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Another summertime deep South cold front?
09-03-2009, 04:27 AM
Post: #1
Another summertime deep South cold front?
From this mornings N.O. NWS forecast discussion:

Quote:.LONG TERM...
THE OTHER ADDITION TO ALL THIS IS AN EASTERLY WAVE THAT HAS SO FAR
BEEN RELATIVELY INERT. IT IS CURRENTLY LOCATED AT ABOUT 80W. THIS
FEATURE WILL MOVE THROUGH THE GULF ALMOST UNDETECTED UNTIL IT
BEGINS TO COLLIDE AND REACT WITH THE OLD FRONTAL BOUNDARY LATE SAT.
A GOOD BIT OF CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY SHOULD DEVELOP FROM THIS AND
MOVE ON STORM MOTION VECTORS TO THE NE. A SFC LOW MAY EVEN DEVELOP
ALONG THE OLD BOUNDARY AND MOVE NE THROUGH THE COASTAL WATERS SUN
AND MON. THIS SFC LOW LOOKS TILTED SOMWHAT BACK TO THE WEST AND
EVEN HAS A SFC TROUGH ATTACHED WHICH RELATES MORE WITH A BAROCLINIC
SYSTEM THAN A TRUE TROPICAL ONE...BUT HAS A STRONG DEEP TROPICAL
FETCH THAT IT TAKES FULL ADVANTAGE OF. THIS WILL ALL CAUSE A
STRONG UPPER VORT TO DROP TO THE BASE OF THE CURRENT UPPER LONG
WAVE TROUGH REINFORCING IT A BIT.

THEN ENTERS ERIKA OR THE REMNANTS THEREOF TUE INTO WED. THE ERIKA
MESS GETS PICKED UP BY THE LONG WAVE TROUGH AND USHERS IT
NORTHWARD. THIS IN TURN CAUSES A HUGE MASS OF DENSE COOL DRY AIR
TO BE DISPLACED FROM WELL NORTH OF THE AREA AND MOVE SOUTH. A
HUGE(WINTERLIKE) UPPER TROUGH THEN BEGINS TO DEVELOP AND DROPS
WELL INTO THE GULF BY FRI OF NEXT WEEK WITH ONE OF THE STRONGEST
TRUE COLD FRONTS SEEN IN A WHILE FOR THIS EARLY IN SEP. CONFIDENCE
IS FAIRLY HIGH WITH THIS UPPER TROUGH FEATURE DEVELOPING AND MORE
OR LESS WITH THE FINAL PATH OF ERIKA.

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09-03-2009, 06:18 AM
Post: #2
Another summertime deep South cold front?
So should I light the pilot on the gas stove in the living room,is that what your trying to tell me? It's 58 this morning,going to 80 today. think I'll try to squeeze in 18 holes! (Location- mountains of upper NE Georgia).
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09-03-2009, 07:33 AM
Post: #3
Another summertime deep South cold front?
That would be perfect. A real could front for the second weekend in Sept. I can here the Teal hunters celebrating (me included). Windows opened all day and night. No AC's running. NICE!!

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09-03-2009, 08:26 AM
Post: #4
Another summertime deep South cold front?
Joe-Nathan Wrote:That would be perfect. A real could front for the second weekend in Sept. I can here the Teal hunters celebrating (me included). Windows opened all day and night. No AC's running. NICE!!

Should get those birds moving!!! I don't like perspiring in the duck blind!!
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09-03-2009, 08:32 AM
Post: #5
Another summertime deep South cold front?
it's never going to make it

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09-05-2009, 07:54 PM
Post: #6
Another summertime deep South cold front?
Correcto mundo Rollie. No mention of a cool/cold front in today's forecast discussion. I'd love to know what lead you to that conclusion.

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09-09-2009, 08:18 AM
Post: #7
Another summertime deep South cold front?
The simple fact that there was no cold air building up to north and that the GFS sucks at forecasting the first couple of cold fronts

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09-09-2009, 04:58 PM
Post: #8
Another summertime deep South cold front?
Gotcha.

Thanks /toast

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09-15-2009, 07:36 AM
Post: #9
Another summertime deep South cold front?
We should see that first taste of fall in about 8 days Smile

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09-15-2009, 09:40 AM
Post: #10
Another summertime deep South cold front?
[Image: 14Day.jpg]
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