HURRICANE NATE

[ROLLTIDE]

2pm

Quote: NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM EDT Tue Oct 3 2017

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

1. Satellite images and surface observations indicate that a broad
area of low pressure has formed over the southwestern Caribbean
Sea. Environmental conditions appear generally conducive for
development, and this system could become a tropical depression
within the next few days while it drifts northwestward to northward
across the northwestern Caribbean and adjacent land areas and into
the Gulf of Mexico by the weekend. Regardless of development, this
system will likely produce heavy rains over portions of Central
America during the next few days.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent.

[ROLLTIDE]

90L

[Alex]

Saw that the NHC hinted at this yesterday. Finally appears today at 40% chance of development. No repeat of Opal please.

[brentwpb]

(10-03-2017 02:19 PM)Alex Wrote:  Saw that the NHC hinted at this yesterday. Finally appears today at 40% chance of development. No repeat of Opal please.

I saw yesterday on a video blog that it was supposed to travel over Florida as a low pressure

Sent from my SAMSUNG-SM-G935A using Tapatalk

[Squirrelmonkey]

friggin yippee...........

[ROLLTIDE]

Code red likely a TD/TS tomorrow

[ROLLTIDE]

8pm

Quote: 800 PM EDT Tue Oct 3 2017

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

1. Shower and thunderstorm activity in association with the broad
area of low pressure located over the southwestern Caribbean Sea
is beginning to show some signs of organization. Environmental
conditions are forecast to steadily become more conducive for
development, and this system is expected to become a tropical
depression within the next few days. The large disturbance should
move slowly northwestward to northward across or near the eastern
portions of Nicaragua and Honduras, move into the northwestern
Caribbean Sea on Thursday or Friday, and emerge over the southern
Gulf of Mexico by the weekend. Interests in Nicaragua and Honduras
should monitor the progress of this system over the next couple of
days. An Air Force Reserve reconnaissance aircraft is scheduled to
investigate the disturbance Wednesday afternoon, if necessary.
Regardless of development, this system will likely produce heavy
rains over portions of Central America during the next few days.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent.

[Katz5617]

Well double frick and frack. I thought we were done for the season. We just put back out the lawn furniture, grills and put everything back out on the pier because we thought we were far enough into the season to begin enjoying fall at the beach.

[Alex]

The splash image on the NWS Mobile home page is already referencing Invest 90L

Quote: HEADS UP - There is now a HIGH (80%) chance for tropical development as a
broad area of low pressure over the southwestern Caribbean moves into
the Gulf of Mexico over the next 5 days. There is the potential for this
system to approach the northern Gulf Coast THIS WEEKEND. It is still
far too early to discuss possible or specific impacts across our area,
as there are still too many uncertainties. Stay up-to-date with the
tropics by bookmarking http://www.hurricanes.gov and
http://www.weather.gov/srh/tropical?office=mob.

[ROLLTIDE]

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Wed Oct 4 2017

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Showers and thunderstorms associated with an area of low pressure
located over the southwestern Caribbean Sea have become better
organized since yesterday. This system is expected to become a
tropical depression later today while it moves northwestward toward
the coast of Nicaragua. The low should move slowly northwestward
across or near the eastern portions of Nicaragua and Honduras on
Thursday, move into the northwestern Caribbean Sea by Friday, and
emerge over the southern Gulf of Mexico by Saturday. Interests in
Nicaragua, Honduras, the Yucatan peninsula and western Cuba should
monitor the progress of this system as watches or warnings could be
issued later today. An Air Force Reserve reconnaissance aircraft is
scheduled to investigate the disturbance this afternoon. Regardless
of development, this system will produce heavy rains over portions
of Central America during the next few days, likely causing flash
floods and mudslides.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent.