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NWS - Lake Charles, LA Area
04-20-2009, 06:15 AM
Post: #11
NWS - Lake Charles, LA Area
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
615 AM CDT MON APR 20 2009


Quote:.AVIATION...
VFR CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH TUESDAY WITH CLEAR SKIES
ACROSS THE AREA. HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING OVER THE REGION WILL
PRODUCE NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 KNOTS TODAY. WINDS WILL WEAKEN
TO LESS THAN 5 KNOTS THIS EVENING...BECOMING VARIABLE OR
SOUTHWESTERLY AS THE HIGH MOVES OVER THE NW GULF. 24

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 338 AM CDT MON APR 20 2009/

DISCUSSION...
A DEEPENING TROUGH OVER THE EASTERN U.S. IN THE WAKE OF THIS
WEEKENDS STORM SYSTEM AND A RIDGE ALONG THE WEST COAST WILL KEEP
SOUTHWEST LOUISIANA AND SOUTHEAST TEXAS IN NORTHWESTERLY FLOW
THROUGH WEDNESDAY. WILL SEE DRY CONDITIONS THROUGH WEDNESDAY AS
WELL. WITH THE DRIER AIRMASS SITUATED ACROSS THE AREA...SHOULD SEE
TEMPERATURES SLIGHTLY LOWER THAN AVERAGE FOR LOWS AND SLIGHTLY HIGHER
THAN AVERAGE ON THE HIGHS.

PATTERN BECOMES MORE ZONAL FOR LATE WEEK INTO NEXT WEEKEND ALONG
WITH A WARMING TREND. WITH THE MODELS BOUNCING AROUND ON A SYSTEM
END OF THE WEEK INTO THE WEEKEND...HAVE REMOVED POPS AND JUST WENT
WITH INCREASING CLOUDS.

MARINE...
OFFSHORE WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO SUBSIDE TODAY AND WINDS AND SEAS
SHOULD REMAIN LIGHT OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. ONSHORE WINDS
SHOULD INCREASE ON FRIDAY AS A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE BEGINS TO
DEVELOP OVER WEST TEXAS.

HYDROLOGY...
WITH THE SUBSTANTIAL RAINFALLS OVER THE WEEKEND...RUNOFF CONTINUES
TO WORK INTO AREA RIVER SYSTEMS...WITH FLOODING OCCURRING OR
EXPECTED ALONG MUCH OF THE CALCASIEU RIVER AND TRIBUTARIES
INCLUDING BUNDICK`S AND WHISKY CHITTO CREEKS. THE LOWER MERMENTAU
WILL ALSO SEE SOME MINOR FLOODING OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS.
BAYOU ANACOCO WILL BEGIN TO FALL LATER TODAY. OTHER LOCATIONS THAT
WILL EXPERIENCE FLOODING ARE THE LOWER SABINE RIVER...AND PORTIONS
OF THE LOWER NECHES RIVER AS WELL AS PINE ISLAND BAYOU.

&&

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04-21-2009, 06:12 AM
Post: #12
NWS - Lake Charles, LA Area
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
325 AM CDT TUE APR 21 2009


Quote:.DISCUSSION...AN EXTENDED PERIOD OF DRY WEATHER IS ANTICIPATED
THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEK. SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD
AND EXPAND OVER THE GULF AND THEN SHIFT EAST AND EXPAND FURTHER OVER
THE EASTERN U.S. MODELS CONTINUE TREND IN DEVELOPING AND MAINTAINING
ZONAL FLOW BY LATE THIS WEEK. SHORTWAVE ENERGY AND CONVECTIVE FOCUS
SHOULD REMAIN NORTH OF THE AREA THROUGH AT LEAST THE WEEKEND. GFS
TRIES TO BRING A FRONT TO THE ARKLATX AREA BY LATE SUNDAY BEFORE
STALLING EARLY NEXT WEEK. ECMWF KEEPS FRONT MUCH FURTHER NORTH.
FOR NOW...WILL FORECAST LOW POPS OVER NORTHERN AREAS ON TUESDAY.
TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE TO BE WARM DURING THE DAY. MIN TEMPS
SHOULD BE ABOVE NORMAL LATE IN THE WEEK AS BREEZY S/SE FLOW WILL
ALLOW TEMPS TO ONLY FALL INTO THE MID TO UPPER 60S.


.MARINE...ONSHORE FLOW WILL GRADUALLY EVOLVE THROUGH THE WEEK AS HIGH PRESSURE
BUILDS AND EXPANDS OVER THE EASTERN U.S. SCEC TO SCA CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE BY FRIDAY AS DEVELOPING LOW PRESSURE OVER THE LEE OF THE
ROCKIES WILL TIGHTEN PRESSURE GRADIENT OVER THE NW GULF.


.HYDROLOGY...MODERATE FLOODING IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE ALONG THE
CALCASIEU RIVER AT OBERLIN. MOST OF THE RIVERS ARE IN THE PROCESS
OF CRESTING. A FEW POINTS ALONG THE SABINE RIVER MAY CONTINUE TO
HAVE MODEST RISES THROUGHOUT TODAY.


&&

YAWN!

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04-22-2009, 06:18 AM
Post: #13
NWS - Lake Charles, LA Area
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
638 AM CDT WED APR 22 2009


.DISCUSSION...
12Z TAF PACKAGE.

