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SW Caribbean Sea
09-17-2008, 10:18 PM
Post: #21
SW Caribbean Sea
Daniel294 Wrote:[Image: 2008260go.jpg]

I love the color blue, it's my favorite color this time of year.
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09-17-2008, 11:28 PM
Post: #22
SW Caribbean Sea
Who cares about water temperatures when you have westerlies (right now)???? GO AWAY...let's carve pumpkins and move on

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09-18-2008, 06:56 PM
Post: #23
SW Caribbean Sea
I'm assuming that this is the same system?

[Image: two_atl.gif]

Zczc miatwoat all
ttaa00 knhc ddhhmm
tropical weather outlook
nws tpc/national hurricane center miami fl
800 pm edt thu sep 18 2008

for the north atlantic...caribbean sea and the gulf of mexico...

1. A tropical wave...accompanied by a weak surface low pressure
system...continues to produce a large area of cloudiness and
showers across the lesser antilles and adjacent atlantic waters.
Some additional organization of this system is possible over the
next couple of days as it moves slowly west-northwestward. Locally
heavy rainfall and gusty winds will be possible over portions of
the windward and leeward islands...and the eastern caribbean sea
tonight and friday.

Elsewhere...tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the
next 48 hours.

$$
forecaster stewart
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09-18-2008, 09:02 PM
Post: #24
SW Caribbean Sea
Has the gulf stream stopped?
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09-28-2008, 04:44 PM
Post: #25
SW Caribbean Sea
From Impact Weather:
Current Status

At 2PM CDT, the broad and poorly-defined center of Disturbance 55 is located near 20.4N/88.6W, or about 80 miles east-southeast of Merida, Mexico. The center has reformed a little to the north this afternoon. It is erratically drifting to the north near 5 mph. Disturbance 55 remains poorly organized, with most of the thunderstorms displaced to the northeast and east of the center over the southeastern Gulf of Mexico and the northwestern Caribbean Sea.


Changes to Previous Forecast

We have indicated a faster forward speed of the developing system.


Our Forecast

The disturbance is forecast to emerge off the northern coast of the Yucatan Peninsula later tonight or early Monday. After it emerges over the southern Gulf of Mexico, it is expected to turn to the northeast and accelerate along a dissipating frontal system. Our forecast track takes the system inland over the western coast of Florida, north of Tampa Bay, on Tuesday morning. It is expected to transit the Florida Peninsula and move offshore the eastern coast of Florida, north of Daytona Beach, on Tuesday afternoon. Thereafter, we are forecasting it to increase in forward speed and pass about 100 to 150 miles southeast of the Outer Banks of North Carolina on Wednesday before heading out to sea and becoming absorbed by a frontal system. Our confidence in our forecast track is below average.

The system's interaction with land will continue to inhibit development today. After it emerges over the Gulf of Mexico tonight or early Monday, it will increasingly interact with a weakening frontal system over the southern Gulf of Mexico. During its trek toward the eastern Gulf of Mexico, it will continue to encounter strong wind shear aloft and somewhat drier air. Consequently, conditions are not forecast to favor tropical storm development, but conditions may support subtropical storm development. Therefore, the system has the potential to become a subtropical depression or a subtropical storm on Monday or early Tuesday as it moves over the Gulf of Mexico toward Florida. Our confidence in our intensity forecast is below average.

Disturbance 55 will continue to produce areas of strong thunderstorms and occasional gusty winds across the southeastern Bay of Campeche, southern Mexico, the Yucatan Peninsula, northern Belize, northern Guatemala, the extreme northwestern Caribbean Sea, and the southeastern Gulf of Mexico through Monday. Widespread rain is also spreading northeastward across southern Florida this afternoon, as moisture from the system streams across the area from the southwest. The precipitation will increase in coverage and intensity through Tuesday. Even if Disturbance 55 does not develop into a subtropical depression or subtropical storm, it will likely produce gusty winds, widespread moderate to heavy rain, and areas of strong thunderstorms across portions of the Florida Peninsula through Tuesday night.


Other Possibilities

It is possible that the disturbance will not develop into a subtropical depression or subtropical storm over the Gulf of Mexico on Monday or Tuesday due to the strong wind shear over the area. It is also possible that development will ultimately transpire after it emerges over the western Atlantic on Tuesday night or Wednesday.

[Image: hurr_small.gif]
www.MyFloridaHurricane.Info
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09-29-2008, 11:16 AM
Post: #26
SW Caribbean Sea
Disturbance 55? Apparantly Impact weather has their own numbering system?/haha

Crazy Dale
The nine scariest words in the english language: "I'm from the government and I'm here to help." -Ronald Reagan
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