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October, 31 2013 - Possible Bite
10-30-2013, 07:29 AM
Post: #11
RE: October, 31 2013 - Possible Bite
...

Quote: Oct 30, 2013 0600 UTC Day 2 Convective Outlook

Updated: Wed Oct 30 06:06:32 UTC 2013 (Print Version | [Image: shp_icon.jpg] | [Image: KML_icon.jpg])
Probabilistic to Categorical Outlook Conversion Table











Categorical
Probabilistic









Population
Cities
CWAs
Interstates
Counties
ARTCC
FEMA Regions












[Image: map_background.gif]







[Image: day2probotlk_0600_any.gif]















Probability of severe weather within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of significant severe weather within 25 miles of a point. (More Info)




















Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area

SLIGHT
250,214
25,522,797
Indianapolis, IN...Columbus, OH...Memphis, TN...Nashville, TN...Louisville, KY...











Forecast Discussion






SPC AC 300600

DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0100 AM CDT WED OCT 30 2013

VALID 311200Z - 011200Z

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS FROM THE ARKLATEX AND
LOWER/MIDDLE MS RIVER VALLEY TO THE OH RIVER VALLEY...

...ARKLATEX/LOWER MS RIVER VALLEY TO THE TN/OH RIVER VALLEYS...
THE OVERALL PATTERN THURSDAY WILL BE RELATIVELY CONSISTENT TO PAST
SIGNIFICANT AUTUMNAL SEVERE WEATHER SCENARIOS/REGIONAL
OUTBREAKS...ESPECIALLY GIVEN SEASONALLY HIGH MOISTURE CONTENT. THAT
SAID...CONSIDERABLE UNCERTAINTY REMAINS REGARDING THE
EXTENSIVENESS/IMPACTS OF EARLY DAY CONVECTION...ASSOCIATED
RAMIFICATIONS ON LAPSE RATES...AS WELL AS THE RELATIVE NOCTURNAL
PEAK OF THE MOST CONSEQUENTIAL CYCLONE-ASSOCIATED MASS RESPONSE OVER
THE MIDWEST/OH VALLEY. EVEN SO...A LOW CAPE/HIGH SHEAR REGIME IS
EXPECTED TO BRING AT LEAST SOME SEVERE RISK TO A BROAD REGIONAL
EXTENT ON THURSDAY...WITH A COUPLE OF SIGNIFICANT WIND/TORNADO
EPISODES POSSIBLE ESPECIALLY THURSDAY AFTERNOON/EVENING.

A CONSIDERABLE UPPER TROUGH OVER THE PLAINS EARLY THURSDAY WILL
GRADUALLY TAKE ON AN INCREASINGLY NEGATIVE TILT THURSDAY NIGHT AS IT
CROSSES THE MIDWEST/OH RIVER VALLEY. VERY STRONG SOUTH-SOUTHWESTERLY
WINDS IN THE LOWEST FEW KM AGL WILL QUICKLY TRANSPORT A SEASONALLY
MOIST AIRMASS NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT...WHICH WILL
ACCELERATE EASTWARD ESPECIALLY THURSDAY NIGHT ACROSS THE TN/OH RIVER
VALLEYS. BY LATE AFTERNOON/EARLY EVENING THURSDAY...LOWER 60S F
SURFACE DEWPOINTS SHOULD EXIST AS FAR NORTH AS SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF
MO/IL/INDIANA.

AS NOTED...EARLY DAY CONVECTION AHEAD OF THE COLD FRONT WILL BE A
COMPLICATING/UNCERTAINTY FACTOR ACROSS MUCH OF THE ARKLATEX/OZARKS
AND LOWER/MIDDLE MS RIVER VALLEY. EVEN SO...THE MOST FAVORABLE /OR
CERTAIN/ COMBINATION OF WEAK INSTABILITY/STRONG VERTICAL SHEAR
THURSDAY AFTERNOON INTO EVENING SHOULD MATERIALIZE GENERALLY ACROSS
PORTIONS OF THE MID-SOUTH/TN VALLEY/PARTS OF OZARKS...ALTHOUGH
MID-LEVEL LAPSE RATES WILL BE WEAKER WITH SOUTH-SOUTHWESTWARD
EXTENT. GIVEN A VERY MOIST LOW-LEVEL AIRMASS AND AMPLE
LOW-LEVEL/DEEP-LAYER SHEAR...DAMAGING WINDS AND SOME TORNADOES WILL
BE POSSIBLE WITH WHAT SHOULD BE A COMPLEX/POTENTIALLY MESSY STORM
MODE AHEAD OF THE FRONT INCLUDING LINE-EMBEDDED BOWING STRUCTURES
AND POSSIBLY SOME SEMI-DISCRETE SUPERCELLS. GIVEN THE MOIST BOUNDARY
LAYER AND ROBUST MAGNITUDE OF THE LOW-LEVEL WINDS/SRH...A STRONG
TORNADO RISK CANNOT BE DISCOUNTED ACROSS PARTS OF THE REGION PENDING
A SUFFICIENTLY FAVORABLE CONVECTIVE MODE AND EVEN JUST WEAK
DESTABILIZATION.

