Post Reply 
2004 Winter Outlook
10-03-2004, 09:29 PM
Post: #21
2004 Winter Outlook
if anything, I hope we get some measurable snow this year. Last year, we got some flurries the day before Thanksgiving, something rare for this area.
Find all posts by this user
Quote this message in a reply
10-04-2004, 04:18 PM
Post: #22
2004 Winter Outlook
The cold shot will be short lived unfortantely for those winter weather lovers. Don't worry, I'm observing a similar pattern that led to some snow in the 2002 and some other years. In fact it will be quite cold for november overall. The water in the Gulf of Alaska is mataining itself and maybe a trough will develop, then you get some winter weather. Tom. will be more colder then normal, high's only topping out in the upper 50's, frost is likely but not in the Virginia coast area. Up here in Long Island everything becomes frozen the bay, the ocean. It's wicked cold up here in the winter, last year our coldest temp was -10 F. I've been to Alaska in the winter, Yukon Territory, hunted deer and bear, went down to -56 F one night. On a different note, it's going to get pretty windy around here, gusts up to 35 mphs.
Find all posts by this user
Quote this message in a reply
10-04-2004, 10:09 PM
Post: #23
2004 Winter Outlook
darn you have all the fun <a href='http://www.smileycentral.com/?partner=ZSzeb008' target='_blank'><img src='http://smileys.smileycentral.com/cat/4/4_9_13.gif' alt='Blue' border=0></a>



I want to move to Alaska some day.
Find all posts by this user
Quote this message in a reply
10-07-2004, 10:43 PM
Post: #24
2004 Winter Outlook
any new developments on this winter's forecast? I don't see any sites with this winter's forecast.
Find all posts by this user
Quote this message in a reply
10-08-2004, 05:35 PM
Post: #25
2004 Winter Outlook
Not any for now Starfish, possibly in Novemember. The rest of October should have it's ups and downs but more up's then downs, Novemember is a different story...by then significant cooling of the atmosphere has occured, and the polar front starts acting up. November should be colder then average, with more percipatation. Look for an early novemember storm this year, as the clues are pointing to it...the SOI is going negative and will allow more storms that pefer shear, and baroclinic forcing. The wave by the leeward islands is entraining heat (latent) from the TUTT (tropical upper tropospheric trough) and pushing it north, I would it watch very carefully if you have relatives in the Newfoundland area, it could easily produce winds of 65 mph's plus. That's it for now, more later.
Find all posts by this user
Quote this message in a reply
10-08-2004, 11:31 PM
Post: #26
2004 Winter Outlook
thanks, I only have relatives as far up as New York State, but they're used to the winter weather. I'm jealous of them.
Find all posts by this user
Quote this message in a reply
10-09-2004, 07:18 AM
Post: #27
2004 Winter Outlook
Here comes winter Smile


EXTENDED...EXPECT DRY CONDITIONS TO PERSIST ON WEDNESDAY...THEN THE
GFS CONTINUES TO SHOW A FAST MOVING COLD FRONT PUSHING ACROSS THE
AREA EARLY ON THURSDAY...BUT MOISTURE AND INSTABILITY IS STILL
LIMITED...SO WILL CONTINUE WITH ONLY A SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN ON
THURSDAY. BEHIND THE FRONT...A STRONG CANADIAN RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE
USHERS IN A MUCH COOLER AIRMASS...WITH LONG RANGE MOS GUIDANCE
SHOWING LOWS IN THE 40S-50S AND HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S BY NEXT
FRIDAY.
Visit this user's website Find all posts by this user
Quote this message in a reply
10-09-2004, 08:00 AM
Post: #28
2004 Winter Outlook
Another cold shot looks like it going to come down next weekend, with highs in the upper 40's. Maybe this one will bring with it some flurries. The winter is starting to rev it's engine up, these cold shots should start to become much more common.
Find all posts by this user
Quote this message in a reply
10-09-2004, 02:24 PM
Post: #29
2004 Winter Outlook
awwwwwww, but probably not for us I bet. I hate not being farther north.
Find all posts by this user
Quote this message in a reply
10-18-2004, 05:59 PM
Post: #30
2004 Winter Outlook
The overall difference in amplitude of the rosby waves (trof's and ridges) is on the decrease for the rest of the week. My rule of thumb is that if the overall pattern flatten's out, watch out in 10 days for some sharp amplitude trof to come down. This will most likely occur by Halloween time, with the teleconnection pattern going some well this year and the high latitude blocking going on, I think we could see something pop off the Florida coast by trick or treat time. And by the way don't except above normal temperatures for this week on the east coast, more like, except seasonable cool temperatures this week. The timing may be off for this storm, but I'm pretty confident there will be something coming.
Find all posts by this user
Quote this message in a reply
Post Reply 


Forum Jump:


User(s) browsing this thread: 2 Guest(s)