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HURRICANE ALEX Makes landfall in MX with 105 mph winds
06-21-2010, 08:53 AM
Post: #11
HURRICANE ALEX Makes landfall in MX with 105 mph winds
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06-21-2010, 08:54 AM
Post: #12
HURRICANE ALEX Makes landfall in MX with 105 mph winds
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06-21-2010, 08:55 AM
Post: #13
HURRICANE ALEX Makes landfall in MX with 105 mph winds
[Image: GOES13152010172W1n83Y.jpg]

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06-21-2010, 09:05 AM
Post: #14
HURRICANE ALEX Makes landfall in MX with 105 mph winds
GFS is forecasting almost no shear and with the very warm water this thing will be a real player down the road.The most likely landfall target at this time is on the TX/MX boarder at 105mph

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06-21-2010, 09:13 AM
Post: #15
HURRICANE ALEX Makes landfall in MX with 105 mph winds
Euro

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06-21-2010, 09:15 AM
Post: #16
HURRICANE ALEX Makes landfall in MX with 105 mph winds
20% chance right now. People were wondering about a hurrican in the GoM with the oil if the shear is relaxed we may find out sooner rather than later

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06-21-2010, 09:16 AM
Post: #17
HURRICANE ALEX Makes landfall in MX with 105 mph winds
That's the one that got my attention!
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06-21-2010, 09:18 AM
Post: #18
HURRICANE ALEX Makes landfall in MX with 105 mph winds
[Image: 20100621.1345.goes13.x.ir1km.93LINVEST.2....100pc.jpg]

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06-21-2010, 09:20 AM
Post: #19
HURRICANE ALEX Makes landfall in MX with 105 mph winds
SHIPS forecast for very low shear and High Heat content.


* ATLANTIC SHIPS INTENSITY FORECAST *
* GOES DATA AVAILABLE *
* OHC DATA AVAILABLE *
* INVEST AL932010 06/21/10 12 UTC *

TIME (HR) 0 6 12 18 24 36 48 60 72 84 96 108 120
V (KT) NO LAND 25 27 29 33 37 46 56 65 70 76 80 84 88
V (KT) LAND 25 27 29 33 37 46 56 65 70 76 80 84 88
V (KT) LGE mod 25 26 27 29 31 35 41 49 59 70 80 90 96

SHEAR (KT) 7 7 12 9 5 7 7 5 8 4 2 6 8
SHEAR ADJ (KT) -4 -2 -4 -6 -3 -4 -2 -2 -4 -4 -3 -5 -4
SHEAR DIR 212 168 172 185 266 183 285 263 301 213 291 229 348
SST © 28.9 28.9 28.9 28.8 28.8 28.8 28.9 29.0 29.1 29.2 29.3 29.5 29.6
POT. INT. (KT) 151 151 151 149 149 149 150 151 152 154 155 159 160
ADJ. POT. INT. 151 150 151 149 148 147 146 145 143 144 145 147 146
200 MB T © -53.2 -52.3 -52.1 -52.5 -52.9 -52.1 -52.7 -52.4 -53.0 -52.6 -52.9 -52.6 -53.0
TH_E DEV © 7 7 6 6 6 8 8 10 10 12 10 12 10
700-500 MB RH 83 84 85 82 81 80 78 74 72 68 67 64 64
GFS VTEX (KT) 0 LOST LOST LOST LOST LOST LOST LOST LOST LOST LOST LOST LOST
850 MB ENV VOR 67 84 82 85 80 80 67 71 65 69 57 52 26
200 MB DIV 83 78 83 84 80 79 58 44 23 7 -11 -3 3
LAND (KM) 238 207 178 195 201 326 231 192 276 265 212 241 228
LAT (DEG N) 13.0 13.3 13.6 14.0 14.3 15.1 15.7 16.3 16.6 16.9 17.4 18.0 18.5
LONG(DEG W) 67.2 68.3 69.4 70.7 71.9 74.3 76.6 78.6 80.3 81.7 83.1 84.3 85.4
STM SPEED (KT) 12 11 12 13 12 12 11 9 7 7 7 6 5
HEAT CONTENT 67 56 64 76 76 70 82 113 104 83 91 87 84

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06-21-2010, 09:28 AM
Post: #20
HURRICANE ALEX Makes landfall in MX with 105 mph winds
This is already getting scary, and we don't have a named storm yet. I am scared to Death to see where all those 100's of millions of Gallons of Oil have been hiding underneath the sea.

Everyone needs to be prepared.
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