THE EXACT DEGREE OF DESTABILIZATION REMAINS UNCERTAIN ESPECIALLY
WITH NORTHWARD EXTENT INTO THE OH RIVER VALLEY. BUT GIVEN
SIGNIFICANT HEIGHT FALLS/MASS RESPONSE THURSDAY NIGHT...LOW-LEVEL
MOISTURE/MEAGER INSTABILITY MAY BE SUFFICIENT FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF
A FAST-MOVING/ACCELERATING LOW-TOPPED CONVECTIVE LINE THURSDAY
EVENING/OVERNIGHT ACROSS TN/OH RIVER VALLEYS. AS SUCH...IT APPEARS
THAT AT LEAST ISOLATED DAMAGING WIND GUSTS/BRIEF TORNADO RISK SHOULD
EXIST INTO THURSDAY EVENING AND PERHAPS EVEN OVERNIGHT. THIS MAY
EVEN BE THE CASE IF THERE IS A RELATIVE ABSENCE OF
LIGHTNING-PRODUCING CONVECTION...WHICH IS A DISTINCT POSSIBILITY.

..GUYER.. 10/30/2013

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10-30-2013, 01:24 PM
Post: #12
RE: October, 31 2013 - Possible Bite
[Image: image8.jpg]

Storms are headed our way Today through
Thursday, some of which could be severe. Additionally, heavy rainfall
may bring some flash flooding. Stay tuned for the latest!

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10-31-2013, 07:06 AM (This post was last modified: 10-31-2013 07:08 AM by Joe-Nathan.)
Post: #13
RE: October, 31 2013 - Possible Bite
DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1256 AM CDT THU OCT 31 2013

Quote:VALID 311200Z - 011200Z

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TODAY INTO TONIGHT ACROSS PARTS
OF THE WESTERN GULF COAST AND LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY
NORTHEASTWARD INTO THE LOWER GREAT LAKES REGION...

...SYNOPSIS...
WHILE MID/UPPER RIDGING DEVELOPS EASTWARD ACROSS THE PACIFIC COAST
STATES INTO THE INTERMOUNTAIN WEST...CYCLONIC FLOW APPEARS LIKELY TO
BROADEN EAST OF THE ROCKIES THROUGH THE APPALACHIANS DURING THIS
FORECAST PERIOD. MODELS SUGGEST THAT THIS LATTER DEVELOPMENT WILL
COMMENCE AS A COUPLE OF SHORT WAVE IMPULSES...WITHIN AMPLIFIED UPPER
TROUGHING NOW PROGRESSING INTO THE PLAINS...CONSOLIDATE OVER THE
MID/UPPER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY TODAY...BEFORE ACCELERATING EAST
NORTHEASTWARD THROUGH MUCH OF THE GREAT LAKES AND OHIO VALLEY BY 12Z
FRIDAY. THIS APPEARS LIKELY TO BE ACCOMPANIED BY STRONG SURFACE
CYCLOGENESIS...PARTICULARLY ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES REGION THIS
EVENING INTO THE OVERNIGHT HOURS.

