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Tropical Storm Debby Gulf Of Mexico
06-12-2012, 07:54 PM
Post: #31
Tropical Storm Debby Gulf Of Mexico
SevereWxEnthusiast Wrote:Roll, calm down....you didn't have to cuss about it! wait, oh.

That reminds me:

[video=youtube;SnmX4f6VBRw]http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=SnmX4f6VBRw[/video]

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06-13-2012, 06:09 AM
Post: #32
Tropical Storm Debby Gulf Of Mexico
MOB NWS
Quote:BY TUESDAY NIGHT AND
WEDNESDAY...THE MEDIUM RANGE GUIDANCE IS ADVERTISING SOME DEVELOPMENT
OVER THE SOUTHERN GULF OF MEX. THIS FAR OUT...GUIDANCE IS ALL OVER
THE PLACE ON DEVELPMENT AREA/MOVEMENT...SO AM TAKING WITH A GRAIN OF
SALT AND ADVERTISING A SEASONAL FORECAST WITH TEMPS...BELOW SEASONAL
FOR POPS.

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06-13-2012, 06:55 AM (This post was last modified: 06-13-2012 07:07 AM by Joe-Nathan.)
Post: #33
Tropical Storm Debby Gulf Of Mexico
GFS IS REALLY BEING CONSISTENT W/ PUTTING A CLOSED LOW IN THE NORTHERN GOM ON/AROUND THE 22nd:

[Image: gfs_wnatl_240_850_temp_mslp_precip_l.gif]




I hope this does not turn into a TS Allison repeat!!!

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06-13-2012, 07:13 AM
Post: #34
Tropical Storm Debby Gulf Of Mexico
Joe-Nathan Wrote:That reminds me:

[video=youtube;SnmX4f6VBRw]http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=SnmX4f6VBRw[/video]

Classic! I love that bit..............I'm your dam tour guide Ahhhtie. By the way, does anyone know why the Tropical Cyclone Genesis Potential Fields website hasn't updated since mid May? Even through Beryl, I couldn't get model tracks from it.
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06-13-2012, 07:21 AM
Post: #35
Tropical Storm Debby Gulf Of Mexico
OPHarbor Wrote:Classic! I love that bit..............I'm your dam tour guide Ahhhtie. By the way, does anyone know why the Tropical Cyclone Genesis Potential Fields website hasn't updated since mid May? Even through Beryl, I couldn't get model tracks from it.


You talking about this site: http://moe.met.fsu.edu/tcgengifs/

If so, it seems to be up to date on all models.

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06-13-2012, 04:54 PM
Post: #36
Tropical Storm Debby Gulf Of Mexico
Mobile

Quote:BY TUESDAY NIGHT
AND WEDNESDAY...THE MEDIUM RANGE GUIDANCE IS ALSO CALCULATING THE
DEVELOPMENT OF A TROUGH OVER THE SOUTHERN GULF OF MEXICO.
HOWEVER...THIS FAR OUT...SOME CONFIDENCE ISSUES ABOUND...AND
BESIDES...GUIDANCE SOURCES ARE WIDELY VARIANT ON THE EVOLUTION OF
THIS SYSTEM.

BD/77

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06-13-2012, 06:55 PM
Post: #37
Tropical Storm Debby Gulf Of Mexico
Sarasota Herald

Quote:Tropical system brewing in Caribbean?
By Kate Spinner
Published: Wednesday, June 13, 2012 at 3:42 p.m.

Stormy weather lingering over Central America might move north into the Gulf of Mexico's Bay of Campeche late this weekend, with the potential to develop into a tropical depression or storm, forecasters reported Wednesday.

The Caribbean and Gulf of Mexico are heating up, while the winds that compete against tropical systems are settling down, a combination that makes storm activity more likely.

Meanwhile, thunderstorms are moving around the global tropics in a way that increases showers in the Caribbean and western Atlantic — another factor for heightened tropical activity in those regions.

Taking all the global weather patterns into account, the Climate Prediction Center on Tuesday predicted moderate chances that a tropical storm would develop this week in the Caribbean, between Central America and Cuba. For the following week, the region that the CPC highlights for possible tropical storm development is much broader, stretching across the Caribbean and into the Gulf of Mexico and southwestern Atlantic.

The National Hurricane Center is not making any predictions for tropical development now, at least not within the next two days. The NHC's Tropical Weather Discussion refers to a tropical wave in the western Caribbean, but predicts that the wave will fizzle on Friday, before crossing Mexico's Yucatan Peninsula into the Bay of Campeche.

But forecasters for the private AccuWeather.com service said conditions will become more favorable for "a potential window of development by later next week."

So far this year, two tropical storms have formed, both before the official start to the season. The next name on the list is Chris.

A patch of stormy weather lingering over Central America might move northward into the Gulf of Mexico's Bay of Campeche late this weekend, where it could eventually develop into a tropical depression or tropical storm, forecasters with AccuWeather.com reported this afternoon. Forecasters there said warm water, high moisture and relaxed wind-shear next week will give any disturbance in the Gulf or Western Caribbean an opportunity to organize.

The National Hurricane Center, on the other hand, is not making any predictions for the broad area of thunderstorms and showers that span Central America. The NHC's Tropical Weather Discussion refers to a tropical wave in the western Caribbean, but predicts that the wave will fizzle out on Friday, before crossing Mexico's Yucatan Peninsula into the Bay of Campeche.

While storm forecasts for the tropical Atlantic are mixed, the Climate Prediction Center on Tuesday predicted moderate chances that a tropical storm would develop this week in the Caribbean, between Central America and Cuba. For the following week, the region that the CPC highlights for possible tropical storm development is much broader, stretching across the Caribbean and into the Gulf of Mexico and Southwestern Atlantic.

[Image: hurr_small.gif]
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06-14-2012, 06:22 AM
Post: #38
Tropical Storm Debby Gulf Of Mexico
LIX

Quote:TOWARDS THE END OF THE FORECAST PERIOD...MEDIUM RANGE MODELS TRY
TO SPIN UP SOMETHING IN THE WAY OF TROPICAL DEVELOPMENT IN THE
WESTERN CARIBBEAN OR THE BAY OF CAMPECHE WITH GREAT VARIANCE IN
STRENGTH AND MOVEMENT. AT THIS POINT...WILL SIMPLY CONTINUE TO
MONITOR.

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06-14-2012, 06:44 AM
Post: #39
Tropical Storm Debby Gulf Of Mexico
Joe-Nathan Wrote:You talking about this site: http://moe.met.fsu.edu/tcgengifs/

If so, it seems to be up to date on all models.

Yup, that's the one! Even when I clicked on your link, the last dates areMay 14th. I wonder why? Maybe my internet settings.
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06-14-2012, 07:51 AM
Post: #40
Tropical Storm Debby Gulf Of Mexico
OPHarbor Wrote:Yup, that's the one! Even when I clicked on your link, the last dates areMay 14th. I wonder why? Maybe my internet settings.

You might want to call Al Gore since he invented the internet /headbang

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