2/2/09-02/04/09 Winter Storm thread
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01-29-2009, 09:34 AM
Post: #21
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2/2/09-02/04/09 Winter Storm thread
Alabamawx update
<object width="425" height="344"><param name="movie" value="http://www.youtube.com/v/YTWMLRQ_eFo&color1=0xb1b1b1&color2=0xcfcfcf&hl=en&feature=player_embedded&fs=1"></param><param name="allowFullScreen" value="true"></param><embed src="http://www.youtube.com/v/YTWMLRQ_eFo&color1=0xb1b1b1&color2=0xcfcfcf&hl=en&feature=player_embedded&fs=1" type="application/x-shockwave-flash" allowfullscreen="true" width="425" height="344"></embed></object> Twitter updates we will follow you back http://twitter.com/Hardcoreweather Now on Facebook We will like you back http://www.facebook.com/pages/Hardcorewe...466?v=wall |
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01-29-2009, 10:28 AM
(This post was last modified: 01-29-2009 10:31 AM by ROLLTIDE.)
Post: #22
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2/2/09-02/04/09 Winter Storm thread
Jackson, MS
Quote:.LONG TERM...FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY. MADE A FEW ADJUSTMENTS ![]() Twitter updates we will follow you back http://twitter.com/Hardcoreweather Now on Facebook We will like you back http://www.facebook.com/pages/Hardcorewe...466?v=wall |
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01-29-2009, 10:39 AM
Post: #23
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2/2/09-02/04/09 Winter Storm thread
Not looking very good at this time for Nashville
Quote:LONG TERM... Twitter updates we will follow you back http://twitter.com/Hardcoreweather Now on Facebook We will like you back http://www.facebook.com/pages/Hardcorewe...466?v=wall |
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01-29-2009, 11:41 AM
Post: #24
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2/2/09-02/04/09 Winter Storm thread
Morning update from Accuweather's Henry Margusity:
YEP, YOU HEARD ME, IT'S A BIG DADDY COMING... NOW WE JUST NEED TO NAIL DOWN THE PATH... Yes, I am excited about the storm next week. Still, I am a little apprehensive on the track given the winter's track record. We have two possible tracks I see this morning. The one track goes up west of the Appalachians, in which case, the Ohio Valley gets hit by a blizzard. The other track is up I-95 in which case the Appalachians get hit by a blizzard. The other aspect of the storm will be the high winds and flooding. It would appear that heavy rain, warm weather and high winds will be coming north along the coast and that could result in flooding problems for the Northeast, especially New England. Again, it depends on the track of the storm. Severe weather will occur across the South and snow may fall as far south as Alabama and Mississippi. [url=http://gulfcoastwx.com/index.cgi?board=severe&action=display&thread=3737&page=2#78607][/url] Twitter updates we will follow you back http://twitter.com/Hardcoreweather Now on Facebook We will like you back http://www.facebook.com/pages/Hardcorewe...466?v=wall |
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01-29-2009, 01:46 PM
Post: #25
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2/2/09-02/04/09 Winter Storm thread
We now have snow in our forecast for Tuesday
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01-29-2009, 02:42 PM
Post: #26
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2/2/09-02/04/09 Winter Storm thread
Big Daddy video is posted on Accueweather
http://www.accuweather.com/mt-news-blogs...teomadness Twitter updates we will follow you back http://twitter.com/Hardcoreweather Now on Facebook We will like you back http://www.facebook.com/pages/Hardcorewe...466?v=wall |
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01-29-2009, 02:59 PM
Post: #27
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2/2/09-02/04/09 Winter Storm thread
Extended forecast discussion
nws hydrometeorological prediction center camp springs md 230 pm est thu jan 29 2009 valid 12z sun feb 01 2009 - 12z thu feb 05 2009 ...final medium range discussion.... A mean upper low will continue to meander around northern alaska this period. Teleconnections on this feature favor a trough off the east coast and ridging from the rockies into the western great lakes. Systems should remain generally progressive within this flow regime...but slower and with with much higher amplitude than suggested by teleconnections. Final progs stayed with the updated prelim 50-50 blend of the 06z/29 gfs amd the 00z/29 ecmwf. Earlier...we had chosen the 06z/29 gfs over the corresponding 00z/29 gfs run because it trended farther s towards the ecmwf with a sys off the ca coast next wed/thu days 6-7. This gfs continuity change seemed reasonable given the high amplitude of the overall large-scale pattern...and effectively delays the onset of any pcpn from this sys reaching ca. Some canadian ensemble members appear to begin to deamplify the pattern too quickly days 6-7 and we are sticking with higher amplitude gfs and ecmwf ensemble members at this time. New 12z deterministic models are staying with the high amplitude game plan at least thru wed day 6...altho the 12z gfs is beginning to trend a bit more progressive by thu day 7. the big headline for this medium range period continues to be the strong cyclogenesis that should ignite somewhere vcnty of the ms delta early mon day 4....then deepen on its ne trek from that point. We have above average confidence in our forecast manual position for this storm over se pa on tue day 5. the hpc position is roughly in the center of the envelope of 12z deterministic model solutions defined on the ern edge by the gfs/canadian...and on the sw edge by the the ecmwf and ukmet hires. The consensus track is still near i-95 as far n as nyc...with the 00z/29 gfs/ecmwf ensemble means favoring a bit farther e track. We still expect heavy rains along the track of the low thru the coastal plain and moderate to heavy snows to the left of the track in the appalachians.all but far interior new eng should be moslty rain. Marginal instability could support convection early tue over ern nc and the srn delmarva peninsula thanks to a strong low level jet and vigorous upper dynamics. flood |
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01-29-2009, 03:57 PM
Post: #28
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2/2/09-02/04/09 Winter Storm thread
12z CMC paints light snow or flurries from SW LA all the way to Pensacola.
Hour 120... http://www.meteo.psu.edu/~gadomski/CMC_0z/cmcloop.html Twitter updates we will follow you back http://twitter.com/Hardcoreweather Now on Facebook We will like you back http://www.facebook.com/pages/Hardcorewe...466?v=wall |
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01-29-2009, 03:58 PM
Post: #29
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2/2/09-02/04/09 Winter Storm thread
Jackson, MS just added snow in there forecast pretty far to the South
Quote:THERE WILL BE A CHANCE OF RAIN MIXING WITH OR CHANGING TO SNOW MONDAY Twitter updates we will follow you back http://twitter.com/Hardcoreweather Now on Facebook We will like you back http://www.facebook.com/pages/Hardcorewe...466?v=wall |
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01-29-2009, 04:00 PM
Post: #30
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2/2/09-02/04/09 Winter Storm thread
12Z EURO implying 10-14 inches for Nashville, at least according to the interpretation of someone who has access to that paid model run.
Top 3 snowstorms on the record books in Nashville: 1 17.0" March 17, 1892 2 15.0" February 20-21, 1929 3 10.2" December 31, 1963-January 1, 1964 Twitter updates we will follow you back http://twitter.com/Hardcoreweather Now on Facebook We will like you back http://www.facebook.com/pages/Hardcorewe...466?v=wall |
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