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Winter weather thread 2/12/07-2/14/07
02-12-2007, 08:43 PM
Post: #61
Winter weather thread 2/12/07-2/14/07
DesertBoots Wrote:Rain changed to heavy wet snow here in ne Kansas. Even some rumbles of thunder. Very large wet flakes that are having no problem sticking to the ground. Would not be surprised to see well over 6 inches by morning.

Keep us updated if you can, this will be interesting to see who all gets what.
Thanks for the info Desertboots. Wink

I am only a weather enthusiast, my opinions are just that, my opinions. Alway's stay informed with your local weather pro's.
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02-12-2007, 09:34 PM
Post: #62
Winter weather thread 2/12/07-2/14/07
About 2" on ground in about 1 1/2 hours. Snowing moderately now at 33 F, so it is very wet. Off to the east in Topeka still raining but that should quickly change over anytime now. Looks like deformation band organizing nicely to our south and west. Reports are coming in of 5-6 inches to our west.
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02-12-2007, 09:54 PM
Post: #63
Winter weather thread 2/12/07-2/14/07
Wow!!! I am really starting to get a little bit nervous and excited about this system. They are saying up to 8 inches here. I truly miss the snows we had when I was growing up.

I am only a weather enthusiast, my opinions are just that, my opinions. Alway's stay informed with your local weather pro's.
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02-12-2007, 11:47 PM
Post: #64
Winter weather thread 2/12/07-2/14/07
Winter Storm Warning

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGENATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC907 PM EST MON FEB 12 2007...SIGNIFICANT WINTER STORM TO AFFECT THE REGION....LOW PRESSURE OVER NORTH TEXAS THIS EVENING WILL MOVE EAST OVERNIGHT.THE LOW WILL MOVE NORTHEAST INTO THE TENNESSEE VALLEY TUESDAY ANDINTO THE OHIO VALLEY TUESDAY NIGHT. MEANWHILE...A SECONDARY LOWWILL DEVELOP TUESDAY NIGHT NEAR CAPE HATTERAS AND MOVE UP THE EASTERNSEABOARD WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY. THE COMBINATION OF THE TWO LOWPRESSURE SYSTEMS WILL SPREAD A VARIETY OF WINTRY PRECIPITATIONINTO THE REGION FROM TONIGHT THROUGH EARLY WEDNESDAY.DCZ001-MDZ004>007-009>011-013-014-VAZ039>042-050>056-131015-/O.UPG.KLWX.WS.A.0001.070213T1200Z-070214T1900Z//O.EXA.KLWX.WS.W.0002.070213T0900Z-070214T1900Z/DISTRICT OF COLUMBIA-FREDERICK MD-CARROLL-NORTHERN BALTIMORE-HARFORD-MONTGOMERY-HOWARD-SOUTHERN BALTIMORE-PRINCE GEORGES-ANNE ARUNDEL-MADISON-RAPPAHANNOCK-FAUQUIER-LOUDOUN-ORANGE-CULPEPER-PRINCE WILLIAM/MANASSAS/MANASSAS PARK-FAIRFAX-ARLINGTON/FALLS CHURCH/ALEXANDRIA-STAFFORD-SPOTSYLVANIA-INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WASHINGTON...FREDERICK...WESTMINSTER...GAITHERSBURG...COLUMBIA...BALTIMORE.​..ANNAPOLIS...LEESBURG...CULPEPER...MANASSAS...MANASSAS PARK...FAIRFAX...ALEXANDRIA...FALLS CHURCH...FREDERICKSBURG907 PM EST MON FEB 12 2007...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 4 AM TUESDAY TO 2 PM ESTWEDNESDAY...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN STERLING VIRGINIA HAS ISSUED AWINTER STORM WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 4 AM TUESDAY TO2 PM EST WEDNESDAY. THE WINTER STORM WATCH IS NO LONGER INEFFECT.SIGNIFICANT FREEZING RAIN IS EXPECTED OVER THE WASHINGTON ANDBALTIMORE METROPOLITAN AREAS...NORTHERN VIRGINIA AND CENTRAL ANDNORTHERN MARYLAND TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT. LATEST INDICATIONSCONTINUE TO SUGGEST WARM AIR A FEW THOUSAND FEET ABOVE THE SURFACEWILL BE DRAWN INTO THE SYSTEM...SETTING THE STAGE FOR ASIGNIFICANT FREEZING RAIN EVENT AS SURFACE TEMPERATURES AREEXPECTED TO REMAIN BELOW FREEZING WHEN THE PRECIPITATION ISOCCURRING. ONE QUARTER TO ONE HALF INCH OF ICE IS EXPECTED IN THEWARNING AREA.PERIODS OF LIGHT SNOW WILL CONTINUE THIS EVENING AND OVERNIGHTTONIGHT OVER NORTHERN VIRGINIA...MUCH OF MARYLAND WEST OF THE BAYAND THE BALTIMORE AND WASHINGTON METROPOLITAN AREAS. TUESDAYMORNING...SNOW WILL MIX WITH SLEET. DURING THE AFTERNOON ANDEVENING HOURS...MIXED SNOW AND SLEET WILL GRADUALLY CHANGE TOFREEZING RAIN.SNOW AND SLEET ACCUMULATIONS THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING COULD TOTALAROUND AN INCH NORTHWEST OF WASHINGTON AND BALTIMORE. CENTRALVIRGINIA AND THE PIEDMONT ARE NOT EXPECTED TO SEE SIGNIFICANT SNOWACCUMULATIONS THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING.TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT...SIGNIFICANT ACCUMULATIONS OF FREEZINGRAIN ARE LIKELY ACROSS THE REGION. TEMPERATURES ARE FORECAST TOREMAIN BELOW FREEZING FROM MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING.THOSE WITH TRAVEL PLANS...DECISION MAKERS...AND PLANNERS SHOULDCLOSELY MONITOR FORECASTS FOR UPDATES. ACCUMULATING FREEZING RAINWILL CAUSE TRAVEL PROBLEMS.STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR LOCAL MEDIA OUTLET FORTHE LATEST UPDATES ON THIS WINTER WEATHER EVENT.A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW...SLEET...AND ICE ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. STRONG WINDS ARE ALSOPOSSIBLE...ESPECIALLY DURING THE DAY WEDNESDAY.