&&

Quote:.AVIATION...
SOME FOG TO CONTEND WITH THIS MORNING AT THE COASTAL TERMINALS.
EARLIER MODEL FORECAST SOUNDINGS SHOWED A MONSTER LOW LEVEL
INVERSION DEVELOPING THIS MORNING AS NEAR SURFACE TEMPERATURES
COOLED TO SATURATION VIA RADIATIONAL COOLING...AND GIVEN THE
PROLIFIC AP/CLUTTER ON REGIONAL RADARS...I DONT NEED TO SEE THE
12Z RAOB TO KNOW ITS THERE. ONLY A FEW HRS OF DAYTIME HEATING
SHOULD BE ENOUGH TO MIX OUT THE FOG...AND VFR WILL PREVAIL AT ALL
TERMINALS BY MID TO LATE MORNING. A REPEAT PERFORMANCE IS POSSIBLE
LATE TONIGHT INTO EARLY THURSDAY MORNING...BUT THIS IS TO CLOSE
TO THE END OF THE 24 HOUR FORECAST PERIOD TO INCLUDE AT THIS TIME.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 359 AM CDT WED APR 22 2009/

Quote:DISCUSSION...
SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE IS CENTERED OVER THE FORECAST AREA THIS
MORNING WITH CLEAR SKIES AND LIGHT WINDS AREA WIDE. THIS HIGH WILL
SLIDE TO THE SOUTHEAST...WHILE A LOW PRESSURE TROUGH DEVELOPS
ALONG THE TEXAS NEW MEXICO BORDER. AS A RESULT WILL SEE WARM
SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS ACROSS THE AREA THIS AFTERNOON ALLOWING
TEMPERATURES FURTHER FROM THE COAST TO WARM INTO THE MID AND UPPER
80S. ALONG THE COAST THE COOLER WATERS WILL KEEP TEMPERATURES IN
THE UPPER 70S TO LOWER 80S.

WINDS WILL GRADUALLY BECOME MORE SOUTHERLY AS THE HIGH PRESSURE
CONTINUE TO MOVE EAST AND A DEEPENING TROUGH IN THE WESTERN U.S.
CREATES LOWER PRESSURES IN WEST TEXAS. THIS WILL ALLOW
TEMPERATURES TO COOL BACK TO NEAR NORMAL TOMORROW AND FRIDAY WITH
THE WINDS COMING OFF THE GULF`S COOLER WATERS. ALSO MOISTURE WILL
BE INCREASING AS WELL. WINDS WILL BEGIN TO INCREASE ON FRIDAY INTO
THE WEEKEND AS THE TROUGH OVER THE WEST ADVANCES SLOWLY TO THE
EAST.

LATE IN THE WEEKEND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK...A COLD FRONT WILL MAKE
INTO THE SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL PLAINS. SOME INDICATIONS THAT
OUTFLOW BOUNDARIES THAT EMANATE FROM THUNDERSTORMS ALONG THE FRONT
COULD MAKE IT THIS FAR TO THE SOUTH AND ALONG WITH DAYTIME HEATING
ON SUNDAY HAVE INTRODUCED A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS
THE NORTHWEST ZONES.

FRONT MAKES SOME PROGRESS TO THE SOUTH EARLY NEXT WEEK...STILL
SOME UNCERTAINTY ON HOW FAR TO THE SOUTH...BUT CLOSE ENOUGH TO
CONTINUE POPS INTO NEXT WEEK...ESPECIALLY FOR THE NORTHERN ZONES.

MARINE...
SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL INCREASE TO MODERATE LEVELS LATE WEEK INTO
THE WEEKEND AS THE WINDS INCREASE BETWEEN HIGH PRESSURE ALONG THE
EAST COAST AND DEEPENING LOW PRESSURE IN THE WESTERN U.S. SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORIES WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED LATE WEEK INTO THE WEEKEND.

HYDROLOGY...
SEVERAL RIVERS REMAIN IN FLOOD ACROSS THE AREA. ALL RIVERS HAVE
CRESTED WITH THE EXCEPTION OF THE SABINE RIVER DOWNSTREAM OF BON
WEIR AND THE NECHES RIVER SOUTH OF TOWN BLUFF. ALSO THANKS TO THE
COOPERATION OF THE CITY OF ORANGE...SABINE RIVER AUTHORITY AND THE
USGS...A NEW RIVER GAGE HAS BEEN ESTABLISHED AT THE ORANGE RIVER
FORECAST POINT.

&&

Yup, it is foggy here in Lafayette - 1/4 mile to 1/2 mile vis.

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04-23-2009, 05:24 AM
Post: #14
NWS - Lake Charles, LA Area
AWESOME FESTIVAL INTERNATIONAL DE LOUISIANE WEATHER!!!!


AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
552 AM CDT THU APR 23 2009


Quote:.DISCUSSION...RELATIVELY BENIGN FORECAST ON TAP THROUGH THE
WEEKEND AND INTO NEXT WEEK AS THE MEAN TROF PROGGED TO DIG INTO
THE WESTERN CONUS INDUCES DOWNSTREAM RIDGE DEVELOPMENT OVER THE
SOUTHEAST CONUS. THIS WILL HAVE THE EFFECT OF LIFTING THE TRAIN OF
SHORTWAVE ENERGY NORTH/NORTHWEST OF THE AREA...ALONG A QUASI-
STATIONARY FRONTAL ZONE. SO WHILE SEVERAL ROUNDS OF WEATHER ARE
LIKELY FROM THE UPPER MIDWEST INTO RED RIVER VALLEY OF TEXAS AND
OKLAHOMA...THE RIDGE WILL BLOCK ANY SIGNIFICANT SYSTEMS FROM
AFFECTING THE NORTHWEST GULF COAST REGION.

