IKE local Statements only

[aabshire]

Local Hurricane Statement LCH NWS Office

000
WTUS84 KLCH 111102
HLSLCH
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
HURRICANE IKE LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
602 AM CDT THU SEP 11 2008
...LARGE HURRICANE IKE CONTINUES WEST-NORTHWESTWARD OVER THE
EAST-CENTRAL GULF OF MEXICO...
.AT 400 AM CDT...0900Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE IKE WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 25.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 87.6 WEST OR ABOUT
505 MILES...SOUTHEAST OF BEAUMONT TEXAS AND ABOUT 470 MILES...
SOUTHEAST OF LAKE CHARLES LOUISIANA.
IKE IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 9 MPH...15 KM/HR. A
GENERAL WEST-NORTHWESTWARD MOTION OVER THE CENTRAL AND WESTERN
GULF OF MEXICO IS EXPECTED TODAY AND FRIDAY. ON THIS TRACK THE
CENTER WILL BE APPROACHING THE NORTHWESTERN GULF OF MEXICO COAST
LATE FRIDAY.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 100 MPH...160 KM/HR...WITH
HIGHER GUSTS. IKE IS A CATEGORY TWO HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-
SIMPSON SCALE...AND IT COULD INTENSIFY INTO A CATEGORY THREE
HURRICANE OVER THE NEXT DAY OR TWO.
IKE IS A LARGE TROPICAL CYCLONE. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND
OUTWARD UP TO 115 MILES...185 KM...FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL
STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 255 MILES...410 KM.
AN AIR FORCE HURRICANE HUNTER PLANE REPORTED A MINIMUM CENTRAL
PRESSURE OF 946 MB...27.94 INCHES.
COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 3 TO 5 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE
LEVELS...ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...CAN BE
EXPECTED WITHIN THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING AREA. ABOVE NORMAL
TIDES OF 2 TO 4 FEET ARE EXPECTED ELSEWHERE ALONG MUCH OF THE
NORTHERN COAST OF THE GULF OF MEXICO DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO...
BUT WILL BE INCREASING ALONG THE WESTERN GULF COAST AS IKE
APPROACHES.
ACADIA-ALLEN-BEAUREGARD-JASPER-JEFFERSON DAVIS-LAFAYETTE-
LOWER ST. MARTIN-NEWTON-TYLER-UPPER ST. MARTIN-VERNON-
602 AM CDT THU SEP 11 2008
...TROPICAL STORM WIND WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH FRIDAY AFTERNOON...
...NEW INFORMATION...
IKE EXPECTED TO MAKE LANDFALL NEAR FREEPORT TEXAS.
...AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN THE
FOLLOWING COUNTIES AND PARISHES:
ACADIA...ALLEN...BEAUREGARD...JASPER...JEFFERSON DAVIS...
LAFAYETTE...LOWER ST. MARTIN...NEWTON...TYLER...UPPER ST.
MARTIN...VERNON.
...WATCHES/WARNINGS...
THE FOLLOWING WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE CURRENTLY IN EFFECT FOR
THIS AREA:
TROPICAL STORM WIND WATCH.
...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PERSONS SHOULD PREPARE FOR THE POSSIBILITY OF TROPICAL STORM
FORCE WINDS.
...WINDS...
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS FROM 45 TO 50 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 65 MPH
WILL BE POSSIBLE BY FRIDAY AFTERNOON. A TROPICAL STORM WIND WATCH
IN EFFECT THROUGH FRIDAY AFTERNOON.
...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...
THERE IS A 60 TO 70 PERCENT CHANCE OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
ACROSS SOUTHEAST TEXAS AND SOUTHWEST LOUISIANA WITH LESS THAN A 20
PERCENT CHANCE OF HURRICANE FORCE WINDS.
...INLAND FLOODING...
AREAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS FROM 2 TO 3 INCHES WITH LOCALIZED AMOUNTS
TO NEAR 6 INCHES ARE EXPECTED. AS IS THE CASE DURING ANY TROPICAL
SYSTEM...ANY AREA THAT RECEIVES HEAVY RAINS MAY EXPERIENCE FLASH
FLOODING.
...TORNADOES...
THE THREAT FOR TORNADOES WILL INCREASE FRIDAY INTO FRIDAY NIGHT.
...NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT UPDATE WILL BE ISSUED AROUND 11 AM.
CAMERON-
602 AM CDT THU SEP 11 2008
...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...
...HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT...
...NEW INFORMATION...
IKE EXPECTED TO MAKE LANDFALL NEAR FREEPORT TEXAS.
...AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN THE
FOLLOWING PARISH OR MARINE AREAS:
CAMERON.
...WATCHES/WARNINGS...
THE FOLLOWING WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE CURRENTLY IN EFFECT FOR
THIS AREA:
TROPICAL STORM WARNING.
HURRICANE WATCH.
...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
MANDATORY EVACUATIONS HAVE BEEN ORDERED FOR LOWER CAMERON PARISH
AS OF 10 AM WEDNESDAY MORNING. A LAST RESORT SHELTER WILL OPEN AT
THE LAKE CHARLES CIVIC CENTER AT 6 PM WEDNESDAY FOR CAMERON
PARISH RESIDENTS ONLY.
COASTAL INUNDATION OF PRONE COMMUNITIES IS POSSIBLE.
ALL RESIDENTS LIVING ON THE SHORELINE WILL EXPERIENCE SIGNIFICANT
FLOODING DURING HIGH TIDE. HOMES WILL LIKELY BECOME UNINHABITABLE
IN FLOOD PRONE AREAS. ENTIRE FLOOD PRONE COASTAL COMMUNITIES WILL
BE TEMPORARILY CUT OFF...WATER LEVELS MAY EXCEED 6 FEET OR MORE
FOR MORE THAN A MILE INLAND. COASTAL RESIDENTS OF ONE STORY HOMES
WHO DO NOT EVACUATE WILL FACE LIFE THREATENING CONSEQUENCES.
THOSE IN MULTI-STORY OR MULTI-UNIT FACILITIES RISK BEING CUT OFF
FOR DAYS. PARKED VEHICLES WILL BE SEVERELY DAMAGED IN THE FLOOD
ZONE.
CONDITIONS WILL BE WORSENED BY BATTERING WAVES. SUCH WAVES WILL
EXACERBATE PROPERTY DAMAGE...INCLUDING DESTRUCTION OF HOMES AND
WASHING AWAY VEHICLES. BEACH EROSION WILL BE SUBSTANTIAL...AND
REQUIRE MONTHS TO CLEAN UP.
...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
THE ACTUAL TIDES WILL REACH 4 FEET (MINOR FLOODING) BY FRIDAY
MORNING...FOLLOWED BY A RAPID VERTICAL WATER RISE TO AROUND
6 FEET FRIDAY AFTERNOON (MAJOR FLOODING)...CRESTING NEAR 10 FEET
BY VERY EARLY SATURDAY MORNING. THE STORM SURGE WILL BE SLOW TO
RECEDE THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING DUE TO THE PROLONGED ONSHORE FLOW
(AFTER IKE MOVES INLAND). THESE WATER LEVELS WILL BE SIMILAR TO
THE STORM SURGE EXPERIENCED DURING HURRICANE CARLA OF SEPTEMBER
1961.
FOR CAMERON PARISH...MOST SECTIONS OF COASTAL ROADS OF LA 82...LA
27...AND LA 1141 WILL BE FLOODED...MAINLY SOUTH OF THE
INTRACOASTAL WATERWAY NEAR THE GIBBSTOWN BRIDGE. MOST LOW LYING
AREAS AROUND CALCASIEU LAKE WILL BE FLOODED...INCLUDING PORTIONS
OF HACKBERRY AND GRAND LAKE EAST TO BOONES CORNER NEAR LA 385 AND
LA 384.