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02-13-2007, 06:40 AM
Post: #65
Winter weather thread 2/12/07-2/14/07
Blizzard Warning
URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA
342 AM EST TUE FEB 13 2007

...MAJOR WINTER STORM WILL HIT THE AREA TODAY AND TONIGHT...

.A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM OVER ARKANSAS WILL MOVE NORTHEAST TO WEST
VIRGINIA ON WEDNESDAY MORNING. THIS SYSTEM WILL CAUSE HEAVY SNOW
ACROSS THE AREA TODAY AND TONIGHT. STRONG NORTHEAST WINDS WILL
CAUSE BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW RESULTING IN WHITEOUTS AND SOME
ROADS BECOMING IMPASSABLE DUE TO DRIFTING. THE WORST CONDITIONS
ARE EXPECTED SOUTH OF A KNOX INDIANA TO WAUSEON OHIO LINE WHERE
THE HEAVIEST SNOW WILL FALL. TRAVEL IS DISCOURAGED. HIGHWAYS THAT
WILL BE AFFECTED INCLUDE INTERSTATES 69... 65... 75... 80... 90...
AND 94... AND ROUTES 6... 24... 27... 30... 31... 33... AND 127.

INZ008-009-012>018-020-022>027-032>034-OHZ001-002-004-005-015-016-
024-025-131645-
/O.CAN.KIWX.WS.W.0002.000000T0000Z-070214T1200Z/
/O.NEW.KIWX.BZ.W.0002.070213T0842Z-070214T1200Z/
NOBLE-DE KALB-STARKE-PULASKI-MARSHALL-FULTON IN-KOSCIUSKO-WHITLEY-
ALLEN IN-WHITE-CASS IN-MIAMI-WABASH-HUNTINGTON-WELLS-ADAMS-GRANT-
BLACKFORD-JAY-WILLIAMS-FULTON OH-DEFIANCE-HENRY-PAULDING-PUTNAM-
VAN WERT-ALLEN OH-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...KENDALLVILLE...LIGONIER...AUBURN...
GARRETT...KNOX...NORTH JUDSON...WINAMAC...FRANCESVILLE...
PLYMOUTH...BREMEN...ROCHESTER...WARSAW...WINONA LAKE...
COLUMBIA CITY...SOUTH WHITLEY...FORT WAYNE...MONTICELLO...
BROOKSTON...LOGANSPORT...PERU...WABASH...NORTH MANCHESTER...
HUNTINGTON...BLUFFTON...OSSIAN...DECATUR...BERNE...MARION...
HARTFORD CITY...MONTPELIER...PORTLAND...BRYAN...WAUSEON...
ARCHBOLD...DEFIANCE...NAPOLEON...PAULDING...ANTWERP...OTTAWA...
PANDORA...VAN WERT...DELPHOS...LIMA
342 AM EST TUE FEB 13 2007 /242 AM CST TUE FEB 13 2007/

...WINTER STORM WARNING IS CANCELLED...
...BLIZZARD WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST /6 AM CST/
WEDNESDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN NORTHERN INDIANA HAS ISSUED A
BLIZZARD WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST /6 AM CST/
WEDNESDAY. THE WINTER STORM WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED.

