Maria
|
09-18-2017, 05:58 AM
Post: #11
|
|||
|
|||
RE: Maria
![]() Twitter updates we will follow you back http://twitter.com/Hardcoreweather Now on Facebook We will like you back http://www.facebook.com/pages/Hardcorewe...466?v=wall |
|||
09-18-2017, 10:09 AM
Post: #12
|
|||
|
|||
RE: Maria
Tracks are favoring a curve out to sea after Maria's encounter with the southeast Bahamas:
![]() AARoads |
|||
09-18-2017, 07:11 PM
Post: #13
|
|||
|
|||
RE: Maria
Cat 5 160mph now
Twitter updates we will follow you back http://twitter.com/Hardcoreweather Now on Facebook We will like you back http://www.facebook.com/pages/Hardcorewe...466?v=wall |
|||
09-18-2017, 08:45 PM
(This post was last modified: 09-18-2017 08:45 PM by Nolaken.)
Post: #14
|
|||
|
|||
RE: Maria | |||
09-18-2017, 11:30 PM
Post: #15
|
|||
|
|||
RE: Maria
Really unbelievable.. those poor people in the islands are going to get whacked again. Puerto Rico is densely populated and not equipped to handle something like this.
[SIGPIC][/SIGPIC] |
|||
09-19-2017, 06:36 AM
Post: #16
|
|||
|
|||
RE: Maria
...MARIA REGAINS CATEGORY 5 STRENGTH...
Recent reports from an Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft indicate that Maria has reintensified to category 5 status, with estimated maximum sustained winds of 160 mph (260 km/h). SUMMARY OF 510 AM AST...0910 UTC...INFORMATION --------------------------------------------------- LOCATION...16.0N 62.3W ABOUT 65 MI...100 KM WSW OF GUADELOUPE ABOUT 205 MI...325 KM SE OF ST. CROIX MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...160 MPH...260 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...930 MB...27.46 INCHES |
|||
09-19-2017, 06:57 AM
Post: #17
|
|||
|
|||
RE: Maria
..
Quote: 000 Twitter updates we will follow you back http://twitter.com/Hardcoreweather Now on Facebook We will like you back http://www.facebook.com/pages/Hardcorewe...466?v=wall |
|||
09-19-2017, 09:51 AM
Post: #18
|
|||
|
|||
RE: Maria
11AM
Quote: ZCZC MIATCDAT5 ALL Twitter updates we will follow you back http://twitter.com/Hardcoreweather Now on Facebook We will like you back http://www.facebook.com/pages/Hardcorewe...466?v=wall |
|||
09-19-2017, 01:39 PM
Post: #19
|
|||
|
|||
RE: Maria
From Weather Underground:
Bob Henson · September 19, 2017, 11:41 AM EDT Short-term forecast for Maria There is increasing confidence that Maria will reach St. Croix and Puerto Rico on Wednesday with catastrophic results. Now that Maria has regained Cat 5 intensity, there is nothing between the storm and these islands that would lead to a major drop in strength. In fact, conditions are just about as favorable as they can be for sustaining a Category 5 hurricane, and it's not out of the question that Maria could become even stronger. Wind shear is predicted to stay very low (6 knots or less) for at least the next 48 hours, and Maria will be passing over very warm waters of 29-30°C (84-86°F). These warm waters are deep enough to provide substantial oceanic heat content (greater than 50 kilojoules per square centimeter), which will limit the potential of Maria’s fierce winds to churn up cooler water. If Maria embarks on an eyewall replacement cycle (EWRC) on Tuesday, the storm could drop to Category 4 strength by the time it approaches Puerto Rico. This process would spread Maria’s hurricane-force winds over a broader area, though. Models are in very close agreement on Maria’s west-northwest path. Among our top track models, the European and UKMET model runs from 00Z Tuesday, and the GFS and HMON runs from 06Z Tuesday, all bring Maria’s center very close to St. Croix and across Puerto Rico from southeast to northwest on Wednesday. Conditions would be worst on the right-hand side of Maria’s track, but the entire island is at risk of severe hurricane conditions—likely the worst and most extensive in almost a century. The outlier among our better track models has been HWRF, which has consistently called for Maria to angle northwest toward the British Virgin Islands and just miss Puerto Rico. Several runs ago, the GFS and HMON were predicting a similar track, but they now agree with the Euro and UKMET on a direct hit to Puerto Rico, so we are best off discounting the HWRF (especially since the 12Z Tuesday run of the HWRF trended further west, in closer agreement with the other models). A track crossing Puerto Rico from southeast to northwest will bring torrential rainfall and the risk of landslides to both northern- and southern-facing mountainsides. Localized rainfal of 25" or more is possible in Puerto Rico, with amounts of 20" possible in the U.S. and British Virgin Islands. Rainbands sweeping into Maria from the south could also dump as much as 12" of rain on southern parts of the Dominican Republic, again posing a threat of landslides. Along with the direct impacts likely in St. Croix, one of the three U.S. Virgin Islands, Maria could move far enough north for severe hurricane conditions to affect the other two U.S. Virgin Islands—St. Thomas and St. John—and perhaps the British Virgin Islands as well. All of these except for St. Croix took a fierce hit from Hurricane Irma just weeks ago, so even a lesser blow from Maria could have outsized consequences to residents and structures left vulnerable in the wake of Irma. Storm surge could bring worst-case inundation levels of 6' - 9' over parts of Puerto Rico and the U.S. Virgin Islands. |
|||
09-19-2017, 03:53 PM
Post: #20
|
|||
|
|||
RE: Maria
Down to 916mb
Quote: ZCZC MIATCDAT5 ALL Twitter updates we will follow you back http://twitter.com/Hardcoreweather Now on Facebook We will like you back http://www.facebook.com/pages/Hardcorewe...466?v=wall |
|||
« Next Oldest | Next Newest »
|
User(s) browsing this thread: 1 Guest(s)