HURRICANE JOSE
|
09-03-2017, 09:39 PM
Post: #11
|
|||
|
|||
RE: The next Cape Verde
Henson for JM
Quote: New tropical depression possible in the central Atlantic |
|||
09-04-2017, 06:41 AM
Post: #12
|
|||
|
|||
RE: The next Cape Verde
ZCZC MIATWOAT ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 AM EDT Mon Sep 4 2017 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane Irma, located several hundred miles east of the Leeward Islands. 1. An elongated area of low pressure located several hundred miles southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands continues to produce disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Environmental conditions are expected to be conducive for gradual development, and a tropical depression is likely form later this week while the system moves west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph over the tropical Atlantic Ocean. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent. 2. A trough of low pressure located over the southwestern Gulf of Mexico is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Environmental conditions are marginally conducive for some slow development of this system while it drifts west-northwestward and remains over the southwestern Gulf of Mexico during the next few days. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent. Forecaster Roberts |
|||
09-04-2017, 01:00 PM
(This post was last modified: 09-04-2017 01:26 PM by Her-icane.)
Post: #13
|
|||
|
|||
RE: The next Cape Verde
ZCZC MIATWOAT ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 200 PM EDT Mon Sep 4 2017 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane Irma, located several hundred miles east of the Leeward Islands. 1. An elongated area of low pressure located several hundred miles southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands continues to produce disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Environmental conditions are expected to be conducive for gradual development, and a tropical depression is likely to form later this week while the system moves west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph over the tropical Atlantic Ocean. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent. 2. A trough of low pressure located over the southwestern Gulf of Mexico is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Environmental conditions are marginally conducive for some slow development of this system while it drifts west-northwestward and remains over the southwestern Gulf of Mexico during the next few days. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent. Forecaster Roberts Henson for JM Quote: . AL, 94, 2017090412, , BEST, 0, 96N, 354W, 25, 1010, LO, 34, NEQ, 0, 0, 0, 0, 1012, 120, 20, 0, 0, L, 0, , 0, 0, INVEST, S, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, genesis-num, 025, SPAWNINVEST, al732017 to al942017, ![]() |
|||
09-04-2017, 02:02 PM
Post: #14
|
|||
|
|||
RE: INVEST 94L
![]() |
|||
09-04-2017, 07:41 PM
Post: #15
|
|||
|
|||
RE: INVEST 94L
ZCZC MIATWOAT ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 PM EDT Mon Sep 4 2017 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane Irma, located several hundred miles east of the Leeward Islands. 1. A broad area of low pressure located several hundred miles southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands continues to produce disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Environmental conditions are expected to be conducive for gradual development, and a tropical depression is likely to form within the next few days while the system moves west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph over the tropical Atlantic Ocean. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent. 2. A trough of low pressure located over the southwestern Gulf of Mexico is producing disorganized showers activity and gusty winds. Environmental conditions are marginally conducive for slow development, and this system could become a tropical depression during the next couple of days while it meanders over the southwestern Gulf of Mexico during the next few days. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent. Forecaster Cangialosi |
|||
09-05-2017, 06:47 AM
(This post was last modified: 09-05-2017 06:52 AM by Her-icane.)
Post: #16
|
|||
|
|||
RE: INVEST 94L
ZCZC MIATWOAT ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 AM EDT Tue Sep 5 2017 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane Irma, located a couple hundred miles east of the Leeward Islands. 1. Showers and thunderstorms associated with an area of low pressure located about 1000 miles west-southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands are gradually becoming better organized. Conditions appear conducive for continued development of this system. There is a high likelihood that a tropical depression or tropical storm will form within the next day or two while the disturbance moves west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph over the tropical Atlantic Ocean. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent. 2. A trough of low pressure located over the southwestern Gulf of Mexico is producing numerous showers and thunderstorms. Environmental conditions are conducive for gradual development, and this system is likely to become a tropical depression during the next couple of days while it meanders over the southwestern Gulf of Mexico. Regardless of development, heavy rains associated with this disturbance are likely over portions of eastern Mexico during the remainder of the week. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...60 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent. Forecaster Landsea ![]() |
|||
09-05-2017, 10:59 AM
(This post was last modified: 09-05-2017 11:13 AM by Her-icane.)
Post: #17
|
|||
|
|||
RE: TROPICAL STORM JOSE
![]() 000 WTNT32 KNHC 051454 TCPAT2 BULLETIN Tropical Storm Jose Advisory Number 1 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL122017 1100 AM AST Tue Sep 05 2017 ...10TH TROPICAL STORM OF THE SEASON FORMS OVER THE OPEN ATLANTIC... SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...12.3N 39.1W ABOUT 1505 MI...2420 KM E OF THE LESSER ANTILLES MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 290 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1008 MB...29.77 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. Interests in the Leeward Islands should monitor the future progress of Jose. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ At 1100 AM AST (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Jose was located near latitude 12.3 North, longitude 39.1 West. Jose is moving toward the west-northwest near 13 mph (20 km/h) and a movement toward the west or west-northwest at a slightly faster rate of forward speed is expected during the next two days. Maximum sustained winds are near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts. Some strengthening is forecast during the next 48 hours and Jose could become a hurricane by Friday. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 45 miles (75 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1008 mb (29.77 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 500 PM AST. $$ Forecaster Landsea ![]() ![]() ![]() |
|||
09-05-2017, 08:10 PM
Post: #18
|
|||
|
|||
RE: TROPICAL STORM JOSE
![]() ![]() |
|||
09-05-2017, 09:34 PM
(This post was last modified: 09-05-2017 09:35 PM by Her-icane.)
Post: #19
|
|||
|
|||
RE: TROPICAL STORM JOSE
ZCZC MIATCPAT2 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM BULLETIN Tropical Storm Jose Advisory Number 3 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL122017 1100 PM AST Tue Sep 05 2017 ...JOSE CONTINUES TO GRADUALLY STRENGTHEN... ...EXPECTED TO BECOME A HURRICANE BY WEDNESDAY NIGHT... SUMMARY OF 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...12.3N 41.7W ABOUT 1330 MI...2140 KM E OF THE LESSER ANTILLES MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 270 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB...29.65 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. Interests in the Leeward Islands should monitor the future progress of Jose. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ At 1100 PM AST (0300 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Jose was located near latitude 12.3 North, longitude 41.7 West. Jose is moving toward the west near 14 mph (22 km/h). A slightly faster west to west-northwest motion is expected during the next two days. Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 50 mph (85 km/h) with higher gusts. Additional strengthening is forecast, and Jose is expected to become a hurricane by Wednesday night. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 60 miles (95 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1004 mb (29.65 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 500 AM AST. $$ Forecaster Cangialosi NNNN ![]() |
|||
09-05-2017, 10:48 PM
Post: #20
|
|||
|
|||
RE: TROPICAL STORM JOSE
JM
Quote: Tropical Storm Jose gaining strength in Central Atlantic |
|||
« Next Oldest | Next Newest »
|
User(s) browsing this thread: 1 Guest(s)