AS THE SHEARED OUT REMNANTS OF THE SYSTEM CURRENTLY TRANSLATING
EAST THROUGH THE DESERT SOUTHWEST PER OVERNIGHT WATER VAPOR
IMAGERY BEGINS TO LIFT OUT...THERE IS SOME CHANCE OF RAINFALL AS
OUR MOISTURE AND TEMPERATURE PROFILE MODIFIES. NAM AND GFS
DISAGREE ON WHEN THE BEST CHANCE WOULD BE...WITH THE NAM SAYING
FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND THE GFS HOLDING OFF UNTIL SATURDAY. THE SREF
CONCURS WITH THE GFS...SO WILL INCLUDE A SLIGHT CHANCE OVER EAST
TEXAS SATURDAY...BUT CONTINUE TO MONITOR TRENDS SHOULD A POP BE
NEEDED FOR TOMORROW AS WELL.

OTHERWISE...SMALL POPS WERE ALSO INCLUDED/MAINTAINED FOR THE WORK
WEEK AS THE RIDGE SHIFTS TO THE EAST/..WHICH WOULD PLACE US A
LITTLE CLOSER TO THE SHORTWAVE TRAIN BEFORE IT BEGINS TO BUILD
BACK WEST AS IT WEAKENS.

IN SUMMARY...THE WEEKEND AND UPCOMING WEEK LOOKS MOSTLY
DRY...HUMID...WARM...AND BREEZY WITH MODEST SOUTHEASTERLY WINDS.

&&

.MARINE...A MODERATE SOUTHEASTERLY FETCH AROUND THE BERMUDA HIGH
WILL PREVAIL THROUGH THE WEEKEND. CONSEQUENTLY...LONG PERIOD WAVES
WILL STEADILY INCREASE. PERSISTENT SCEC IF NOT SCA CONDITIONS WILL
DEVELOP OVER THE WATERS BEYOND 20 NM DUE WINDS AND SEAS...WITH
SCEC LIKELY FOR THE INNER WATERS DUE TO WINDS.

&&

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04-24-2009, 07:18 AM
Post: #15
NWS - Lake Charles, LA Area
[COLOR="Black"]AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
707 AM CDT FRI APR 24 2009
[/COLOR]

.DISCUSSION...
12Z TAF PACKAGE.

&&

Quote:.AVIATION...
MVFR NOTED AT KLFT-KARA-KLCH THIS MORNING DUE TO LIGHT VISIBILITY
RESTRICTIONS...VFR AT KBPT...AND IFR AT KAEX WITH A LOW CIG AND
VISIBILITY RESTRICTION. THE MVFR AND IFR CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST
TO LAST FOR ANOTHER HR OR SO AS THE SUN BEGINS TO WARM UP THE NEAR
SURFACE LAYER. BY THE AFTERNOON...PRIMARY AVIATION WORRY WILL ONCE
AGAIN BE GUSTY SOUTH WINDS...WITH VFR THE PREVAILING CATEGORY.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 330 AM CDT FRI APR 24 2009/

DISCUSSION...A LARGE AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL REMAIN ANCHORED OFF
THE MID ATLANTIC SEABOARD THROUGH AT LEAST THE MIDDLE OF NEXT
WEEK. PERSISTENT LEE SIDE TROFFING WILL ALSO OCCUR DURING THIS
TIME ALLOWING FOR MODERATE S/SE WINDS. SHORTWAVE CURRENTLY OVER
FAR WEST TEXAS IS FORECASTED TO MOVE EASTWARD THROUGH SATURDAY.
DEEP LAYER MOISTURE IS LACKING AT THIS TIME BUT WILL HAVE LOW POPS
IN FORECAST FOR TX ZONES FOR SATURDAY. THTE PROGS MOVE AXIS VERY LITTLE
THROUGHOUT NEXT WEEK. WITH BOUNDARY AND BEST INSTABILITY REMAINING
WEST AND NORTH OF FORECAST AREA...WILL KEEP POPS AT 20 PERCENT OR
LESS FOR NOW. HOWEVER...WITH GFS AND ECMWF CONTINUING TO TREND
TOWARD MORE RIDGING IN THE SE...THESE POPS MAY BE ON THE
PESSIMISTIC SIDE. WARM AND HUMID CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE WITH
NIGHTTIME MIN TEMPERATURES EXPECTED TO BE WELL ABOVE NORMAL.

MARINE...GIVEN THE PERSISTENT S/SE FLOW FORECASTED THROUGH THE FORECAST
PERIOD...EXPECT WAVES TO SIGNIFICANTLY INCREASE BY EARLY NEXT
WEEK. GRADIENT SHOULD BE SUFFICIENT FOR SCA CONDITIONS TODAY AND
MAY CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS...ESPECIALLY OVER THE
OFFSHORE WATERS. WAVES SHOULD STILL BE FAIRLY HIGH AROUND THE
MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK EVEN THOUGH WINDS SHOULD BEGIN TO DIMINISH.

HYDROLOGY...MOST POINTS ON AREA RIVERS HAVE CRESTED AND ARE IN
RECESSION.

&&


Small Craft Advisory

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST...RESENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
720 AM CDT FRI APR 24 2009


Quote:COASTAL WATERS FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA TO HIGH ISLAND TX

GMZ450-452-455-250330-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAMERON, LA TO HIGH ISLAND, TX OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY TO CAMERON, LA OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO INTRACOASTAL CITY,
LA OUT 20 NM-
720 AM CDT FRI APR 24 2009

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS EVENING...

