HURRICANE JOSE
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09-09-2017, 10:30 PM
Post: #31
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RE: HURRICANE JOSE
JOSE YOU ARE DRUNK...GO HOME:
![]() Trained Weather Spotter CoCoRaHS Volunteer https://www.instagram.com/bostickjm https://twitter.com/BostickJM http://www.livechasers.com/JonathanBostick |
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09-11-2017, 07:54 AM
Post: #32
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RE: HURRICANE JOSE
Hurricanes and Hueys do not do loops!!
Seriously, what weather is behind this projected track? Over the years I have learned so much by reading the pro discussions here. Squirrel is still here, but what happened to Sir Cane? What happened to the in depth discussions, where I barely understood more than a jist? Roll, you have done an amazing job... mostly alone. (Kicking the silent mets in the a$$!) |
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09-11-2017, 10:04 AM
Post: #33
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RE: HURRICANE JOSE
ZCZC MIATCDAT2 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM Hurricane Jose Discussion Number 25 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL122017 Issued by the NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD 1100 AM AST Mon Sep 11 2017 Jose is fighting 25 knots of northeasterly shear this morning according to the UW-CIMSS analysis. A new blowup of deep convection over the center overnight is helping to maintain the satellite-based current intensity estimates, with TAFB and CPHC coming in at 5.0 while SAB had 4.5 and ADT gave 4.6. Have maintained the intensity at 90 kt for this advisory. A 0826z SSMI pass and an 1118z SSMIS pass were quite helpful in determining the analysis position. The analyzed motion for 12z was about 330/12, but Jose should begin trending more northward over the next few hours, if it hasn't already. There is little change to the overall forecast philosophy, as Jose completes a slow anticyclonic loop over open waters for the next 72 hours. The rather odd forecast track is the result of a mid-level high to the east of Jose which will build south of Jose in 24 hours, then west of Jose in about 48 hours, and north of Jose between days 3 and 4. The guidance initially showed this would be a rather tight loop, but has opened it up considerably in the past few runs with the GFS and consensus models beginning to lean toward the ECMWF idea. Have adjusted the forecast track to be closer to the TVCN. By days 4 and 5, Jose should track toward the west- northwest with a bit faster forward motion as the aforementioned mid-level high strengthens to the northeast of Jose. Northerly shear should continue to affect the hurricane for the next couple of days, although there are some differences in the guidance about how strong this shear will be. Have maintained the trend of the previous intensity forecast showing gradual weakening for the next few days. Jose will likely also cross its own wake between days 3 and 4, which is a little later than previously expected with the larger loop depicted in the forecast track. This forecast maintains modest re-intensification at days 4 and 5 as some of the guidance shows the shear relaxing somewhat and the SSTs will be quite warm, although confidence is quite low. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 11/1500Z 25.5N 69.1W 90 KT 105 MPH 12H 12/0000Z 26.6N 69.3W 80 KT 90 MPH 24H 12/1200Z 27.1N 68.2W 75 KT 85 MPH 36H 13/0000Z 26.6N 67.0W 70 KT 80 MPH 48H 13/1200Z 25.7N 66.2W 70 KT 80 MPH 72H 14/1200Z 24.1N 67.0W 65 KT 75 MPH 96H 15/1200Z 24.6N 70.6W 70 KT 80 MPH 120H 16/1200Z 26.5N 74.5W 80 KT 90 MPH |
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09-11-2017, 10:20 AM
Post: #34
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RE: HURRICANE JOSE
Cool sight I haven't seen on here http://www.Ventusky.com
Change the wind speed to 925 hPa 750m Its was pretty accurate with the last 2 and shows Jose heading to Richmond on the 20th [SIGPIC][/SIGPIC]My Girls/clap1 |
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09-11-2017, 01:41 PM
Post: #35
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RE: HURRICANE JOSE
(09-11-2017 10:20 AM)TXFPCoach Wrote: Cool sight I haven't seen on here http://www.Ventusky.comThat is a really useful site. Thanks for sharing the link! |
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09-11-2017, 01:48 PM
Post: #36
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RE: HURRICANE JOSE
(09-11-2017 01:41 PM)SaltwaterServr Wrote:(09-11-2017 10:20 AM)TXFPCoach Wrote: Cool sight I haven't seen on here http://www.Ventusky.comThat is a really useful site. Thanks for sharing the link! Somebody should find and add that to the thread with all of the storm related links ![]() Twitter updates we will follow you back http://twitter.com/Hardcoreweather Now on Facebook We will like you back http://www.facebook.com/pages/Hardcorewe...466?v=wall |
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09-11-2017, 04:39 PM
Post: #37
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RE: HURRICANE JOSE
Yup Jose is still drunk...:
![]() Trained Weather Spotter CoCoRaHS Volunteer https://www.instagram.com/bostickjm https://twitter.com/BostickJM http://www.livechasers.com/JonathanBostick |
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09-15-2017, 11:33 AM
Post: #38
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RE: HURRICANE JOSE
Jose heading to NYC?
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09-15-2017, 12:15 PM
Post: #39
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RE: HURRICANE JOSE
10am
Quote: Tropical Storm Jose Discussion Number 41 |
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09-17-2017, 09:41 PM
Post: #40
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RE: HURRICANE JOSE
Either Jose is drinking some serious Tequlia or smoking meth doing another loop de loop then slam into Va, smh
Retired from ASA now for some real flying |
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