CALCASIEU PASS
HIGH TIDE LOW TIDE HIGH TIDE LOW TIDE
TODAY 2:36 AM 7:09 PM
FRIDAY 2:35 AM 8:13 AM 11:01 AM 8:23 PM
SATURDAY 2:39 AM 8:17 AM 12:19 PM 8:59 PM
SABINE PASS
HIGH TIDE LOW TIDE HIGH TIDE LOW TIDE
TODAY 3:32 AM 7:55 PM
FRIDAY 3:31 AM 8:59 AM 11:56 AM 8:33 PM
SATURDAY 3:35 AM 9:03 AM 1:15 PM 9:09 PM

...WINDS...
CAMERON PARISH WILL EXPERIENCE TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS BETWEEN
40 AND 50 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 65 MPH POSSIBLE EARLY FRIDAY MORNING
...AND PERSIST FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE DAY INTO SATURDAY
MORNING.
...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...
THERE IS A 65 TO 75 PERCENT CHANCE OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
ACROSS CAMERON PARISH WITH LESS THAN A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF HURRICANE
FORCE WINDS.
...TORNADOES...
AN INCREASING THREAT OF TORNADOES WILL BEGIN FRIDAY AFTERNOON
INTO FRIDAY NIGHT.
...NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT UPDATE WILL BE ISSUED AROUND 11 AM.

COASTAL WATERS FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY TO CAMERON, LA OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO INTRACOASTAL CITY,
LA OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY, LA TO CAMERON, LA EXTENDING FROM
20 NM TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO INTRACOASTAL CITY, LA
EXTENDING FROM 20 NM TO 60 NM-
602 AM CDT THU SEP 11 2008
...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...
...NEW INFORMATION...
IKE EXPECTED TO MAKE LANDFALL NEAR FREEPORT TEXAS.
...AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN THE
FOLLOWING MARINE AREAS:
COASTAL WATERS FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY TO CAMERON, LA OUT 20
NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO
INTRACOASTAL CITY, LA OUT 20 NM...WATERS FROM INTRACOASTAL
CITY, LA TO CAMERON, LA EXTENDING FROM 20 NM TO 60 NM...WATERS
FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO INTRACOASTAL CITY, LA EXTENDING
FROM 20 NM TO 60 NM.
...WATCHES/WARNINGS...
THE FOLLOWING WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE CURRENTLY IN EFFECT FOR
THIS AREA:
TROPICAL STORM WARNING.
...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
A MARINERS SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT AND PREPARE VESSELS FOR TROPICAL
STORM FORCE WINDS BEGINNING TOMORROW.
...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
TODAY SEAS 5 FEET BUILDING TO 8 FEET BY THE AFTERNOON AND 11 FEET
FRIDAY MORNING AND 14 FEET ON FRIDAY. FRIDAY NIGHT SEAS BUILDING
TO 18 FEET.
...WINDS...
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WILL IMPACT THE OUTER COASTAL WATERS
BEGINNING THURSDAY AFTERNOON. PREPARATIONS TO SECURE MARITIME
PROPERTY ALONG THE COAST SHOULD BE COMPLETED BY THURSDAY
AFTERNOON.
...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...
THERE IS A 60 TO 70 PERCENT CHANCE OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
ACROSS THE COASTAL WATERS WITH A 6 TO 12 PERCENT CHANCE OF
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS.
...TORNADOES...
THE THREAT FOR WATERSPOUTS WILL INCREASE FRIDAY INTO FRIDAY
NIGHT.
...NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT UPDATE WILL BE ISSUED AROUND 11 AM.

[aabshire]

Local Hurricane Statement LCH NWS Office (Part 2)
IBERIA-ST. MARY-VERMILION-
602 AM CDT THU SEP 11 2008
...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...
...NEW INFORMATION...
IKE EXPECTED TO MAKE LANDFALL NEAR FREEPORT TEXAS.
...AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN THE
FOLLOWING PARISHES OR MARINE AREAS:
IBERIA...ST. MARY...VERMILION.
...WATCHES/WARNINGS...
THE FOLLOWING WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE CURRENTLY IN EFFECT FOR
THIS AREA:
TROPICAL STORM WARNING.
...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
RESIDENTS ARE URGED TO PREPARE FOR MINOR DAMAGE TO OCCUR IN OLDER
MOBILE HOME PARKS. NEWLY PLANTED TREES AND SHRUBS MAY BE UPROOTED
IF NOT SECURED PROPERLY. SOME SMALL TWIGS WILL SEPARATE FROM
TREES. RESIDENTS SHOULD MOVE UNFASTENED ITEMS...SUCH AS GARBAGE
CANS AND DECK FURNITURE...INDOORS.
ALL RESIDENTS LIVING ON THE SHORELINE WILL EXPERIENCE MODERATE
FLOODING. HOMES MAY BECOME UNINHABITABLE IN FLOOD PRONE AREAS.
...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
THE ACTUAL TIDES WILL REACH 4 FEET (MINOR FLOODING) BY FRIDAY
MORNING...FOLLOWED BY A RAPID VERTICAL WATER RISE TO AROUND
5 FEET BY FRIDAY AFTERNOON (MODERATE FLOODING). THE STORM SURGE
WILL BE SLOW TO RECEDE THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING DUE TO THE
PROLONGED ONSHORE FLOW (AFTER IKE MOVES INLAND). THESE WATER
LEVELS WILL APPROACH THE STORM SURGE EXPERIENCED DURING HURRICANE
CARLA OF SEPTEMBER 1961 AND TROPICAL STORM FRANCES OF 1998.
FOR VERMILION PARISH...MOST LOCATIONS SOUTH OF THE INTRACOASTAL
WATERWAY WILL BE FLOODED...INCLUDING INTRACOASTAL CITY AND PECAN
ISLAND. FLOODING WILL LIKELY OCCUR UP TO HIGHWAY 335...AFFECTING
THE COMMUNITIES OF COW ISLAND...FORKED ISLAND...ESTHER...HENRY...
AND DELCAMBRE.
FOR IBERIA PARISH...MOST LOCATIONS SOUTH OF LA 14 AND US 90 WILL
EXPERIENCE STORM SURGE FLOODING...CUTTING OFF WEEKS ISLAND.
ACROSS ST. MARY PARISH...BURNS POINT...CYPREMORT POINT...AND MOST
AREAS SOUTH OF THE INTRACOASTAL WATERWAY WILL LIKELY FLOOD ON
FRIDAY.
SOUTHWEST PASS
HIGH TIDE LOW TIDE HIGH TIDE LOW TIDE
TODAY 4:18 AM 8:00 PM
FRIDAY 4:17 AM 9:04 AM 12:42 AM 8:38 PM
SATURDAY 4:21 AM 9:08 AM 2:01 PM 9:14 PM
...WINDS...
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS OF 40 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 55 MPH WILL
BEGIN AFFECTING THE COASTAL LOUISIANA PARISHES JUST AFTER
MIDNIGHT FRIDAY MORNING...AND PERSIST THROUGH MOST OF THE DAY.
...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...
THE PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ACROSS VERMILION...
IBERIA AND ST. MARY PARISHES ARE 50 TO 60 PERCENT WITH LESS THAN
A 10 PERCENT OF HURRICANE FORCE WINDS.
...INLAND FLOODING...
AREAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS FROM 1 TO 2 INCHES WITH LOCALIZED AMOUNTS
TO NEAR 4 INCHES ARE EXPECTED.
WE WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE STORM SURGE POTENTIAL AND ISSUE
ANY ADDITIONAL WARNINGS THAT MAY BE NEEDED...SPECIFICALLY ALONG
THE VERMILION RIVER AT PERRY UP TO LAFAYETTE.
...TORNADOES...
