Central Florida

[ROLLTIDE]

Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Tampa Bay Area, FL

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000
FXUS62 KTBW 061250
AFDTBW

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY RUSKIN FL
850 AM EDT TUE OCT 6 2009

.UPDATE...THE CURRENT SFC CHART STILL SHOWS THE STATIONARY FRONT
STRETCHED ACROSS THE PANHANDLE. SOUTH OF THE FRONT...A WEAK
WESTERLY FLOW OVER THE WATERS IS HELPING TO PRODUCE A FEW LIGHT
SHOWERS THAT HAVE TRAVERSED OUR GULF WATERS AND ARE STARTING TO
PUSH INTO COASTAL LOCATIONS FROM PINELLAS NORTHWARD TO SOUTHERN
CITRUS COUNTY. FLOW OVER LAND IS CURRENTLY VRB BUT MESO MODELS DO
SHOW A WESTERLY FLOW DEVELOPING ACROSS THE REGION LATER TODAY.
WITH THAT...WILL MAINTAIN THE HIGHEST POPS FURTHER INLAND. 12Z
SOUNDING CAME IN WITH A PERSISTENT WESTERLY FLOW JUST ABOVE THE
SFC TO AROUND 650MB SO THAT SHOULD KEEP THE EAST COAST SEA BREEZE
CLOSE THE ATLANTIC COAST THIS AFTERNOON...SO NOT EXPECTING SEA
BREEZE CONVECTION TO REACH OUR CWA. SOUNDING ALSO SHOWED SOME
IMPRESSIVE INSTABILITY PARAMETERS BUT WILL HAVE TO OVERCOME A
SLIGHT CAP AROUND 700MB.



&&

.AVIATION...CONTINUE TO EXPECT ISOLD TO SCT SHRA MOVING INLAND WITH
BRIEF MVFR CIGS/VSBYS TODAY. OTHERWISE...VFR CONDITIONS OUTSIDE OF
CONVECTION.


&&

.MARINE...SW WINDS WILL GRADUALLY VEER TO A MORE WESTERLY FLOW
THIS AFTERNOON. NO MARINE CONCERNS THIS AFTERNOON OTHER THAN
SCATTERED CONVECTION DEVELOPING LATER TODAY AND PUSHING INLAND
UNDER THE WESTERLY FLOW.


&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TPA 91 76 92 76 / 40 20 30 20
FMY 92 76 94 74 / 30 20 30 20
GIF 92 74 94 74 / 50 20 30 20
SRQ 89 75 91 75 / 30 20 30 20
BKV 90 71 92 71 / 50 20 30 20
SPG 89 78 91 79 / 30 20 30 20

&&

.TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...NONE.
GULF WATERS...NONE.
&&

$$

UPDATE/MARINE...20/BARRON
AVIATION...25/DAVIS

[ROLLTIDE]

...

[virgo10]

Quote:RECORD EVENT REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY FL
445 AM EDT THU OCT 8 2009

...RECORD HIGH MINIMUM SET AT TAMPA WEDNESDAY...

FOR THE THIRD DAY IN A ROW A NEW RECORD HIGH MINIMUM TEMPERATURE HAS
BEEN SET AT TAMPA INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT. ON WEDNESDAY...OCTOBER
7...THE LOWEST TEMPERATURE RECORDED AT TAMPA INTERNATIONAL WAS 78
DEGREES. THIS BROKE THE PREVIOUS RECORD HIGH MINIMUM OF 77 DEGREES
LAST SET JUST A COUPLE OF YEARS AGO IN 2007.

Way too hot for this time of the year. /thumbsdow

[ROLLTIDE]

...

[virgo10]

Quote:725
SXUS72 KTBW 112137
RERTBW


RECORD EVENT REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY FL
535 PM EDT SUN OCT 11 2009

...A RECORD HIGH TEMPERATURE SET AT LAKELAND...

A RECORD HIGH TEMPERATURE OF 94 DEGREES WAS SET
AT LAKELAND TODAY. THIS BREAKS THE OLD RECORD OF
93 SET IN 1986.

Several other records set today as well but Lakeland is the next town over from us. I'm ready for some cooler weather. /waiting

[virgo10]

The beat goes on.

Quote:947
SXUS72 KTBW 121244
RERTBW

RECORD EVENT REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY FL
843 AM EDT MON OCT 12 2009

...RECORD HIGH MINIMUM TEMPERATURE TIED AT TAMPA...

THE LOW YESTERDAY...SUNDAY OCTOBER 11...AT TAMPA INTERNATIONAL
AIRPORT FELL TO ONLY 76 DEGREES. THIS TIED THE RECORD FOR HIGHEST
MINIMUM TEMPERATURE ON THE DATE...ORIGINALLY SET IN 1934.

THIS MARKS THE FIFTH TIME IN THE PAST WEEK THAT A RECORD FOR HIGHEST
MINIMUM TEMPERATURE HAS BEEN TIED OR BROKEN AT TAMPA.

RECORDS IN THE TAMPA AREA DATE BACK TO 1890.

[ocala]

I hear ya.
Yesterday the weather station at the house hit 94.9!!!
Supposed to be some relief this weekend.

[virgo10]

ocala Wrote:I hear ya.
Yesterday the weather station at the house hit 94.9!!!
Supposed to be some relief this weekend.

The Tampa weather people are saying the high on Sat. and Sun will be 80. Sounds good to me. /bgsmile

[virgo10]

More hot weather records.

Quote:982
SXUS72 KTBW 152248
RERTBW

RECORD EVENT REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY FL
647 PM EDT THU OCT 15 2009

...RECORD HIGH MINIMUM TEMPERATURE SET AT ST. PETERSBURG AND TAMPA...

THE MORNING LOW AT ST. PETERSBURG-ALBERT WHITTED FOR OCTOBER 15 WAS
79 DEGREES. UNLESS THE TEMPERATURE DROPS BELOW THAT BEFORE
MIDNIGHT...THIS WILL BREAK THE OLD RECORD OF 78 DEGREES SET IN 1984.

THE MORNING LOW AT TAMPA FOR OCTOBER 15 WAS 77 DEGREES. UNLESS
THE TEMPERATURE DROPS BELOW THAT BEFORE MIDNIGHT...THIS WILL BREAK
THE OLD RECORD OF 74 DEGREES SET IN 1999.

...RECORD HIGH MINIMUM TEMPERATURE TIED AT FORT MYERS AND LAKELAND...

THE MORNING LOW AT FORT MYERS-PAGE FIELD FOR OCTOBER 15 WAS 75
DEGREES. UNLESS THE TEMPERATURE DROPS BELOW THAT BEFORE
MIDNIGHT...THIS WILL TIE THE OLD RECORD SET IN 1915.

THE MORNING LOW AT LAKELAND FOR OCTOBER 15 WAS 73 DEGREES. UNLESS
THE TEMPERATURE DROPS BELOW THAT BEFORE MIDNIGHT...THIS WILL TIE THE
OLD RECORD SET IN 1999.

[ChessieStorm]

You people in the central part of the state should see 50's for overnight lows on Saturday and Sunday nights.

We here are forecasted to be in the 40's, which won't be close to the record which is 39° both nights. But it will be chilly compared to what we've been experiencing.