.TODAY...SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 20 KNOTS. SEAS 3 TO 5 FEET.
.TONIGHT...SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 20 KNOTS. SEAS 4 TO 6 FEET.
.SATURDAY...SOUTHEAST WINDS 15 TO 20 KNOTS. SEAS 3 TO 5 FEET. A
SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...SOUTHEAST WINDS 15 TO 20 KNOTS. SEAS 3 TO
5 FEET.
.SUNDAY...SOUTHEAST WINDS 20 TO 25 KNOTS. SEAS 5 TO 6 FEET.
.MONDAY...SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 20 KNOTS. SEAS 6 TO 7 FEET.
.TUESDAY...SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 15 KNOTS. SEAS 5 TO 6 FEET. A
SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

$$


Lake Wind Advisory

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Quote:URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE...DELAYED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
722 AM CDT FRI APR 24 2009

...LAKE WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM FOR AREAS WEST OF A
LINE FROM NASHVILLE AND TEXARKANA ARKANSAS TO MANY LOUISIANA...

.SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL PROVIDE WINDY CONDITIONS ON AREA LAKES
THROUGH THIS EVENING.

ARZ050-051-059-070-LAZ001-002-010-017-OKZ077-TXZ096-097-108>112-
124>126-136>138-149>153-165>167-242100-
/O.CON.KSHV.LW.Y.0029.000000T0000Z-090425T0000Z/
SEVIER-HOWARD-LITTLE RIVER-MILLER-CADDO-BOSSIER-DE SOTO-SABINE LA-
MCCURTAIN-RED RIVER-BOWIE-FRANKLIN-TITUS-CAMP-MORRIS-CASS-WOOD-
UPSHUR-MARION-SMITH-GREGG-HARRISON-CHEROKEE-RUSK-PANOLA-
NACOGDOCHES-SHELBY-ANGELINA-SAN AUGUSTINE-SABINE TX-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...DE QUEEN...NASHVILLE...ASHDOWN...
TEXARKANA...SHREVEPORT...BOSSIER CITY...MANSFIELD...MANY...
IDABEL...CLARKSVILLE...MT VERNON...MT PLEASANT...PITTSBURG...
DAINGERFIELD...ATLANTA...QUITMAN...GILMER...JEFFERSON...TYLER...
LONGVIEW...MARSHALL...RUSK...HENDERSON...CARTHAGE...NACOGDOCHES...
CENTER...LUFKIN...SAN AUGUSTINE...HEMPHILL
722 AM CDT FRI APR 24 2009

...LAKE WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM CDT THIS
EVENING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SHREVEPORT CONTINUES WITH A LAKE
WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM CDT THIS EVENING.

A STRONG PRESSURE GRADIENT BETWEEN HIGH PRESSURE ACROSS THE
NORTHERN GULF COAST AND A LOW ACROSS NEBRASKA WILL PROVIDE WINDY
CONDITIONS ON AREA LAKES TODAY. SUSTAINED WINDS OF 15 TO 25 MPH
WITH GUSTS UP TO 35 MPH WILL CONTINUE THROUGH EARLY EVENING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A LAKE WIND ADVISORY INDICATES THAT WINDS WILL CAUSE ROUGH CHOP
ON AREA LAKES. SMALL BOATS WILL BE ESPECIALLY PRONE TO CAPSIZING.

&&

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04-25-2009, 10:28 AM
Post: #16
NWS - Lake Charles, LA Area
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
644 AM CDT SAT APR 25 2009


Quote:.DISCUSSION...
MCS THAT INITIATED NEAR HOUSTON YESTERDAY EVENING HAS ALL BUT
DISSIPATED WITH ONLY A FEW SHOWERS/AREAS OF RAINFALL REMAINING
ALONG THE SABINE RIVER. RADAR ESTIMATES OF 3 TO 5 INCHES JUST
BARELY SNEAK INTO JEFFERSON COUNTY TO THE SOUTH OF NOME...WITH
HIGHER TOTALS FARTHER WEST.

MAIN QUESTION FOR TODAY IS WHETHER THERE WILL BE RENEWED
CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS ENERGY STILL
SPILLING INTO SHEAR AXIS SITUATED OVER EAST TEXAS...WITH
CONVECTION OVER EAST CENTRAL TEXAS THAT DEVELOPED WEST OF INITIAL
MCS EVIDENCE OF ADDITIONAL AND CONTINUED LIFT. FORECAST SOUNDINGS
OVER EAST TEXAS INTO WESTERN LOUISIANA SHOW LITTLE TO NO
INHIBITION IN PLACE BY THIS AFTERNOON...THOUGH ATMOSPHERIC
MOISTURE WILL REMAIN DEEPER TO OUR WEST. WILL CONTINUE WITH
GENERALLY SMALL POPS OVER EAST TEXAS AND JUST ACROSS THE SABINE
RIVER FOR TODAY...AND LEAVE TONIGHT DRY IN THE EVENT NOTHING
MATERIALIZES LATER THIS AFTERNOON.

OTHER PRIMARY CONCERN FOR TODAY IS THE WIND...WHICH BY ALL
ACCOUNTS SHOULD MAKE IT TO LAKE WIND ADVISORY CRITERIA BY LATE
MORNING/EARLY AFTERNOON. CONFIDENCE IS HIGHEST OVER THE COASTAL
PLAINS ALONG AND SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 10...AND INTO EAST TEXAS AND
WEST LOUISIANA...BUT EVEN LOCATIONS THAT DO NOT QUITE GET THERE
SHOULD STILL BE PLENTY BREEZY. WILL RUN THE HAZARD THROUGH
23Z...OR 6 PM...WHEN THE WINDS SHOULD HAVE DROPPED BELOW CRITERIA
AREAWIDE.

NO FUNDAMENTAL CHANGES TO THE MEDIUM/EXTENDED RANGE OF THE
FORECAST...AS THE OVERALL PATTERN LOOKS TO REMAIN GENERALLY THE
SAME UNTIL EARLY NEXT WEEK...WITH THE SE CONUS RIDGE AND WESTERN
CONUS TROF EXPECTED TO KEEP THE MAIN STORM TRACK TO OUR
NORTH/NORTHWEST. THIS WILL START TO CHANGE ON MONDAY...AS THE
RIDGE BEGINS TO BE ERODED AND THE SUBTROPICAL JET NOSES INTO THE
AREA. THIS WILL OPEN THE DOOR FOR BETTER RAIN CHANCES.