STRONG...CONFLUENT SOUTHERLY 850 MB FLOW /30-50+ KT/ IS FORECAST TO
CONTINUE DEVELOPING IN A BROAD PRE-COLD FRONTAL BELT EXTENDING FROM
THE GULF COAST THROUGH THE LOWER GREAT LAKES AND ST. LAWRENCE
VALLEY...AND EVENTUALLY THE NORTHEAST...ON THE WESTERN PERIPHERY OF
LOW-LEVEL RIDGING RETREATING OFF THE ATLANTIC SEABOARD. AS AN
INTENSIFYING /IN EXCESS OF 90 KT/ WEST SOUTHWESTERLY 500 MB JET
STREAK NOSES NORTHEAST OF THE SOUTHERN PLAINS THROUGH THE OHIO
VALLEY...GUIDANCE INDICATES THAT A MORE INTENSE 850 MB JET CORE /ON
THE ORDER OF 70 KT/ WILL PROPAGATE NORTHEAST OF THE LOWER
MISSISSIPPI VALLEY...THROUGH MUCH OF THE UPPER OHIO VALLEY BY LATE
EVENING.

SEASONABLY HIGH MOISTURE CONTENT ASSOCIATED WITH THIS RETURN FLOW IS
ALREADY SUPPORTING WIDESPREAD CONVECTION AND EMBEDDED THUNDERSTORMS
ACROSS THE SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL PLAINS INTO THE GREAT LAKES REGION.
THIS ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO PERSIST WHILE GRADUALLY SPREADING
NORTHEASTWARD AND EASTWARD THROUGH THE DAY TODAY...LIMITING
POTENTIAL FOR SUBSTANTIVE DESTABILIZATION AHEAD OF THE COLD
FRONT...WHICH MAY ONLY SLOWLY ADVANCE EAST/SOUTHEASTWARD ACROSS THE
UPPER GREAT LAKES REGION/LOWER MISSOURI VALLEY AND SOUTH CENTRAL
PLAINS DURING THE DAY.

...WRN GULF COAST/LWR MS VALLEY INTO THE LWR GREAT LAKES...
DUE TO THE ANTICIPATED STRENGTH OF THE LOWER/MID TROPOSPHERIC WIND
FIELDS...AND THE MOISTURE CONTENT OF THE PRE-FRONTAL
ENVIRONMENT...LOWER END SLIGHT RISK PROBABILITIES ARE BEING
CONTINUED OVER A RATHER SIZABLE AREA. HOWEVER...MID-LEVEL LAPSE
RATES ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN WEAK...WITH FORECAST SOUNDINGS
INDICATING THE PRESENCE OF SATURATED...MOIST ADIABATIC THERMODYNAMIC
PROFILES...WITH ONLY WEAK CAPE GENERALLY EVIDENT IN MOST AREAS.
APPRECIABLE BOUNDARY LAYER BASED INSTABILITY MAY BE CONFINED TO A
NARROW CORRIDOR AHEAD OF A REMNANT EASTWARD ADVANCING PRE-FRONTAL
DRYLINE STRUCTURE EXPECTED ACROSS PARTS OF SOUTHWESTERN MISSOURI AND
WESTERN ARKANSAS INTO SOUTHEAST TEXAS BY MIDDAY.

IT APPEARS POSSIBLE THAT A LINEAR BAND OF CONVECTION...NOW FORMING
ACROSS PARTS OF SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS THROUGH THE ARKLATEX...COULD
CONTINUE TO SLOWLY INTENSIFY AND ORGANIZE WITH INCREASING POTENTIAL
FOR SEVERE WIND GUSTS BY DAYBREAK. IT MAY THEN PERSIST AND SPREAD
EASTWARD ACROSS THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY WITH AT LEAST SOME
CONTINUING SEVERE WIND POTENTIAL THROUGH THE DAY. WEAK
DESTABILIZATION TO THE EAST SEEMS LIKELY TO LIMIT THE POTENTIAL FOR
A MORE SUBSTANTIVE FORWARD PROPAGATING MESOSCALE CONVECTION SYSTEM.
AND STRONGER MID/UPPER FORCING FOR UPWARD VERTICAL MOTION LIKELY
WILL REMAIN DISPLACED WELL TO THE NORTH...SPREADING ACROSS THE
MIDDLE MISSISSIPPI VALLEY TOWARD THE GREAT LAKES REGION DURING THE
AFTERNOON AND EVENING. IT MAY NOT BE OUT OF THE QUESTION THAT A
DEVELOPING MID-LEVEL DRY SLOT COULD ALLOW FOR SUFFICIENT HEATING AND
RELATED DESTABILIZATION FOR STRONG/SEVERE STORM DEVELOPMENT ACROSS
PARTS OF SOUTHEASTERN MISSOURI INTO THE LOWER OHIO VALLEY...PERHAPS
CONTINUING INTO THE LOWER GREAT LAKES REGION BEFORE DIMINISHING
OVERNIGHT.

