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Invest 99
09-29-2017, 07:43 AM
Post: #1
Invest 99
Probably not much of a threat to develop, but will bring some heavy rains to South Florida.

[Image: storm_99.gif]

Quote: 1. A broad trough of low pressure interacting with an upper-level
low is producing a large but disorganized area of cloudiness and
showers. This activity extends from the northwestern Caribbean
Sea northward across western Cuba to the southern Florida peninsula.
This trough has moved slowly westward since yesterday, and a weak
low is now likely to form from this system near the west coast of
Florida during the weekend. Environmental conditions appear to be
conducive for some development of the low before the upper-level
winds become less favorable early next week. Regardless of
development, this system is likely to produce locally heavy rainfall
over portions of central and western Cuba, the Florida Keys, the
Florida peninsula during the next several days.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent.

AARoads
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09-29-2017, 07:51 AM
Post: #2
RE: Invest 99
(09-29-2017 07:43 AM)Alex Wrote:  Probably not much of a threat to develop, but will bring some heavy rains to South Florida.

[Image: storm_99.gif]

Quote: 1. A broad trough of low pressure interacting with an upper-level
low is producing a large but disorganized area of cloudiness and
showers. This activity extends from the northwestern Caribbean
Sea northward across western Cuba to the southern Florida peninsula.
This trough has moved slowly westward since yesterday, and a weak
low is now likely to form from this system near the west coast of
Florida during the weekend. Environmental conditions appear to be
conducive for some development of the low before the upper-level
winds become less favorable early next week. Regardless of
development, this system is likely to produce locally heavy rainfall
over portions of central and western Cuba, the Florida Keys, the
Florida peninsula during the next several days.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent.
Just what florida need is more rain from recovery areas.

My prayers goes out to Key West and everybody affected my irma and maria

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09-29-2017, 09:54 AM
Post: #3
RE: Invest 99
more model crazyness

[Image: storm_99.gif]

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10-02-2017, 08:21 AM
Post: #4
RE: Invest 99
While the forecasts from both the NWS Miami and NWS Tampa Bay, in addition to some of the local news stations out of Fort Myers called for heavy rains and potential flooding, outside of downpours on Friday afternoon and night, the system didn't really pan out. We drove from Cape Coral to Miami on Saturday and ended up under mostly sunny skies. There were a few lone storms inland toward later afternoon, but the widespread rain forecast had already moved onward. The news reported that there was still a lot of standing water around Bonita and along the Imperial River, so its good that that problem was not exasperated by additional heavy rain.

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