&&

.MARINE...
THE BERMUDA HIGH RIDGES WEST THROUGH THE SOUTHEAST UNITED
STATES...WHILE A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE STRETCHES ACROSS THE
SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL PLAINS. THIS WEATHER CONFIGURATION IS
GENERATING LARGE DIFFERENCES IN PRESSURE ACROSS THE COASTAL
WATERS. A FRESH SOUTHEASTERLY WIND IS THE RESULT. I COULD
LITERALLY POST A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY OVER THE OUTER WATERS
THROUGH NEXT WEDNESDAY GIVEN THE PROGGED SEAS...BUT WILL STICK
WITH CONVENTION AND STRETCH THE HAZARD GRID THROUGH TONIGHT...OR
THROUGH THE END OF MY SECOND PERIOD. THE INNER WATERS AND
COASTAL/LAKES AND BAYS ARE A LITTLE MORE PROBLEMATIC...SINCE
THERE ARE CERTAINLY TIMES WITH SCA CRITERIA ARE MET. ON
BALANCE...HOWEVER...SCEC COVERS THE PREVAILING CONDITION
ADEQUATELY.

&&

.AVIATION...
MVFR CEILINGS ~1500-2000FT WILL CONTINUE THIS MORNING AT AEX/BPT/LCH
THROUGH 15-16Z BEFORE LIFTING TO VFR...OR ABOVE 3000FT. SE WINDS AT
BPT ALREADY PICKED UP 12-14 KTS THIS MORNING...AND EXPECTING TO
INCREASE FURTHER NEAR 20G28KT BY 16Z. WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO PICK UP
AT REMAINING TERMINALS...ALTHOUGH NOT AS STRONG. THESE WINDS WILL
SUBSIDE A BIT BY 00Z...BUT STILL REMAIN NEAR 10-12KT OVERNIGHT.

&&


.LCH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LA...LAKE WIND ADVISORY FROM 10 AM THIS MORNING TO 6 PM CDT THIS
EVENING FOR ACADIA-ALLEN-AVOYELLES-BEAUREGARD-CALCASIEU-
CAMERON-EVANGELINE-IBERIA-JEFFERSON DAVIS-LAFAYETTE-LOWER
ST. MARTIN-RAPIDES-ST. LANDRY-ST. MARY-UPPER ST. MARTIN-
VERMILION-VERNON.

TX...LAKE WIND ADVISORY FROM 10 AM THIS MORNING TO 6 PM CDT THIS
EVENING FOR HARDIN-JASPER-JEFFERSON-NEWTON-ORANGE-TYLER.

GM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 AM CDT SUNDAY FOR WATERS FROM
CAMERON, LA TO HIGH ISLAND, TX EXTENDING FROM 20 NM TO 60
NM-WATERS FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY, LA TO CAMERON, LA
EXTENDING FROM 20 NM TO 60 NM-WATERS FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA
RIVER TO INTRACOASTAL CITY, LA EXTENDING FROM 20 NM TO 60
NM.

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04-27-2009, 06:19 AM
Post: #17
NWS - Lake Charles, LA Area
[COLOR="Black"]AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
636 AM CDT MON APR 27 2009
[/COLOR]

Quote:.AVIATION...FOR 12Z TAF ISSUANCE...
LATEST SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SFC OBS INDICATE MVFR CEILINGS
BETWEEN 1000 AND 2000 FEET IN PLACE ACROSS THE REGION THIS
MORNING...ALTHOUGH WITH PERIODIC BREAKS WITH A SCATTERED DECK
ABOVE 2000 FEET. THUS HAVE CARRIED THESE CONDITIONS TO START THE
TAF PERIOD AT 12Z. MEANWHILE REGIONAL 88D AND OBS INDICATE SPOTTY
STREAMER SHOWERS POPPING UP OVER ACADIANA. EXPECT THIS ACTIVITY TO
DIMINISH WITH SUNRISE BUT HAVE INCLUDED A TEMPO FOR LIGHT SHOWERS
AT KLFT/KARA TO COVER. MAIN STORY AGAIN TODAY LOOKS TO BE THE
STRONG SRLY WINDS DEVELOPING BY MID-MORNING AS STRONGER WINDS JUST
OFF THE SFC MIX DOWN. EXPECTING SUSTAINED SPEEDS IN THE 15-20 KNOT
RANGE BY AFTERNOON...WITH KBPT LIKELY ABOVE 20 KNOTS...WITH GUSTS
EASILY IN THE 20S. AS WITH LAST EVENING WINDS SHOULD GRADUALLY DIMINISH
AFTER SUNSET...WITH LOW CLOUDS RETURNING OVERNIGHT.

25

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 529 AM CDT MON APR 27 2009/

DISCUSSION...
SFC ANALYSIS SHOWES RATHER WARM AND BREEZY CONDITIONS ACROSS THE
AREA THIS MORNING...WITH TEMPERATURE READINGS IN THE LOWER TO MID
70S. SE WINDS HAVE REMAINED RATHER STRONG OVERNIGHT DUE TO THE
TIGHT PRESSURE GRADIENT BETWEEN THE BERMUDA HIGH AND A TROUGH OF
LOW PRESSURE OVER THE SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL PLAINS.