..KERR.. 10/31/2013

CLICK TO GET WUUS01 PTSDY1 PRODUCT

NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 1300Z
CURRENT UTC TIME: 1206Z (7:06AM), RELOAD THIS PAGE TO UPDATE THE TIME

[Image: enh_1200.gif]

[Image: enh_1600.gif]

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10-31-2013, 07:32 AM
Post: #14
RE: October, 31 2013 - Possible Bite
Possible watch

[font=lucida sans typewriter, lucida console, courier]ESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1989
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0656 AM CDT THU OCT 31 2013

AREAS AFFECTED...LA...SWRN MS

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE

VALID 311156Z - 311400Z

PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...60 PERCENT

SUMMARY...RISK FOR ISOLATED DAMAGING WINDS AND A BRIEF TORNADO
SHOULD CONTINUE TO SHIFT EWD INTO LATE MORNING IN ASSOCIATION WITH A
PRE-FRONTAL QLCS. AWAITING 12Z RAOBS AND CLOSELY MONITORING
SUFFICIENT INTENSIFICATION OF THE QLCS FOR POSSIBLE WW ISSUANCE.

DISCUSSION...GRADUAL TIGHTENING OF THE RADAR REFLECTIVITY GRADIENT
HAS BEEN EVIDENT WITH A QLCS EXTENDING FROM N-CNTRL LA TOWARDS
GALVESTON BAY. THE LONE REPORT OF WIND DAMAGE THIS MORNING OCCURRED
IN THE PAST HOUR IN JASPER COUNTY TX AND MAY BE THE SIGNAL FOR AT
LEAST A LOCALIZED SEVERE RISK FINALLY BEING REALIZED. THIS QLCS IS
CURRENTLY INTERCEPTING THE PLUME OF RICHER GULF DEW
POINTS...CHARACTERIZED BY MIDDLE 70S AT THE MOUTH OF THE SABINE
RIVER. ALTHOUGH THE DOWNSTREAM AIR MASS TOWARDS THE MS VALLEY IS
LIKELY NOT QUITE AS BUOYANT AND TROPOSPHERIC LAPSE RATES ARE
POOR...INTENSE LOW/MID-LEVEL SHEAR MAY COMPENSATE AND YIELD
LEWP/BOWING STRUCTURES CAPABLE OF ISOLATED DAMAGING WINDS AND A
BRIEF TORNADO.

..GRAMS/EDWARDS.. 10/31/2013

..PLEASE SEE http://WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT


ATTN...WFO...JAN...LIX...LCH...SHV...

LAT...LON 32159214 32399131 32359013 31868975 31388981 30109043
29289127 29699418 30399383 31399274 32159214
[/font]

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10-31-2013, 07:35 AM
Post: #15
RE: October, 31 2013 - Possible Bite
[Image: ww0551_radar_big.gif]

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10-31-2013, 09:50 AM
Post: #16
RE: October, 31 2013 - Possible Bite
...

Quote: BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
943 AM CDT THU OCT 31 2013

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LAKE CHARLES HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
SOUTHEASTERN ORANGE COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST TEXAS...
THIS INCLUDES...WEST ORANGE...ORANGE...BRIDGE CITY...
WESTERN CALCASIEU PARISH IN SOUTHWEST LOUISIANA...
THIS INCLUDES VINTON...

* UNTIL 1015 AM CDT

* AT 941 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS DETECTED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO NEAR
ORANGEFIELD...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 50 MPH.

* OTHER LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO
EDGERLY AND CARLYSS

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10-31-2013, 09:50 AM (This post was last modified: 10-31-2013 10:24 AM by Joe-Nathan.)
Post: #17
RE: October, 31 2013 - Possible Bite
Dam, guess I will be taking a really long lunch today...

