INVEST 94L headed for the Carolina Coast

[ROLLTIDE]

[ROLLTIDE]

000
abnt20 knhc 251801
twoat
tropical weather outlook
nws tpc/national hurricane center miami fl
200 pm edt thu sep 25 2008

for the north atlantic...caribbean sea and the gulf of mexico...

A well-defined surface low pressure system centered about 100 miles
southeast of the south carolina-north carolina border is moving
west-northwestward near 10 mph. Satellite images and surface
observations continue to indicate that the low is embedded within a
frontal zone and has not yet acquired tropical characteristics.
However there is still a possibility that this system could develop
into a subtropical or tropical cyclone later today or tonight.
Regardless of whether or not this occurs...strong winds...coastal
flooding...high surf...and dangerous rip currents will continue
along portions of the u.s. East coast during the next day or two.
Interests along the u.s. East coast from south carolina northward
to the mid-atlantic region should closely monitor statements from
their local national weather service forecast offices...and also
high seas forecasts issued by the ocean prediction center for
additional information and warnings.

[Daniel294]

winter123 Wrote:It is rapidly intensifying! However it will run out of time, only like 6 hours until landfall and death. For once i agree with the NHC that this is in fact a non-tropical system. However the day before it was declared i remember the weather channel saying it was going to become a Noreaster. What happened to that??? North Carolina is not the North East.

We're going to get 3 inches of rain from it here (plus 93l rains soon after). There will be strong winds from the northeast. It's a nor'easter.

[winter123]

Daniel294 Wrote:We're going to get 3 inches of rain from it here (plus 93l rains soon after). There will be strong winds from the northeast. It's a nor'easter.

It will weaken over land to the point it's not even a well-defined COC. Don't be too worried. 93L will be a non-event as well.

This storm is non-tropical, however, you can see in http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t2/loop-avn.html convection is wrapping around and the front is disconnecting and minor outflow is beginning. Would not be surprised to see a STS in post analysis.

[Daniel294]

winter123 Wrote:It will weaken over land to the point it's not even a well-defined COC. Don't be too worried. 93L will be a non-event as well.

This storm is non-tropical, however, you can see in http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t2/loop-avn.html convection is wrapping around and the front is disconnecting and minor outflow is beginning. Would not be surprised to see a STS in post analysis.

We'll still be getting tropical moisture. I'm not worried about any winds (we get winds over 40 here routinely anyhow), I'm just saying that we will be getting more rain, and that it is a nor'easter.

[winter123]

This better be named at 5. Very clearly a subtropical storm now (for the reasons i stated above) and they don't want to name it since it's about to hit land anyway. What a stupid reason.

[richardginn]

winter123 Wrote:This better be named at 5. Very clearly a subtropical storm now (for the reasons i stated above) and they don't want to name it since it's about to hit land anyway. What a stupid reason.

I agree name it.

[Daniel294]

... Flood Watch in effect from Friday afternoon through Saturday
afternoon...

The National Weather Service in Taunton has issued a

* Flood Watch for portions of northern Connecticut...
Massachusetts and Rhode Island... including the following
areas... in northern Connecticut... Hartford CT... Tolland CT and
Windham CT. In Massachusetts... central Middlesex MA... eastern
Essex MA... eastern Norfolk MA... eastern Plymouth MA... northern
Bristol MA... southeast Middlesex MA... southern Bristol MA...
southern Plymouth MA... southern Worcester MA... Suffolk MA...
western Essex MA... western Norfolk MA and western Plymouth MA.
In Rhode Island... Bristol RI... eastern Kent RI... Newport RI...
northwest Providence RI... southeast Providence RI... Washington
RI and western Kent RI.

* From Friday afternoon through Saturday afternoon

Low pressure along the Carolina coast will push into the mid
Atlantic coast tonight and early Friday. A frontal system will
extend from this low into southern New England... which will bring
rain into the region beginning late tonight. The rain will fall
heavily at times Friday through Friday night across portions of the
watch area. Rainfall amounts through Friday night will range from 2
1/2 to 4 inches... with totals through Saturday afternoon from 3 to 6
inches. Higher amounts are possible in locally heavier rains.

These rain amounts could potentially cause flooding across urban
centers and poor drainage areas. Roadways could become impassable at
times. Some small rivers and streams may reach bankfull as a result
of the heavy rain and runoff across the watch area.

A Flood Watch means there is a potential for flooding based on
current forecasts.

You should monitor later forecasts and be alert for possible
flood warnings. Those living in areas prone to flooding should be
prepared to take action should flooding develop.

[winter123]

[email protected] /censored :censored: Askjdadlkadffsdklnglfd

I can't belive it's two storms in a row the nhc has IGNORED just because of odd location or "meh its going to weaken in like 12 hours anyway so we won't name it"

Yet this poc Kyle that can't be more than 20mph and the COC is 200 miles NW of any significant convection gets named??????

I won't be able to sleep tonight. THanks NHC.

[ROLLTIDE]

000
abnt20 knhc 260601
twoat
tropical weather outlook
nws tpc/national hurricane center miami fl
200 pm edt fri sep 26 2008

for the north atlantic...caribbean sea and the gulf of mexico...

The national hurricane center is issuing advisories on tropical
storm kyle...located about 555 miles south-southwest of bermuda.

A well-defined non-tropical low pressure system has moved inland
over northeastern south carolina and is located about midway
between myrtle beach and florence. Strong winds...coastal
flooding...high surf...and dangerous rip currents will gradually
subside along the coasts of north and south carolina today...but
will continue along portions of the u.s. Mid-atlantic coast during
the next day or two. Interests along the u.s. East coast from the
mid-atlantic region northward to new england should closely monitor
statements from their local national weather service forecast
offices...and also high seas forecasts issued by the ocean
prediction center for additional information and warnings.

An area of disturbed weather located in the bay of campeche is
moving slowly eastward toward the yucatan peninsula. There are some
signs of organization...but this system is expected to move inland
over the western yucatan before any significant development can
occur. However...the system could still bring heavy rains to
portions southern mexico and the yucatan peninsula during the next
couple of days.

Elsewhere...tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the
next 48 hours.

Public advisories on kyle are issued under wmo header wtnt31
and under awips header miatcpat1. Forecast/advisories are issued
under wmo header wtnt21 and under awips header miatcmat1.

$$