MAIN FORECAST PROBLEMS TODAY WILL BE HOW FAR EAST THE SFC AND
UPPER LEVEL LEVEL TROF MOVES EAST...WHICH WILL GREATLY AFFECT THE
AMOUNT OF TSAR COVERAGE ACROSS THE REGION. THE ECMWF/GFS SOLN
INITIALIZES THE CURRENT TSRA COMPLEX OVER TX RATHER WELL...AND
SLOWS IT DOWN BEFORE MOVING TO E TX. EVIDENCE OF THIS IS ALREADY
NOTED IN CURRENT IR SAT IMAGERY. THE NAM WANTS TO KEEP IT TRUCKIN
INTO SE TX BY THIS AFTERNOON...AND C AND S LA EARLY THIS EVENING.
LEANED TOWARDS THE ECMWF/GFS SOLN FOR THE FORECAST...GOING FOR 30%
(40% FOR SE TX) OF SHRA/TSRA BY THIS AFTERNOON/EVENING. SPC HAS
MOST OF AREA IN SLIGHT RISK TODAY IN THE EVENT THAT THE MCS ACROSS
C TX MOVES INTO SE TX/W LA AND LA...WITH WIND DAMAGE THE LIKELY
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT.

EXPECT HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 80S. AS THE PRESSURE GRADIENT
RELAXES A BIT TONIGHT...LESS MIXING WILL OCCUR...THUS LOWS SHOULD
DIP A FEW MORE DEGREES OVERNIGHT...STILL REMAINING IN THE UPPER
60S TO LOWER 70S.

EXPECT A CONTINUED CHANCE OF SHRA/TSRA FOR TUE DUE TO THE CLOSE
PROXIMITY TO THE SFC/UPPER LEVEL TROF ACROSS THE PLAINS. HIGHS
WILL AGAIN REACH THE LOWER/MID 80S.

THE NEXT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND TSRA CAN BE EXPECT THIS WEEKEND AS
A STRONGER UPPER LEVEL TROF DIGS ACROSS THE CENTRAL PLAINS.
HOWEVER...TIMING DIFFERENCES BETWEEN THE ECMWF AND GFS
EXISTS...WHICH IS QUITE COMMON THIS TIME OF YEAR.

DML

MARINE...
SCA REMAINS FOR ALL ZONES TODAY AS THE TIGHT PRESSURE GRADIENT BETWEEN
THE BERMUDA HIGH AND A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE OVER THE SOUTHERN AND
CENTRAL PLAINS CONTINUES. AS THE SFC TROUGH MOVES CLOSER THIS
AFTERNOON...WINDS WILL RELAX BY THIS EVENING...BUT SEAS WILL BE SLOWER
TO SUBSIDE DUE TO THE LONG FETCH ACROSS THE GULF...WHICH IS WHY
THE SCA REMAINS THROUGH EARLY TUE MORNING.

&&



Quote:&&

.LCH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LA...LAKE WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 6 PM CDT THIS EVENING FOR THE FOLLOWING
ZONES: ACADIA...ALLEN...AVOYELLES...BEAUREGARD...
CALCASIEU...CAMERON...EVANGELINE...IBERIA...JEFFERSON
DAVIS...LAFAYETTE...LOWER ST. MARTIN...RAPIDES...ST.
LANDRY...ST. MARY...UPPER ST. MARTIN...VERMILION...VERNON.

TX...LAKE WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 6 PM CDT THIS EVENING FOR THE FOLLOWING
ZONES: HARDIN...JASPER...JEFFERSON...NEWTON...ORANGE...
TYLER.

GM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 8 AM CDT TUESDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING
ZONES: COASTAL WATERS FROM CAMERON, LA TO HIGH ISLAND, TX
OUT 20 NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY TO
CAMERON, LA OUT 20 NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM LOWER
ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO INTRACOASTAL CITY, LA OUT 20 NM...
WATERS FROM CAMERON, LA TO HIGH ISLAND, TX EXTENDING FROM
20 NM TO 60 NM...WATERS FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY, LA TO
CAMERON, LA EXTENDING FROM 20 NM TO 60 NM...WATERS FROM
LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO INTRACOASTAL CITY, LA EXTENDING
FROM 20 NM TO 60 NM.

SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR WINDS UNTIL 6 PM CDT THIS EVENING FOR
THE FOLLOWING ZONES: CALCASIEU LAKE...SABINE LAKE...
VERMILION BAY.

&&

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04-28-2009, 06:08 AM
Post: #18
NWS - Lake Charles, LA Area
Hey, an 1/2inch in the ole bucket last night!

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
450 AM CDT TUE APR 28 2009


Quote:.DISCUSSION...
MAIN FORECAST PROBLEM FOR THIS MORNING IS THE EVENTUAL DESTINATION
OF THE NEARLY STATIONARY MCS OVER HOUSTON. LATEST RADAR AND SAT
SHOWS MAIN CELL MOVING SE TOWARDS GALVESTON...WHILE NEW CELL
DEVELOPMENT IS BEGINNING FURTHER NORTH. GFS/NAM/ECMWF ALL AGREE TO
KEEP THE BEST LIFT AND MOISTURE A BIT FURTHER NORTH ACROSS INLAND
SE TX...WHERE I LEFT 50% FOR TODAY...AND 40% FOR SE TX/C LA...AND
30% ELSEWHERE. HIGHS OF THE LOWER 80S EXPECTED. WITH THE MUCH MORE
RELAXED PRESSURE GRADIENT TODAY...DONT EXPECT THE STRONG SOUTHERLY
WINDS LIKE EXPERIENCED YESTERDAY.

