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Potential Flurries/1/7/10 - FL SNOW 1/9/10
01-08-2010, 10:06 PM
Post: #281
Potential Flurries/1/7/10 - FL SNOW 1/9/10
[Image: 45f2183f.png]

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01-08-2010, 10:10 PM
Post: #282
Potential Flurries/1/7/10 - FL SNOW 1/9/10
SW flow might bring some white stuff, looks like Bob Breck might be right been saying it since Mon -Tue

Houma, La
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01-08-2010, 10:16 PM
Post: #283
Potential Flurries/1/7/10 - FL SNOW 1/9/10
Report of Flurries from around Hammond, LA.... Without pics I don't believe it ....

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01-08-2010, 11:04 PM
Post: #284
Potential Flurries/1/7/10 - FL SNOW 1/9/10
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY RUSKIN FL
853 PM EST FRI JAN 8 2010

.UPDATE...WE MUST NOW CONSIDER THE POSSIBILITY FOR SOME FROZEN PRECIPITATION IN THE FORECAST. THE MAV GUIDANCE IS DOING A TERRIBLE JOB WITH TEMPERATURES RIGHT NOW. BROOKSVILLE IS 42 DEGREES AT 8 PM. THE MAV ONLY BREAKS THROUGH 42 DEGREES AT 09Z...OR 4 AM...WHEN IT SHOWS 41. AT LEAST THE MET HAS 39 AT 03Z...OR 10 PM...WHICH IS EASILY OBTAINABLE. IT MAKES SENSE THAT THE MET GUIDANCE IS COLDER SINCE IT DOES NOT SHOW NEAR THE OVER-RUNNING THAT THE GFS DOES. THE TRUTH MAY END UP SOMEWHERE BETWEEN THE TWO MODELS.

THE BUFKIT TOOL SHOWS MIXED PRECIPITATION POSSIBLE FROM ABOUT HILLSBOROUGH/PINELLAS COUNTIES NORTH. IT LOOKS LIKE LEVY COUNTY WILL DRY OUT SO DO NOT HAVE FROZEN PRECIPITATION THERE. THE GFS PRECIPITATION TYPE ALGORITHM IS SHOWING SNOW AND ICE PELLETS MIXED IN WITH THE RAIN AS WELL. WE WILL ONLY HAVE ABOUT A 2000 TO 3000 FOOT LAYER OF AIR ABOVE THE SURFACE THAT WILL HAVE TEMPERATURES ABOVE FREEZING. EVEN THIS LAYER IS CLOSE TO FREEZING...PERHAPS NEAR 34 DEGREES. IF THAT LAYER IS COOLED...WE WILL SEE RAIN AND SNOW MIXED. IF THE LAYER REMAINS ABOVE FREEZING...WE WILL PROBABLY SEE MORE OF A RAIN AND ICE PELLET MIX. OF COURSE...IF THE LAYER IS WARMER AND DEEPER THAN MODELS NOW SUGGEST...WE WILL STILL JUST SEE RAIN. WITH ALL THIS IN MIND...

SEVERAL CHANGES ARE BEING MADE WITH THIS UPDATE. FIRST...WE ARE ADDING SOME MIXED LIGHT SNOW AND ICE PELLETS TO THE RAIN SHOWERS TONIGHT FOR THE NATURE COAST AND SATURDAY MORNING FOR PINELLAS...HILLSBOROUGH AND POLK. IT IS VERY IMPORTANT TO NOTE THAT NOTHING WILL STICK ON THE GROUND. TEMPERATURES JUST 4 INCHES BELOW THE SURFACE ARE STILL RUNNING IN THE 50S ACCORDING TO LOCAL OBSERVATIONS. ALSO...RAIN MIXED IN WITH THE FROZEN PRECIPITATION WILL HASTEN THE MELTING AS WELL. ALSO...WE ARE NOT LOOKING FOR LONG PERIODS OF FROZEN PRECIPITATION...JUST SOME MIXED IN WITH THE RAIN HERE AND THERE.
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01-09-2010, 05:43 AM
Post: #285
Potential Flurries/1/7/10 - FL SNOW 1/9/10
[Image: image1.gif]

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01-09-2010, 07:56 AM
Post: #286
Potential Flurries/1/7/10 - FL SNOW 1/9/10
No snow here yet. There was a possibility of some sleet before sunrise at my house but it was something I heard, not saw so I'm not sure.

It's currently 34, down 1 degree since I got up at 6:15 and we have light rain.
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01-09-2010, 09:51 AM
Post: #287
Potential Flurries/1/7/10 - FL SNOW 1/9/10
Well, just after 6:30 a.m. we had light rain mixed with sleet and ice pellets.

After 9 a.m. here we had ice pellets/snow flurries mixed as new moisture plum came off the gulf with dropping temps.

Around the area:
[Image: lgsnowonjeep.jpg]

[Image: lgjacksleet.jpg]

[Image: lgsleetdock.jpg]

[Image: lgsnowontruck.jpg]

[Image: lgdebralord.jpg]
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01-09-2010, 10:29 AM
Post: #288
Potential Flurries/1/7/10 - FL SNOW 1/9/10
Marcus Taups should be banned from Spotternet for this fake report

Quote:LIX: Non-NWS Report -- from SpotterNetwork (unverified) @ 08:10 AM CST -- (S) Tor -- -- Spotter is 24 miles NE of Balize (historical), LA (Plaquemines county) [29.288/-88.760] -- Numerous water spouts observed forming in the area (SN#4796)

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01-09-2010, 10:32 AM
Post: #289
Potential Flurries/1/7/10 - FL SNOW 1/9/10
TBW: Brooksville [Hernando Co, FL] trained spotter reports SLEET of E0.00 INCH at 09:37 AM EST -- spotter reports that it has begun sleeting in brooksville again.

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01-09-2010, 10:33 AM
Post: #290
Potential Flurries/1/7/10 - FL SNOW 1/9/10
TBW: 5 Nne Crystal River [Citrus Co, FL] trained spotter reports SLEET of E0.00 INCH at 06:48 AM EST -- cocorahs observer reports sleet fell with light accumulations on surfaces.

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