THERE WILL BE AN INCREASING THREAT OF TORNADOES BEGINNING FRIDAY.
...NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT UPDATE WILL BE ISSUED AROUND 11 AM.

CALCASIEU-HARDIN-ORANGE-
602 AM CDT THU SEP 11 2008
...TROPICAL STORM WIND WATCH NOW IN EFFECT THROUGH FRIDAY
AFTERNOON...
...NEW INFORMATION...
IKE EXPECTED TO MAKE LANDFALL NEAR FREEPORT TEXAS.
...AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN THE
FOLLOWING COUNTIES AND PARISH INCLUDING MARINE AREAS:
CALCASIEU...HARDIN...ORANGE.
...WATCHES/WARNINGS...
THE FOLLOWING WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE CURRENTLY IN EFFECT FOR
THIS AREA:
TROPICAL STORM WIND WATCH.
...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PERSONS SHOULD PREPARE FOR THE POSSIBILITY OF TROPICAL STORM
FORCE WINDS.
...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
THE ACTUAL TIDES WILL REACH 4 FEET (MINOR FLOODING) BY FRIDAY
MORNING...FOLLOWED BY A RAPID VERTICAL WATER RISE TO AROUND
6 FEET FRIDAY AFTERNOON (MAJOR FLOODING)...CRESTING NEAR 10 FEET
BY VERY EARLY SATURDAY MORNING. THE STORM SURGE WILL BE SLOW TO
RECEDE THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING DUE TO THE PROLONGED ONSHORE FLOW
(AFTER IKE MOVES INLAND). THESE WATER LEVELS WILL BE SIMILAR TO
THE STORM SURGE EXPERIENCED DURING HURRICANE CARLA OF SEPTEMBER
1961.
CALCASIEU PASS
HIGH TIDE LOW TIDE HIGH TIDE LOW TIDE
TODAY 2:36 AM 7:09 PM
FRIDAY 2:35 AM 8:13 AM 11:01 AM 8:23 PM
SATURDAY 2:39 AM 8:17 AM 12:19 PM 8:59 PM
SABINE PASS
HIGH TIDE LOW TIDE HIGH TIDE LOW TIDE
TODAY 3:32 AM 7:55 PM
FRIDAY 3:31 AM 8:59 AM 11:56 AM 8:33 PM
SATURDAY 3:35 AM 9:03 AM 1:15 PM 9:09 PM
FOR CALCASIEU PARISH:
AT THESE LEVELS...COMMUNITIES ALONG THE CALCASIEU RIVER BASIN
SUCH AS DEATONVILLE...VINCENT LANDING JUST SOUTHEAST OF
CARLYSS...AND LOCKMOOR JUST SOUTH OF WESTLAKE WILL EXPERIENCE
STORM SURGE FLOODING. AREAS WITHIN LAKE CHARLES NEAR THE I-10 AND
I-210 BRIDGES...AREAS NEAR THE CIVIC CENTER...AND THE LAKE
CHARLES BEACH WILL EXPERIENCE FLOODING AS WELL.
FOR ORANGE COUNTY:
AT THESE LEVELS...SECTIONS OF HIGHWAY 73 BETWEEN PORT ARTHUR AND
BRIDGE CITY WILL BE FLOODED.
VOLUNTARY EVACUATION INCLUDES PERSONS LIVING IN TRAVEL TRAILERS
AND MOBILE HOMES. IF YOU DECIDE TO LEAVE PLEASE TRAVEL IN A
NORTHERLY DIRECTION AS SIGNIFICANT TRAFFIC CONGESTION IS EXPECTED
ON I-10 WEST.
FOR HARDIN COUNTY:
VOLUNTARY EVACUATION INCLUDES PERSONS LIVING IN TRAVEL TRAILERS
AND MOBILE HOMES. IF YOU DECIDE TO LEAVE PLEASE TRAVEL IN A
NORTHERLY DIRECTION AS SIGNIFICANT TRAFFIC CONGESTION IS EXPECTED
ON I-10 WEST.