DOES NOT LOOK LIKE THE CHANCES OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL
GO AWAY ANYTIME SOON. PLENTIFUL GULF MOISTURE COUPLED WITH
INTERMITTENT DISTURBANCES AMONG THE SW FLOW ALOFT WILL KEEP AT
LEAST A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHRA/TSRA WED AND THU. MAY HAVE A BRIEF
BREAK LATE THU INTO EARLY FRI DUE TO SLIGHTLY DRIER AIR AND FOCUS
FURTHER NORTH...OTHERWISE THE CHANCE WILL RETURN FOR THE WEEKEND.
WITH NO COOL FRONTS TO MOVE THROUGH...LOW TEMPS WILL REMAIN IN THE
UPPER 60S/LOWER 70S...AND HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 80S THROUGH
THE FORECAST PERIOD.

DML

&&

.MARINE...
WINDS AND SEAS HAVE SUBSIDED ENOUGH TO DROP THE SCA ACROSS THE
COASTAL WATERS. KEPT SCEC FOR SE WINDS 15-20KT AND SEAS 4-6 FT
THIS MORNING...AND EXPECTED TO SUBSIDE FURTHER THIS AFTERNOON.
SOUTH TO SOUTHEASTERLY FLOW WILL CONTINUE FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE
WEEK AS NO FRONTAL SYSTEMS ARE EXPECTED TO IMPACT THE COASTAL
WATERS.

DML

[COLOR="Red"]There are numerous FLOOD WARNINGS out for several Bayous and Streams in SW LA and SE TX. Please check NWS - Lake Charles for more info!
LINKY:http://www.srh.noaa.gov/lch/[/COLOR]

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04-29-2009, 06:16 AM
Post: #19
NWS - Lake Charles, LA Area
Foggy and trace of rain in the old bucket


Hazardous Weather Outlook
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
403 AM CDT WED APR 29 2009


Quote:GMZ430-432-435-450-452-455-470-472-475-LAZ027>033-041>045-051>055-
TXZ180>182-201-215-216-300915-
SABINE LAKE-CALCASIEU LAKE-VERMILION BAY-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAMERON, LA TO HIGH ISLAND, TX OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY TO CAMERON, LA OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO INTRACOASTAL CITY,
LA OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM CAMERON, LA TO HIGH ISLAND, TX EXTENDING FROM 20 NM
TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY, LA TO CAMERON, LA EXTENDING FROM
20 NM TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO INTRACOASTAL CITY, LA
EXTENDING FROM 20 NM TO 60 NM-VERNON-RAPIDES-AVOYELLES-BEAUREGARD-
ALLEN-EVANGELINE-ST. LANDRY-CALCASIEU-JEFFERSON DAVIS-ACADIA-
LAFAYETTE-UPPER ST. MARTIN-CAMERON-VERMILION-IBERIA-ST. MARY-
LOWER ST. MARTIN-TYLER-JASPER-NEWTON-HARDIN-JEFFERSON-ORANGE-
403 AM CDT WED APR 29 2009

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF THE NORTHWEST
GULF OF MEXICO...CENTRAL LOUISIANA...SOUTH CENTRAL LOUISIANA...
SOUTHWEST LOUISIANA...WEST CENTRAL LOUISIANA AND SOUTHEAST TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT
A SMALL CHANCE OF RAIN REMAINS IN THE FORECAST FOR TODAY AS A
MOIST AND UNSTABLE AIRMASS LINGERS OVER THE REGION THANKS TO HIGH
PRESSURE TO OUR EAST. SEVERE WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY
SMALL RAIN CHANCES WILL LINGER THROUGH THE ENTIRE PERIOD AS THE
MOIST UNSTABLE AIRMASS REMAINS PARKED OVER THE REGION WHILE WEAK
DISTURBANCES ALOFT PASS PERIODICALLY. NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS
EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED.

$$


AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
352 AM CDT WED APR 29 2009


Quote:.DISCUSSION...LATEST SFC ANALYSIS SHOWS THE AREA UNDER THE
INFLUENCE OF BERMUDA HIGH KEEPING US IN A LOW-LEVEL SRLY FLOW.
RESULT IS A MOIST AIRMASS WITH REGIONAL 00Z SOUNDINGS SHOWING PWAT
VALUES AROUND 1.5 INCHES AND MRH VALUES AROUND 75 PERCENT. SFC
ANALYSIS ALSO SHOWS A QUASI-STATIONARY FRONT EXTENDING FROM THE
RED RIVER VALLEY THROUGH THE OZARKS TO THE OHIO VALLEY. WATER
VAPOR IMAGERY DEPICTS SEVERAL WEAK WAVES TRAVERSING THE SWRLY
FLOW ALOFT. REGIONAL 88DS ARE CURRENTLY PPINE...A BIG CHANGE FROM
24 HOURS AGO...WHILE SATELLITE IMAGERY AND OBSERVATIONS INDICATE
ANOTHER NIGHT OF LOW CEILINGS FOR MOST OF THE FORECAST AREA.

SMALL RAIN CHANCES REMAIN IN THE FORECAST THROUGH PRACTICALLY ALL
OF THE NEXT 7 DAYS AS LOW-LEVEL SRLY FLOW REMAINS IN PLACE KEEPING
THE AREA IN A MOIST AND UNSTABLE AIRMASS. MODELS ARE IN FAIR
AGREEMENT IN TIMING OF WAVES PASSING ALOFT BUT WITH LOW CERTAINTY
IN THE VALIDITY OF THE TIMING HAVE ELECTED TO KEEP A BROAD BRUSH
LOW POP THAN TO TRY TO TIME THE WAVES AND INSERT HIGHER POPS AT
THOSE TIMES. THIS IS IN ADDITION TO THE FACT THAT MOST OF THESE
WAVES SHOULD PASS TO OUR NORTH KEEPING THE BEST DYNAMICS WITH
THEM. TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN AROUND NORMAL FOR THE TIME BEING.

