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former Invest 94L BOC
06-26-2006, 06:19 PM
Post: #1
former Invest 94L BOC
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/watl/loop-avn.html
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06-26-2006, 07:09 PM
Post: #2
former Invest 94L BOC
looks delightfully delicious right now.

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06-26-2006, 07:25 PM
Post: #3
former Invest 94L BOC
Convection spawned by interaction of a tropical wave w/upper level difluence, nothing terribly organized as of now, execpt coastal Nicaragua, and into Belize seems to be a mid level circulation trying to get going. NW Caribbean surface pressures have not gone down compared to 24 hrs ago, but they are somewhat low already. The Canadian & NOGAPS off and on have been trying to get something going here as it eventually could move into the Bay of Campeche in a couple of days.
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06-29-2006, 08:48 AM
Post: #4
former Invest 94L BOC
As anticipated, this tropical wave or disturbance is now moving into the BOC, interesting mid level circulation observed this morning on satellite, I checked buoys this morning and nothing going on at the surface, w/very light winds, pressures high and not falling. BOC Mexican coastal area show pressures around 1014 MB, slightly lower than 24 hrs ago.
Models continue to take this moisture up the Mexican coastal areas into southern TX or LA. The GFS & Nogaps show it more towards TX while the Canadian more towards LA.

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06-29-2006, 02:13 PM
Post: #5
former Invest 94L BOC
[Image: avn-l.jpg]

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06-29-2006, 02:29 PM
Post: #6
former Invest 94L BOC
This is getting interesting, I did a research of the current winds aroung that area of disturbed weather and I put it on the Sat pix, but you can get an idea that there is a circulation trying to get going at the surface, you may ask that the winds are not that strong or that the pressures are not that low, but remember that this area usually produces small cyclones this time of the year with very small windfield and circulation. I wish the Mexican radars would had been working in that area so that we could get a better picture.

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06-29-2006, 02:32 PM
Post: #7
former Invest 94L BOC
If this was 50 miles to the NE then there is no doubt in my mind that that this would be our next TS .

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06-29-2006, 02:41 PM
Post: #8
former Invest 94L BOC
I agree, lets see if a LLC is trying to develop if it stays just offshore a few miles to get further development. I've seen them develop in that area before without too much room.
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06-29-2006, 02:59 PM
Post: #9
former Invest 94L BOC
Audrey
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06-29-2006, 03:21 PM
Post: #10
former Invest 94L BOC
JB thinks that this will turn to the north

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