...WINDS...
CALCASIEU PARISH...TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS OF 40 MPH WITH
GUSTS TO 55 MPH WILL OCCUR AROUND NOON ON FRIDAY AND PERSIST
THROUGH THE EVENING HOURS.
ORANGE AND HARDIN COUNTIES...TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS OF 50 MPH
WITH GUSTS TO 65 MPH WILL OCCUR BY FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND PERSIST
THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING.
...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...
THE PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS RANGE FROM 65 TO 75
PERCENT ACROSS SOUTHWEST LOUISIANA TO 15 TO 25 PERCENT ACROSS THE
GOLDEN TRIANGLE WITH LESS THAN A 20 PERCENT OF HURRICANE FORCE WINDS.
...INLAND FLOODING...
AREAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS FROM 4 TO 6 INCHES WITH LOCALIZED AMOUNTS
TO NEAR 12 INCHES ARE EXPECTED CAUSING MINOR TO MODERATE FLOODING
ALONG MAIN-STEM RIVERS. AS IS THE CASE DURING ANY TROPICAL
SYSTEM...ANY AREA THAT RECEIVES HEAVY RAINS MAY EXPERIENCE FLASH
FLOODING.
AT THIS TIME...THE ONLY RIVERS THAT ARE FORECAST TO GO INTO FLOOD
IS THE LOWER CALCASIEU RIVER FROM THE SALT WATER BARRIER TO OLD
TOWN BAY...AND THE WEST FORK OF THE CALCASIEU FROM HOUSTON RIVER
TO THE CONFLUENCE OF THE CALCASIEU RIVER (DUE TO TIDAL BACKUP UP
THE CALCASIEU RIVER).
AT THIS TIME ALONG THE CALCASIEU RIVER...SIGNIFICANT FLOODING OF
NUMEROUS RECREATIONAL CAMPS AND HOMES WILL OCCUR NEAR THE SALT
WATER BARRIER. RIVER ROAD IN NORTH LAKE CHARLES AND MUCH OF MIMMS
ROAD IN WEST LAKE WILL BECOME IMPASSABLE FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY.
GOOS FERRY ROAD NEAR OLD TOWN BAY WILL ALSO WILL BECOME
IMPASSABLE FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY. ALONG THE WEST FORK OF THE
CALCASIEU...WATER WILL BE ON LOW SPOTS ON SOUTH PERKINS FERRY ROAD.
WATER WILL ALSO BE OVER SOME BOAT DOCKS ON SOUTH PERKINS FERRY
ROAD AND OVER BOAT RAMPS AT SAM HOUSTON JONES STATE PARK.
...TORNADOES...
THE THREAT FOR TORNADOES WILL INCREASE FRIDAY INTO FRIDAY NIGHT.
...NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT UPDATE WILL BE ISSUED AROUND 11 AM.
$$
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAMERON, LA TO HIGH ISLAND, TX OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM CAMERON, LA TO HIGH ISLAND, TX EXTENDING FROM 20 NM
TO 60 NM-
602 AM CDT THU SEP 11 2008
...HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT...
...NEW INFORMATION...
IKE EXPECTED TO MAKE LANDFALL NEAR FREEPORT TEXAS.
...AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN THE
FOLLOWING MARINE AREAS:
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAMERON, LA TO HIGH ISLAND, TX OUT 20 NM...
WATERS FROM CAMERON, LA TO HIGH ISLAND, TX EXTENDING FROM 20 NM
TO 60 NM.
...WATCHES/WARNINGS...
THE FOLLOWING WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE CURRENTLY IN EFFECT FOR
THIS AREA:
HURRICANE WATCH.
...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
MARINERS SHOULD BEGIN TO SEEK SAFE HARBOR AND PREPARE VESSELS FOR
THE POSSIBILITY OF HURRICANE FORCE WINDS.