BEST CHANCE FOR RAIN MAY IN FACT BE MONDAY AS THE FRONT TO OUR
NORTH SAGS SWD TOWARD THE AREA. HOWEVER ALL THE LONG-RANGE MODELS
AGREE ON THE FRONT WASHING OUT ACROSS THE AREA BEFORE COMPLETELY
CROSSING SO THE RAIN CHANCES WILL REMAIN INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK WITH
SRLY FLOW BASICALLY LINGERING.

&&

.MARINE...KIND OF AN EARLY SUMMER PATTERN IN PLACE WITH A LIGHT TO
MODERATE SRLY WIND REGIME HOLDING THROUGH THE PERIOD AS THE
BERMUDA HIGH PREVAILS.

&&

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04-30-2009, 05:58 AM
Post: #20
NWS - Lake Charles, LA Area
weather.gov
National Weather Service

Hazardous Weather Outlook
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
440 AM CDT THU APR 30 2009



Quote:THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF THE NORTHWEST
GULF OF MEXICO...CENTRAL LOUISIANA...SOUTH CENTRAL LOUISIANA...
SOUTHWEST LOUISIANA...WEST CENTRAL LOUISIANA AND SOUTHEAST TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT
A SMALL CHANCE OF RAIN REMAINS IN THE FORECAST FOR TODAY AS A
MOIST AND UNSTABLE AIRMASS LINGERS OVER THE REGION THANKS TO HIGH
PRESSURE TO OUR EAST. SEVERE WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY
SMALL RAIN CHANCES WILL LINGER THROUGH THE ENTIRE PERIOD AS THE
MOIST UNSTABLE AIRMASS REMAINS PARKED OVER THE REGION WHILE WEAK
DISTURBANCES ALOFT PASS PERIODICALLY. NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS
EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED.

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
410 AM CDT THU APR 30 2009


Quote:.DISCUSSION...REGIONAL 88DS SHOW A DECAYING THUNDERSTORM CURRENTLY
MOVING ACROSS THE PINEY WOODS/LAKES REGION OF SE TEXAS. THIS CELL
FORMED WEST OF THE AREA EARLIER IN THE NIGHT AT THE TAIL END OF
THE VORT HELPING FIRE THE MCS CROSSING N-CNTL TX ATTM. MEANWHILE
SMALL STREAMER SHOWERS ARE ALSO SEEN ON RADAR...MAINLY OVER THE TX
ZONES. OTHERWISE JUST MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES OVER THE AREA AS WE
REMAIN UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF THE BERMUDA HIGH KEEPING US IN A
LOW-LEVEL SRLY FLOW.

NOT MANY CHANGES FROM PREVIOUS FORECAST THIS MORNING. HAVE ALREADY
MADE ADJUSTMENTS TO THE EARLY PART OF THE FORECAST (I.E. THIS
MORNING) BASED ON WHAT`S BEEN SHOWING UP ON RADAR. FOR LATER TODAY
THE GFS/ECMWF/ESPECIALLY THE NAM ARE ALL SHOWING ANOTHER WAVE
FIRING CONVECTION OVER ERN TX THEN MOVING EWD ACROSS THE FORECAST
AREA. HOWEVER WITH LOW CONFIDENCE ON EXACTLY IF/WHERE THIS FEATURE
MOVES HAVE KEPT SMALL RAIN CHANCES AREAWIDE FOR NOW FOR THIS
AFTERNOON AND EVENING. KEPT ISOLATED POPS IN THE FORECAST FOR
TOMORROW WITH THE MOIST UNSTABLE AIRMASS REMAINING IN PLACE AND
CONVECTIVE TEMPS IN THE MID 80S WHILE SOME LEFTOVER MESOSCALE
BOUNDARIES MAY BE FLOATING AROUND TO HELP INITIATE AFTERNOON
CONVECTION. DRIER AIR IS PROGGED TO FILTER ACROSS THE AREA FOR
SATURDAY AS HEIGHTS BUILD SLIGHTLY ALOFT AND THUS HAVE KEPT POPS
OUT OF THE GRIDS/ZONES FOR THIS PERIOD FOR NOW.

LONGER RANGE MODELS BEGIN TO DIFFER BY LATE IN THE WEEKEND AND
ESPECIALLY THROUGH THE EARLY PART OF NEXT WEEK. PRIMARY MID/UPR-
LVL SHORTWAVE IS PROGGED TO ENTER THE SRN PLAINS BY SUNDAY WITH
GOOD ENERGY OUT AHEAD OF IT. MEANWHILE A SFC FRONTAL BOUNDARY IS
FORECAST TO ADVANCE EWD TOWARD THE FORECAST AREA. EXPECT TO SEE
AN INCREASE IN PRECIP COVERAGE SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING AS THE
SHORTWAVE APPROACHES. HOWEVER AS THE WAVE EJECTS NEWD EXPECT THE
FRONT TO HANG UP JUST TO OUR NW PER LATEST ECMWF RUN WHICH WOULD
KEEP US IN THE MOIST SRLY FLOW AND THUS NECESSITATING A LINGERING
SMALL POP. HOWEVER CONFIDENCE ISN`T THE BEST WITH THIS SCENARIO...
WOULDN`T BE SURPRISED AT ALL IF THE GFS PANNED OUT WITH THE FRONT
ACTUALLY WORKING ITS WAY INTO THE AREA BEFORE HANGING UP AND
DRIFTING BACK NWD.

&&

.MARINE...NO MAJOR CHANGES HERE EITHER AS SRLY FLOW LINGERS WITH
HIGH PRESSURE DOMINATING.

&&

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