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March big dog storm has been nutered
02-22-2010, 04:37 PM
Post: #11
March big dog storm has been nutered
MOB

Quote:.LONG TERM...(THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY)...THE ACTIVE SOUTHERN STREAM
CONTINUES INTO THE EXTENDED AS GLOBAL MODELS INDICATE TWO SYSTEMS
MOVING ACROSS THE NORTH CENTRAL GULF. IN FACT...BOTH THE GFS AND
ECMWF ARE UNUSUALLY SIMILAR WITH BOTH SYSTEMS. THE FIRST SYSTEM IS
FORECAST TO MOVE ACROSS THE NORTHERN GULF FRIDAY NIGHT INTO EARLY
SATURDAY WITH ANOTHER GULF LOW ON MONDAY. FORECAST PARTIAL THICKNESS
VALUES INDICATE MIXED PRECIP ACROSS NORTHERN PORTIONS OF THE AREA
WITH BOTH SYSTEMS. HOWEVER...IT IS WAY TOO EARLY TO GET SPECIFIC
WITH EITHER SYSTEM AND CHANGES IN THE EXACT TRACK OF EACH LOW
WILL BE CRITICAL IN DETERMINING WHETHER WE SEE ALL RAIN OR SOME
MIXED PRECIP. FOR THIS REASON...WILL MAINTAIN THE ALL LIQUID PRECIP
FORECAST FROM THE MID SHIFT AND CONTINUE TO CAREFULLY WATCH FUTURE
DEVELOPMENTS. TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN BELOW NORMAL THROUGH THE
EXTENDED PERIOD. /13

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02-23-2010, 08:41 AM
Post: #12
March big dog storm has been nutered
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02-23-2010, 09:19 AM
Post: #13
March big dog storm has been nutered
LAKE CHARLES NWS MEDIUM RANGE FORECAST:

Quote:LOOKING BRIEFLY AT THE MEDIUM TO EXTENDED RANGE...STILL LOOKS LIKE
TWO SYSTEMS ARE SLATED TO AFFECT THE REGION...THE FIRST ON FRIDAY
AND THE SECOND ON SUNDAY/MONDAY. GLOBAL MODELS ARE IN GENERALLY
GOOD AGREEMENT ON THE OVERALL FEATURES...BUT DO HAVE SOME RELATIVELY
SMALL TIMING ISSUES THAT NEED TO BE RESOLVED. WINTER PRECIP WILL
BE A CLOSE CALL WITH BOTH...BUT LETS GET THROUGH THE ONE
IMMEDIATELY IN FRONT OF US FIRST.

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02-23-2010, 12:35 PM
Post: #14
March big dog storm has been nutered
[Image: gfs_pcp_168l.gif]

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02-23-2010, 05:37 PM
Post: #15
March big dog storm has been nutered
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02-23-2010, 07:21 PM
Post: #16
March big dog storm has been nutered
18z GFS

[Image: 18zgfsensemblep12144.gif]
[Image: 18zgfsensemblep12156.gif]
[Image: 18zgfsensemblep12168.gif]

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02-23-2010, 11:30 PM
Post: #17
March big dog storm has been nutered
[Image: gfs_ten_132s.gif]
And there she goes:
[Image: gfs_ten_144s.gif]
[Image: gfs_ten_150s.gif]

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02-24-2010, 08:04 AM
Post: #18
March big dog storm has been nutered
What kind of system are we looking at for Saturday and what is the timing for Central Florida panhandle...still sweating the outdoor wedding. Thanks
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02-24-2010, 08:07 AM
Post: #19
March big dog storm has been nutered
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02-24-2010, 09:01 AM
Post: #20
March big dog storm has been nutered
Thank you very much, that was very helpful, our meterologists reduced the rain chance on Saturday but were not giving any details on type of front etc. After looking at your forecast models I know why now. I still have all of my fingers crossed that the rain goes away./bana
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