...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
TODAY SEAS 7 FEET BUILDING TO 10 FEET IN THE AFTERNOON. THIS
EVENING SEAS 11 FEET BUILDING TO 13 FEET EARLY FRIDAY MORNING.
FRIDAY SEAS 15 FEET BUILDING TO 20 FEET IN THE AFTERNOON. FRIDAY
NIGHT SEAS 20 TO 25 FEET.
...WINDS...
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WILL IMPACT THE OUTER COASTAL WATERS
BY THURSDAY EVENING. WIND GUSTS TO HURRICANE FORCE IS POSSIBLE BY
FRIDAY EVENING. ALL CRAFT SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT...AND PREPARATIONS
TO SECURE MARITIME PROPERTY ALONG THE COAST SHOULD BE COMPLETED
BY THURSDAY AFTERNOON.
...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...
THERE IS A 70 TO 80 PERCENT CHANCE OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS ACROSS THE COASTAL WATERS WITH LESS THAN A 30 PERCENT CHANCE
OF HURRICANE FORCE WINDS.
...TORNADOES...
THE THREAT FOR WATERSPOUTS WILL INCREASE FRIDAY INTO FRIDAY
NIGHT.
...NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT UPDATE WILL BE ISSUED AROUND 11 AM.

[aabshire]

Local Hurricane Statement LCH NWS Office (Part 3)
JEFFERSON-
602 AM CDT THU SEP 11 2008
...HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT...
...NEW INFORMATION...
IKE EXPECTED TO MAKE LANDFALL NEAR FREEPORT TEXAS.
VOLUNTARY EVACUATION FOR SABINE PASS EFFECTIVE TODAY AT 6 AM DUE
TO HIGH TIDE ON FRIDAY ALONG WITH STORM SURGE COULD CLOSE HIGHWAY
87 AS EARLY AS FRIDAY. THIS ALSO INCLUDES PERSONS LIVING IN
TRAVEL TRAILERS AND MOBILE HOMES. IF YOU DECIDE TO LEAVE PLEASE
TRAVEL IN A NORTHERLY DIRECTION AS SIGNIFICANT TRAFFIC CONGESTION
IS EXPECTED ON I-10 WEST.
...AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN THE
FOLLOWING COUNTY:
JEFFERSON.
...WATCHES/WARNINGS...
THE FOLLOWING WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE CURRENTLY IN EFFECT FOR
THIS AREA:
HURRICANE WATCH.
...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
A VOLUNTARY EVACUATION FOR SABINE PASS IS IN EFFECT.
COASTAL INUNDATION OF PRONE COMMUNITIES IS POSSIBLE.
ALL RESIDENTS LIVING ON THE SHORELINE WILL EXPERIENCE SIGNIFICANT
FLOODING. HOMES WILL LIKELY BECOME UNINHABITABLE IN FLOOD PRONE
AREAS. ENTIRE FLOOD PRONE COASTAL COMMUNITIES WILL BE TEMPORARILY
CUT OFF...WATER LEVELS MAY EXCEED 6 FEET OR MORE FOR MORE THAN A
MILE INLAND. COASTAL RESIDENTS OF ONE STORY HOMES WHO DO NOT
EVACUATE WILL FACE LIFE THREATENING CONSEQUENCES. THOSE IN MULTI-
STORY OR MULTI-UNIT FACILITIES RISK BEING CUT OFF FOR DAYS.
PARKED
VEHICLES WILL BE SEVERELY DAMAGED IN THE FLOOD ZONE.
CONDITIONS WILL BE WORSENED BY BATTERING WAVES. SUCH WAVES WILL
EXACERBATE PROPERTY DAMAGE...INCLUDING DESTRUCTION OF HOMES AND
WASHING AWAY VEHICLES. BEACH EROSION WILL BE SUBSTANTIAL...AND
REQUIRE MONTHS TO CLEAN UP.
DAMAGING WINDS ARE EXPECTED.