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
956 AM CDT THU OCT 31 2013


Quote:THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LAKE CHARLES HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
SOUTHWESTERN ALLEN PARISH IN SOUTHWEST LOUISIANA...
THIS INCLUDES REEVES...
SOUTHEASTERN BEAUREGARD PARISH IN SOUTHWEST LOUISIANA...
THIS INCLUDES...RAGLEY...DRY CREEK...
NORTH CENTRAL CALCASIEU PARISH IN SOUTHWEST LOUISIANA...
NORTHWESTERN JEFFERSON DAVIS PARISH IN SOUTHWEST LOUISIANA...

* UNTIL 1030 AM CDT

* AT 955 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS DETECTED A
LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO ALONG A
LINE EXTENDING FROM RAGLEY TO BUHLER...MOVING EAST AT 40 MPH.

* OTHER LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO
GILLIS...LONGVILLE...TOPSY...BULLER...HARMONY AND LEBLANC

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RADAR INDICATES A TORNADO MAY FORM AT ANY
TIME. TAKE COVER NOW! ABANDON MOBILE HOMES AND VEHICLES. MOVE TO AN
INTERIOR ROOM OR HALLWAY ON THE LOWEST FLOOR AWAY FROM WINDOWS.

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 200 PM CDT THURSDAY AFTERNOON
FOR SOUTHWESTERN LOUISIANA AND SOUTHEAST TEXAS.

&&

PLEASE REPORT SEVERE WEATHER TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AT
337-477-5285 EXTENSION 1.

LAT...LON 3071 9288 3035 9296 3031 9341 3061 9332
TIME...MOT...LOC 1456Z 251DEG 35KT 3047 9327 3038 9331

$$
TINGLER








Storm damage in Orange Cnty and Jefferson Cnty, TX....on scanner:

http://www.broadcastify.com/listen/ctid/2703/web

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
1017 AM CDT THU OCT 31 2013

Quote:THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LAKE CHARLES HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
NORTHERN RAPIDES PARISH IN CENTRAL LOUISIANA...
THIS INCLUDES...ALEXANDRIA INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT...PINEVILLE...
BOYCE...ALEXANDRIA...

* UNTIL 1030 AM CDT

* AT 1012 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS DETECTED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO NEAR GARDNER...
MOVING NORTHEAST AT 55 MPH.

* OTHER LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO
TIOGA...TIMBER TRAILS...PARADISE...KINGSVILLE...ESLER REGIONAL
AIRPORT AND BALL

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RADAR INDICATES A TORNADO MAY FORM AT ANY
TIME. TAKE COVER NOW! ABANDON MOBILE HOMES AND VEHICLES. MOVE TO AN
INTERIOR ROOM OR HALLWAY ON THE LOWEST FLOOR AWAY FROM WINDOWS.

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 200 PM CDT THURSDAY AFTERNOON
FOR SOUTHWESTERN LOUISIANA AND SOUTHEAST TEXAS.

&&

PLEASE REPORT SEVERE WEATHER TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AT
337-477-5285 EXTENSION 1.

LAT...LON 3147 9216 3146 9215 3116 9271 3131 9283
3140 9268 3140 9262 3148 9223
TIME...MOT...LOC 1517Z 227DEG 49KT 3131 9267

$$
06

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10-31-2013, 11:00 AM (This post was last modified: 10-31-2013 11:20 AM by Joe-Nathan.)
Post: #18
RE: October, 31 2013 - Possible Bite
BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
1040 AM CDT THU OCT 31 2013


Quote:THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LAKE CHARLES HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
SOUTHEASTERN CALCASIEU PARISH IN SOUTHWEST LOUISIANA...
THIS INCLUDES...LAKE CHARLES REGIONAL AIRPORT...WESTLAKE...LAKE
CHARLES...IOWA...HAYES...
CENTRAL JEFFERSON DAVIS PARISH IN SOUTHWEST LOUISIANA...
THIS INCLUDES...WELSH...FENTON...

* UNTIL 1115 AM CDT

* AT 1037 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS DETECTED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO NEAR AND JUST
NORTH OF LAKE CHARLES REGIONAL AIRPORT...MOVING EAST AT 45 MPH.

* OTHER LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO
HOLMWOOD...LEBLEU SETTLEMENT AND BULLER

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RADAR INDICATES A TORNADO MAY FORM AT ANY
TIME. TAKE COVER NOW! ABANDON MOBILE HOMES AND VEHICLES. MOVE TO AN
INTERIOR ROOM OR HALLWAY ON THE LOWEST FLOOR AWAY FROM WINDOWS.

