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HURRICANE BARRY
07-06-2019, 02:52 PM (This post was last modified: 07-13-2019 09:56 AM by ROLLTIDE.)
Post: #1
Tongue HURRICANE BARRY
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM EDT Sat Jul 6 2019

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

1. A trough of low pressure over western Kentucky, Tennessee and
northern Mississippi is forecast to move over the northeastern Gulf
of Mexico where a low pressure area could form early next week.
Some gradual development of the system is then possible as it drifts
westward over the northern Gulf of Mexico through midweek.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

Forecaster Blake

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07-07-2019, 07:08 AM
Post: #2
RE: Gulf Of Mexico July 2019 !!
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Sun Jul 7 2019

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

1. A trough of low pressure over the southeastern United States is
forecast to move southward toward the northeastern Gulf of Mexico,
where a broad low pressure area will likely form in a few days.
Thereafter, upper-level winds support some development of this
system while it meanders near the northeastern Gulf of Mexico coast
through Friday.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent.

Forecaster Blake

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07-07-2019, 10:02 AM
Post: #3
RE: Gulf Of Mexico July 2019 !!
[Image: image_full5.png?1f4e48f221f1e1f9be362422ac3f8524]

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07-07-2019, 10:02 AM
Post: #4
RE: Gulf Of Mexico July 2019 !!
Someone name the last home brewed system to form in the GOM ?

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07-07-2019, 01:33 PM
Post: #5
RE: Gulf Of Mexico July 2019 !!
50% now

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07-08-2019, 06:29 AM (This post was last modified: 07-08-2019 06:44 AM by ROLLTIDE.)
Post: #6
RE: Gulf Of Mexico July 2019 !!
Up to 80% now guess that I need to get the surge cam up and running at the beach house

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07-08-2019, 09:28 AM (This post was last modified: 07-08-2019 09:46 AM by Joe-Nathan.)
Post: #7
RE: Gulf Of Mexico July 2019 !!
This think may a spread surge from Mississippi to Texas this week. We are already starting our storm plans (checking/fueling office generators, getting equipment in from offshore, etc). The GOM is warm (average 28C) and primed for quick development. Will be interesting to see what happens. EURO has TS landfalling on TX coast, GFS = weak system hitting LA/MS coast. Will be a painful week model watching!!!

Screen shot of GOM:

   

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07-08-2019, 01:18 PM
Post: #8
RE: Gulf Of Mexico July 2019 !!
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM EDT Mon Jul 8 2019

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

1. A trough of low pressure located over central Georgia is forecast
to move southward toward the northeastern Gulf of Mexico, where a
broad area of low pressure is expected to form on Wednesday.
Environmental and ocean conditions are forecast to be conducive for
development and a tropical depression is likely to form by the end
of the week while the low moves slowly westward over northern Gulf
of Mexico. Regardless of development, this system has the potential
to produce heavy rainfall along portions of the northern and eastern
U.S. Gulf Coast later this week. For more information about the
rainfall threat, please see products issued by your local weather
forecast office and the NOAA Weather Prediction Center. Interests
along the Gulf Coast from the Upper Texas coast to the western
Florida peninsula should monitor the progress of this system.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent.

Forecaster Stewart

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07-08-2019, 01:43 PM
Post: #9
RE: Gulf Of Mexico July 2019 !!
Some early model runs:

[Image: 92L_tracks_latest.png]


[Image: 92L_gefs_latest.png]

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07-08-2019, 06:32 PM
Post: #10
RE: Gulf Of Mexico July 2019 !!
[Image: storm_92.gif]

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