROUND 9 AM AND WILL UPDATE ZONES
TO REMOVE. OTHERWISE THE WINDS AND TEMPERATURES LOOK GOOD.

&&

.AVIATION...COULD SEE SOME PATCHY MVFR VISIBILITIES IN FOG LATE
TONIGHT INTO EARLY THURSDAY MORNING...OTHERWISE VFR CONDITIONS
SHOULD PREVAIL.

&&

.MARINE...LIGHT VARIABLE/SE WINDS SHIFT TO NORTH OR NW THIS AFTERNOON.
FORECAST ON TRACK AND WILL GO OUT AROUND 930 WITH ONLY SOME MINOR
CHANGES.

&&

.TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...NONE.
GULF WATERS...NONE.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION/MARINE...09/RUDE
AVIATION...69/CLOSE

[ROLLTIDE]

....

[ROLLTIDE]

..........

[ROLLTIDE]

............

[ROLLTIDE]

....

[ocala]

2.37 inches of rain yesterday!!
I'm speechless.
I guess that means my next good rain will be sometime in February.

[virgo10]

ocala Wrote:2.37 inches of rain yesterday!!
I'm speechless.
I guess that means my next good rain will be sometime in February.

Depended on where in central FL you were. We got a short lived heavy shower and that was it.

Glad some got it though. My grass is various shades of brown.

[ocala]

All three afternoon discussions from Tampa, Jville, and Melbourne mentioned a good possibility of severe weather starting Wednesday afternoon through the Thursday morning time frame.
Stay tuned.

[ChessieStorm]

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY RUSKIN FL
138 PM EST SUN NOV 29 2009

Levy-Citrus-Sumter-Hernando-Pasco-Pinellas-Hillsborough-Polk-Manatee-Hardee-Highlands-Sarasota-De Soto-Charlotte-Lee

Including the cities of Cedar Key...Chiefland..Crystal River...Inverness..Bushnell...The Villages... Brooksville..Spring Hill...New Port Richey...Zephyrhills...Clearwater...St. Petersburg...Brandon...Tampa...Lakeland...Winter Haven...Bradenton...Wauchula...Sebring...Avon Park...Sarasota...Venice...Arcadia...Port Charlotte...Punta Gorda...Cape Coral...Fort Myers

1:38 p.m. EST Sunday November 29, 2009

Potential for Severe Storms and Coastal Hazards Wednesday through Thursday.

An area of Low Pressure is expected to develop over the Western Gulf of Mexico on Tuesday. This low is then expected to intensify as it moves Northeast toward the Northern Gulf coast Tuesday night and into the Southeastern states on Wednesday...Then up along the mid-Atlantic coast Wednesday night and Thursday. Ahead of the Low an increasing moist southerly wind flow will develop over West Central and Southwest Florida during Tuesday night and Wednesday. This increasing southerly flow will help build seas over the adjacent gulf waters. These building seas will generate large breaking waves...dangerous rip currents and high surf along area beaches Wednesday through Thursday with above normal tides causing some coastal flooding at times of high tide.

The strong southerly wind flow and increasing seas will make for hazardous boating conditions over the adjacent gulf waters...and mariners...fishermen...and boating enthusiasts may want to postpone trips into the gulf until conditions improve late in the week.

As the low pressure area lifts northeast into the southeastern states on Wednesday a trailing cold front will approach from the west during the day. An increasingly moist and unstable air mass ahead of this front will set the stage for showers and thunderstorm to develop along and ahead of the front as it moves toward west central and southwest Florida. Current timing of this front would bring showers and thunderstorms into the Nature Coast by early afternoon on Wednesday...with this activity spreading south toward Tampa Bay area mid to late afternoon...and then across southwest Florida Wednesday night.

At the current time sufficient low level moisture combined with strong pre-frontal convergence and increasing wind shear within the atmosphere may support some strong to severe storms as the front moves south through the region...especially from the Bay area north through the Nature Coast...with the main hazards being damaging winds and possible tornadoes and marine waterspouts. In addition
locally heavy rainfall and deadly lightning strikes will accompany storms.

All residents and visitors of West Central and Southwest Florida should remain alert to rapidly changing weather conditions during Wednesday and Wednesday night.