A COMBINATION OF HEAVY SNOW AND STRONG NORTHEAST WINDS WILL RESULT
IN BLIZZARD CONDITIONS DEVELOPING OVER MUCH OF NORTHERN INDIANA
AND NORTHWEST OHIO TODAY AND TONIGHT. IN ADDITION IT WILL BE VERY
COLD WITH WIND CHILLS FALLING BELOW ZERO BY THIS AFTERNOON AND
CONTINUING TONIGHT. STORM TOTAL SNOWFALL ACCUMULATIONS ARE
EXPECTED TO RANGE FROM 10 TO 15 INCHES WITH HEAVIEST AMOUNTS OVER
SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF THE AREA.

A BLIZZARD WARNING MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. FALLING AND BLOWING SNOW WITH STRONG WINDS
AND POOR VISIBILITIES ARE LIKELY. THIS WILL LEAD TO WHITEOUT
CONDITIONS AND SOME ROADS BECOMING IMPASSABLE DUE TO DRIFTING
SNOW...MAKING TRAVEL EXTREMELY DANGEROUS. DO NOT TRAVEL. IF YOU
MUST...HAVE A WINTER SURVIVAL KIT WITH YOU. IF YOU GET
STRANDED...STAY WITH YOUR VEHICLE.

[SIGPIC][/SIGPIC]


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02-13-2007, 07:37 AM
Post: #66
Winter weather thread 2/12/07-2/14/07
[Image: mcd0145.gif]

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0145
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0619 AM CST TUE FEB 13 2007

AREAS AFFECTED...SERN IN...SWRN OH...FAR NRN KY

CONCERNING...FREEZING RAIN

VALID 131219Z - 131815Z

FREEZING RAIN RATES AROUND 0.05 IN/HR ARE LIKELY THROUGH THE MORNING
HOURS...INCREASING TO 0.10 IN/HR AT TIMES. SIGNIFICANT ICING
POSSIBLE. IN ADDITION...MDT TO HVY SNOW RATES UP TO 1.00 IN/HR ARE
POSSIBLE JUST N OF FREEZING RAIN AREA.

12Z SURFACE ANALYSIS SHOWED FREEZING LINE ALONG THE OH/KY BORDER
EXTENDING NWWD INTO WRN INDIANA. AS LOW DEVELOPS NEWD INTO
KY/TN...PRESSURE FALLS WILL MAINTAIN NELY SURFACE WINDS AND COLD AIR
ADVECTION. MEANWHILE...WARM ADVECTION ABOVE SUB-FREEZING LAYER WILL
INCREASE WITH TIME AND AID IN NWD TRANSPORT OF RICH MOISTURE.
FARTHER N...COLUMN WILL REMAIN TOTALLY BELOW FREEZING WITH MDT TO
OCCASIONALLY HVY SNOW RATES OF 0.50-1.00 IN/HR ARE LIKELY ACROSS ERN
IN/WRN OH.

..JEWELL.. 02/13/2007


ATTN...WFO...RLX...ILN...LMK...IWX...IND...

39338626 39598648 39908654 40158583 40308534 40398423
40348325 40118257 39708220 39278216 38958240 38748299
38668346 38588402 38748494 38948559

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02-13-2007, 07:40 AM (This post was last modified: 03-23-2007 04:27 PM by Race2Beach.)
Post: #67
Winter weather thread 2/12/07-2/14/07
.

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02-13-2007, 07:45 AM (This post was last modified: 03-23-2007 04:27 PM by Race2Beach.)
Post: #68
Winter weather thread 2/12/07-2/14/07
.

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02-13-2007, 07:50 AM
Post: #69
Winter weather thread 2/12/07-2/14/07
[Image: day1_psnow_gt_12.gif]

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02-13-2007, 08:05 AM (This post was last modified: 03-23-2007 04:27 PM by Race2Beach.)
Post: #70
Winter weather thread 2/12/07-2/14/07
Mesoscale Discussion 0146
Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok
0655 Am Cst Tue Feb 13 2007

Areas Affected...e Cntrl Mo...cntrl Il...w Cntrl In

Concerning...winter Mixed Precipitation

Valid 131255z - 131830z

Mixed Precipitation Over Ern Mo And Swrn Il Will Gradually Change To
All Snow Through The Morning With Rates Up To 1.00 In/hr.

Cold Advection Will Strengthen As Surface Low Moves Newd Out Of Ar.
This Will Allow Column To Cool And Precipitation To Change To All
Snow. Models Indicate This Will Occur From 14-15z In The St. Louis
Area. Farther E...periods Of Freezing Rain Will Persist Across
Portions Of E Cntrl Il...just N Of Surface Freezing Line. Several
Hours Of Freezing Rain May Cause Significant Glazing Across A Narrow
Zone From Just N And W Of Terre Haute Ind To N Of Vandalia Il As
Changeover To Snow Is Not Expected Until Very Late In The Morning.

..jewell.. 02/13/2007


Attn...wfo...ind...lot...ilx...lsx...sgf...

40168666 39588717 39328766 39038909 38458980 38069024
37799067 37919140 38009179 38579223 39249191 40049080
40478918 40488782 40518720

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