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 200 PM CDT THURSDAY AFTERNOON
FOR SOUTHWESTERN LOUISIANA AND SOUTHEAST TEXAS.

&&

PLEASE REPORT SEVERE WEATHER TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AT
337-477-5285 EXTENSION 1.

LAT...LON 3022 9336 3044 9291 3043 9282 3012 9271
3005 9331
TIME...MOT...LOC 1539Z 252DEG 40KT 3018 9322

$$

TINGLER

CONTINUE OF SAME STORM:

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
1108 AM CDT THU OCT 31 2013


Quote:THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LAKE CHARLES HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
WESTERN ACADIA PARISH IN SOUTHWEST LOUISIANA...
THIS INCLUDES MERMENTAU...
JEFFERSON DAVIS PARISH IN SOUTHWEST LOUISIANA...
THIS INCLUDES...WELSH...JENNINGS...FENTON...

* UNTIL 1145 AM CDT

* AT 1101 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS DETECTED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO 11 MILES WEST OF
WELSH...MOVING EAST AT 40 MPH.

* OTHER LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO PINE
ISLAND...EVANGELINE AND EGAN

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RADAR INDICATES A TORNADO MAY FORM AT ANY
TIME. TAKE COVER NOW! ABANDON MOBILE HOMES AND VEHICLES. MOVE TO AN
INTERIOR ROOM OR HALLWAY ON THE LOWEST FLOOR AWAY FROM WINDOWS.

&&

PLEASE REPORT SEVERE WEATHER TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AT
337-477-5285 EXTENSION 1.

LAT...LON 3013 9291 3014 9289 3016 9290 3016 9300
3026 9300 3026 9302 3030 9303 3031 9303
3049 9268 3048 9258 3019 9244 3010 9290
TIME...MOT...LOC 1608Z 251DEG 34KT 3023 9293

$$
TINGLER

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10-31-2013, 02:27 PM
Post: #19
RE: October, 31 2013 - Possible Bite
[font=lucida sans typewriter, lucida console, courier][font=lucida sans typewriter, lucida console, courier]0915 AM FLASH FLOOD BEAUMONT 30.09N 94.14W
10/31/2013 JEFFERSON TX DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

TX DOT REPORTS WATER OVER US 69 NORTHBOUND LUCAS EXIT
RAMP IN FRONT OF HOME DEPOT AND US 69 FRONTAGE ROADS IN
BOTH DIRECTIONS FROM DELAWARE TO SH 105 IN BEAUMONT.

0915 AM FLASH FLOOD BATSON 30.25N 94.61W
10/31/2013 HARDIN TX DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

TX DOT REPORTS WATER OVER FM 770 BETWEEN BATSON AND HULL.

0915 AM FLASH FLOOD LUMBERTON 30.26N 94.20W
10/31/2013 HARDIN TX DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

TX DOT REPORTS WATER OVER CANDLESTICK NEXT TO MCDONALDS
ON US 96 IN LUMBERTON

[/font][/font]
[font=lucida sans typewriter, lucida console, courier]PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
121 PM CDT THU OCT 31 2013

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON


.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE.


[/font]
Quote:[font=lucida sans typewriter, lucida console, courier] ..REMARKS..

1130 AM FLOOD NNE MOSS BLUFF 30.31N 93.20W
10/31/2013 CALCASIEU LA BROADCAST MEDIA

FLOODING REPORTED ON PARISH ROAD IN MOSS BLUFF.[/font]
[font=lucida sans typewriter, lucida console, courier]1051 AM TSTM WND DMG 5 ENE GRAND LAKE 30.07N 93.20W
10/31/2013 CALCASIEU LA BROADCAST MEDIA

TIN TORE OFF A MOBILE HOME AND TWO SHEDS DAMAGED. [/font][font=lucida sans typewriter, lucida console, courier][font=lucida sans typewriter, lucida console, courier][font=lucida sans typewriter, lucida console, courier]
1242 PM TSTM WND DMG SUNSET 30.41N 92.07W
10/31/2013 ST. LANDRY LA PUBLIC

