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Hurricane Kyle
09-19-2008, 11:36 AM
Post: #21
Hurricane Kyle
nikkinmiss Wrote:can I ask a dumb question? why do they call it an invest?

investigation area

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09-19-2008, 11:48 AM
Post: #22
Hurricane Kyle
Thank you Munkie

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09-19-2008, 12:02 PM
Post: #23
Hurricane Kyle
osted by: JeffMasters, 9:31 AM EDT on September 19, 2008
Our lull in Atlantic hurricane activity continues, and there are no signs anything will develop over the next two days. Heavy thunderstorm activity has diminished over the Lesser Antilles Islands today, and any development of this system (93L) will be slow to occur. Wind shear is marginal for development, 15-20 knots, and is forecast to remain 15-20 knots for the next five days. The NHC is giving 93L a low (<20% chance) of developing into a tropical depression by Sunday. None of the computer models develop 93L. Still, we need to keep a careful eye on this system.

The more likely place for development of the next tropical storm is off the coast of Africa. A strong tropical wave with some solid heavy thunderstorm activity is emerging from the coast today, and the GFS and NOGAPS models are predicting this system will develop into a tropical depression by early next week. Wind shear is predicted to be in the moderate range, 10-20 knots. Many of the models are also predicting development of a strong storm off the coast of North Carolina about seven days from now, but this will probably be extratropical--the season's first Nor'easter.

Link: http://www.wunderground.com/blog/JeffMa ... amp=200809

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09-19-2008, 12:15 PM
Post: #24
Hurricane Kyle
Ednado Wrote:Is this invest not Josephine and if so how many invests have related to her? Ed

No Josephine did head this way after Ike made landfall, but the system was absorbed by the east coast trough and was never heard from again.

Invest 93 is totally a new system.
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09-19-2008, 02:52 PM
Post: #25
Hurricane Kyle
it moved from yellow to orange, doesn't that mean its more likely to do something?

Atlantic Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook




ZCZC MIATWOAT ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 PM EDT FRI SEP 19 2008

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

1. A WESTWARD-MOVING TROPICAL WAVE...ACCOMPANIED BY A BROAD SURFACE LOW
PRESSURE SYSTEM...IS PRODUCING WIDESPREAD CLOUDINESS AND SHOWERS
OVER THE LESSER ANTILLES...AND ADJACENT CARIBBEAN AND ATLANTIC
WATERS. THIS SYSTEM HAS BECOME A LITTLE BETTER ORGANIZED TODAY...
AND ALTHOUGH UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE CURRENTLY UNFAVORABLE...THEY ARE
EXPECTED TO BECOME MORE CONDUCIVE FOR SOME ADDITIONAL DEVELOPMENT
TO OCCUR OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER STEWART

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09-19-2008, 04:11 PM
Post: #26
Hurricane Kyle
nikkinmiss Wrote:it moved from yellow to orange, doesn't that mean its more likely to do something?

Atlantic Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook




ZCZC MIATWOAT ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 PM EDT FRI SEP 19 2008

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

1. A WESTWARD-MOVING TROPICAL WAVE...ACCOMPANIED BY A BROAD SURFACE LOW
PRESSURE SYSTEM...IS PRODUCING WIDESPREAD CLOUDINESS AND SHOWERS
OVER THE LESSER ANTILLES...AND ADJACENT CARIBBEAN AND ATLANTIC
WATERS. THIS SYSTEM HAS BECOME A LITTLE BETTER ORGANIZED TODAY...
AND ALTHOUGH UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE CURRENTLY UNFAVORABLE...THEY ARE
EXPECTED TO BECOME MORE CONDUCIVE FOR SOME ADDITIONAL DEVELOPMENT
TO OCCUR OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER STEWART


I've noticed that when Stormrider's eyes turn from yellow to orange, he's getting ready to do something. So maybe!/toot
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09-19-2008, 04:13 PM
Post: #27
Hurricane Kyle
[Image: storm_93.gif]

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09-19-2008, 07:01 PM
Post: #28
Hurricane Kyle
000
abnt20 knhc 192340
twoat
tropical weather outlook
nws tpc/national hurricane center miami fl
800 pm edt fri sep 19 2008

for the north atlantic...caribbean sea and the gulf of mexico...

A westward-moving tropical wave...accompanied by a broad surface low
pressure system over the southeastern caribbean sea...is producing
widespread cloudiness and showers over the lesser antilles...and
adjacent caribbean and atlantic waters. This system has changed
little in organization during the past several hours. While
upper-level winds are currently unfavorable...they are expected to
become more conducive for some development to occur over the next
couple of days.

A broad area of low pressure...accompanied by disorganized shower
activity...has formed over the western caribbean sea just east of
honduras-nicaragua border. Upper-level winds are currently not
favorable for additional development.

Elsewhere...tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the
next 48 hours.

$$
forecaster beven

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09-20-2008, 08:21 AM
Post: #29
Hurricane Kyle
000
abnt20 knhc 201158
twoat
tropical weather outlook
nws tpc/national hurricane center miami fl
800 am edt sat sep 20 2008

for the north atlantic...caribbean sea and the gulf of mexico...

A westward-moving tropical wave...accompanied by a surface low
pressure system over the eastern caribbean sea...is producing
widespread cloudiness and showers over the lesser antilles...and
adjacent caribbean and atlantic waters. This system is showing
signs of improved organization this morning...and upper-level winds
are expected to become somewhat more favorable over the next couple
days for some additional development to occur.

A broad area of low pressure...accompanied by disorganized shower
activity...continues over the southwestern caribbean sea just east
of nicaragua. Upper-level winds are currently unfavorable for any
significant development to occur.

Elsewhere...tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the
next 48 hours.

$$

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09-20-2008, 12:40 PM
Post: #30
Hurricane Kyle
K storm is a coming.....

Where will the USA landfall be???
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