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Subtropical Storm Alberto
05-23-2018, 06:59 AM
Post: #11
RE: INVEST 90L Discussion Thread – Gulf of Mexico



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05-23-2018, 08:47 AM
Post: #12
RE: INVEST 90L Discussion Thread – Gulf of Mexico
Special Tropical Weather Outlook...Corrected
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Wed May 23 2018

Corrected header

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

1. A broad surface low centered near the coast of northeastern Belize
continues to produce a large area of cloudiness and showers
extending from the northwestern Caribbean Sea across Cuba and into
the Florida Straits. Little development is expected during the
next couple of days due to strong upper-level winds and proximity to
the Yucatan Peninsula. However, environmental conditions are then
forecast to become more conducive for development, and a subtropical
or tropical depression could form this weekend over the eastern or
central Gulf of Mexico. Regardless of development, locally heavy
rainfall is possible across western Cuba and the Cayman Islands
during the next few days, and over much of Florida and the
northern Gulf Coast during the weekend. For more information on the
heavy rain threat, please see products issued by your local weather
office. The next Special Tropical Weather Outlook on this system
will be issued by 800 PM EDT.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent.

Forecaster Blake

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05-23-2018, 02:58 PM
Post: #13
RE: INVEST 90L Discussion Thread – Gulf of Mexico
Mother Nature's Timing really blows!
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05-23-2018, 06:38 PM
Post: #14
RE: INVEST 90L Discussion Thread – Gulf of Mexico
70%

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05-24-2018, 06:32 AM
Post: #15
RE: INVEST 90L Discussion Thread – Gulf of Mexico
[Image: image4.png?7784e2fe21c31902a6656767ab16fa1c]

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05-24-2018, 07:49 AM
Post: #16
RE: INVEST 90L Discussion Thread – Gulf of Mexico
8AM
Quote: CZC MIATWOAT ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

Special Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
740 AM EDT Thu May 24 2018

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

1. A broad, stationary surface low pressure system centered over the
southeastern Yucatan Peninsula is gradually becoming better defined.
Although showers and thunderstorms, along with strong gusty winds,
are confined primarily to the adjacent waters of the northwestern
Caribbean Sea, gradual development of this system is expected during
the next couple of days as it drifts northward near the Yucatan
Peninsula. Environmental conditions are forecast to become more
conducive for development through early next week, and a subtropical
or tropical depression is likely to form by late Saturday over the
southeastern Gulf of Mexico. Regardless of development, locally
heavy rainfall is forecast across western Cuba and over much of
Florida and the northern Gulf Coast into early next week. In
addition, the threat of rip currents will steadily increase along
the Gulf coast from Florida westward to Louisiana over Memorial Day
weekend. For more information on these threats, please see products
issued by your local weather office. The next Special Tropical
Weather Outlook on this system will be issued by 200 PM EDT this
afternoon.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent.

Forecaster Stewart

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05-24-2018, 10:07 AM
Post: #17
RE: INVEST 90L Discussion Thread – Gulf of Mexico
Too busy to do the research right now. Have seen a few people post on FB this morning that the models are now predicting a cat 1 between NOLA and Destin on Tuesday or Wednesday. Any truth to this? I'll check back in a bit to see if there are any responses. Sorry again, normally, I'd just check for myself. TIA
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05-24-2018, 10:19 AM
Post: #18
RE: INVEST 90L Discussion Thread – Gulf of Mexico
(05-24-2018 10:07 AM)twiztidcabbie Wrote:  Too busy to do the research right now. Have seen a few people post on FB this morning that the models are now predicting a cat 1 between NOLA and Destin on Tuesday or Wednesday. Any truth to this? I'll check back in a bit to see if there are any responses. Sorry again, normally, I'd just check for myself. TIA

I doubt it gets that strong . It will be your typical hybrid looking early season mess that we always see this time of the year in the GOM. I have a feeling they will name it so they can pad stats and issue a tropical storm warnings . Shear will keep this thing in check but it will still be a bad 4 or 5 days to be at the beach . Looking forward to testing out some new tech out and do some live streaming Tongue

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05-24-2018, 11:43 AM (This post was last modified: 05-24-2018 11:44 AM by jmproductions.)
Post: #19
RE: INVEST 90L Discussion Thread – Gulf of Mexico
We'll be camping but going to Palmetto Island State Park hopefully far enough west that it will not rain all weekend. This storm had the timing just right. usually it's labor day that gets messed up every year lol.
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05-24-2018, 12:28 PM (This post was last modified: 05-24-2018 02:05 PM by Flametamr.)
Post: #20
RE: INVEST 90L Discussion Thread – Gulf of Mexico
Were camping at Gulf State park all week and everyone put it coming here. I read on Facebook that the GFS has predicted it making Cat 1. If tropical storm or higher were bugging out. I have a large camper but not going to risk it. Besides we're only an hour from home.
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