PUBLIC REPORTS A SHED DEMOLISHED...5-6 TREES SNAPPED AND
TELEPHONE POLLS DOWN NEAR SUNSET. [/font]
[/font][/font]
[font=lucida sans typewriter, lucida console, courier][font=lucida sans typewriter, lucida console, courier]1141 AM TORNADO 5 NE JENNINGS 30.28N 92.60W
10/31/2013 ACADIA LA PUBLIC

VIDEO OF A TORNADO RECORDED NEAR EVANGELINE.
[/font]
1012 AM TSTM WND GST PORT ARTHUR 29.90N 93.93W
10/31/2013 M45 MPH JEFFERSON TX MESONET

A WIND GUST OF 39 KNOTS WAS RECORDED ALONG THE SHORE OF
SABINE LAKE AT PORT ARTHUR. [/font]

[font=lucida sans typewriter, lucida console, courier][font=lucida sans typewriter, lucida console, courier]1214 PM TSTM WND GST 3 SW CAMERON 29.77N 93.34W
10/31/2013 M39 MPH CAMERON LA C-MAN STATION

A WIND GUST OF 34 KNOTS WAS MEASURED AT THE CAMERON TIDE
GAUGE.
[/font]
0940 AM TSTM WND DMG DE QUINCY 30.45N 93.44W
10/31/2013 CALCASIEU LA LAW ENFORCEMENT

CALCASIEU PARISH SHERIFF REPORTS METAL PORCH WRAPPED
AROUND POWER POLES AT 174 WANDA LN [/font]

[font=lucida sans typewriter, lucida console, courier][font=lucida sans typewriter, lucida console, courier][font=lucida sans typewriter, lucida console, courier]0945 AM NON-TSTM WND DMG BRIDGE CITY 30.03N 93.85W
10/31/2013 ORANGE TX PUBLIC

PUBLIC REPORTS TREES DOWN...SIDING OFF OF HOMES AND
CEILING DAMAGE ALONG S. PATILLO RD...POSSIBLE TORNADO. [/font]
0915 AM FLASH FLOOD CHESTER 30.92N 94.60W
10/31/2013 TYLER TX DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

TX DOT REPORTS WATER OVER FM 1745 AT RUSSEL CREEK AND AT
BILLIUMS CREEK IN CHESTER

0915 AM FLASH FLOOD 5 SSE COLMESNEIL 30.84N 94.38W
10/31/2013 TYLER TX DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

TX DOT REPORTS WATER OVER FM 92 NORTH AT WOLF CREEK
[/font]
0630 AM TSTM WND DMG 1 S JASPER 30.91N 94.00W
10/31/2013 JASPER TX LAW ENFORCEMENT

JASPER COUNTY EMERGENCY MANAGER REPORTS MINOR WIND DAMAGE
ON THE WEST SIDE OF HWY 96. A RESIDENCE LOCATED AT 444
COUNTY ROAD 302 HAS TREES BLOWN AGAINST IT, BUT NO MAJOR
DAMAGE. POWERLINES REPORTED DOWN IN THE SAME AREA.
[/font]

[font=lucida sans typewriter, lucida console, courier][font=lucida sans typewriter, lucida console, courier][font=lucida sans typewriter, lucida console, courier]0812 AM FLOOD LUMBERTON 30.26N 94.20W
10/31/2013 HARDIN TX PUBLIC

PUBLIC SUBMITTED FACEBOOK PICTURES INDICATE MINOR STREET
FLOODING IN THE TOWN OF LUMBERTON

[/font]0630 AM TSTM WND DMG 1 S JASPER 30.91N 94.00W
10/31/2013 JASPER TX LAW ENFORCEMENT

JASPER COUNTY SHERIFF REPORTS TREES AND POWERLINES DOWN
AND A HOLE IN THE ROOF OF A RESIDENCE ALONG HWY 96 AND
COUNTY ROADS 302 AND 303.
[/font]

0556 AM FLOOD WOODVILLE 30.77N 94.42W
10/31/2013 TYLER TX LAW ENFORCEMENT

TYLER COUNTY SHERIFF REPORTS MINOR STREET FLOODING AT
WOLF CREEK AND HWY 92.
[/font]

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10-31-2013, 03:42 PM
Post: #20
RE: October, 31 2013 - Possible Bite
POOF

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