...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
THE ACTUAL TIDES WILL REACH 4 FEET (MINOR FLOODING) BY FRIDAY
MORNING...FOLLOWED BY A RAPID VERTICAL WATER RISE TO AROUND
6 FEET FRIDAY AFTERNOON (MAJOR FLOODING)...CRESTING NEAR 10 FEET
BY VERY EARLY SATURDAY MORNING. THE STORM SURGE WILL BE SLOW TO
RECEDE THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING DUE TO THE PROLONGED ONSHORE FLOW
(AFTER IKE MOVES INLAND). THESE WATER LEVELS WILL BE SIMILAR TO
THE STORM SURGE EXPERIENCED DURING HURRICANE CARLA OF SEPTEMBER
1961.
AT THESE WATER LEVELS...MOST LOCATIONS SOUTH OF HIGHWAY
73 BETWEEN PORT ARTHUR AND WINNIE WILL LIKELY HAVE STORM SURGE
FLOODING. FLOODING WILL LIKELY OCCUR ALONG HILLEBRANDT AND TAYLOR
BAYOUS BETWEEN FANNETT AND LA BELLE. FLOODING WILL LIKELY OCCUR
ALONG COW BAYOU BETWEEN ORANGEFIELD AND BRIDGE CITY.
MOST IF NOT ALL ROADS IN SABINE PASS WILL BE FLOODED. SECTIONS OF
HIGHWAY 73/87 BETWEEN PORT ARTHUR AND BRIDGE CITY WILL BE FLOODED
AS WELL.
SABINE PASS
HIGH TIDE LOW TIDE HIGH TIDE LOW TIDE
TODAY 3:32 AM 7:55 PM
FRIDAY 3:31 AM 8:59 AM 11:56 AM 8:33 PM
SATURDAY 3:35 AM 9:03 AM 1:15 PM 9:09 PM
...WINDS...
JEFFERSON COUNTY WILL EXPERIENCE TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
BETWEEN 50 AND 60 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 70 MPH BY LATE FRIDAY
MORNING ...THEN PERSIST FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE DAY INTO EARLY
SATURDAY MORNING.
...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...
THERE IS A 70 TO 80 PERCENT CHANCE OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
ACROSS JEFFERSON COUNTY WITH A 20 TO 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS.
...INLAND FLOODING...
AREAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS FROM 4 TO 6 INCHES WITH LOCALIZED AMOUNTS
TO NEAR 12 INCHES ARE EXPECTED. MINOR FLOODING IS EXPECTED ALONG
AREA RIVERS IN SOUTHEAST TEXAS. AS IS THE CASE DURING ANY
TROPICAL SYSTEM...ANY AREA THAT RECEIVES HEAVY RAINS WILL SEE FLASH
FLOODING.
WE WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE STORM SURGE POTENTIAL AND ISSUE
ANY ADDITIONAL FLOOD WARNINGS THAT MAY BE NEEDED SPECIFICALLY
ALONG THE NECHES RIVER AT BEAUMONT.
...TORNADOES...
THE THREAT FOR TORNADOES WILL INCREASE ACROSS SOUTHEAST TEXAS
FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND FRIDAY NIGHT.
...NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT UPDATE WILL BE ISSUED AROUND 11 AM.

AVOYELLES-EVANGELINE-RAPIDES-ST. LANDRY-
602 AM CDT THU SEP 11 2008
...NEW INFORMATION...
IKE EXPECTED TO MAKE LANDFALL NEAR FREEPORT TEXAS.
...AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN THE
FOLLOWING PARISHES:
AVOYELLES...EVANGELINE...RAPIDES...ST. LANDRY.
...WATCHES/WARNINGS...
NO ADDITIONAL HAZARDS ARE IN EFFECT.
...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PERSONS SHOULD PREPARE FOR THE POSSIBILITY OF TROPICAL STORM
FORCE WINDS IF THE TRACK OF IKE DRIFTS FURTHER TO THE NORTH.
...WINDS...
TROPICAL STORM FORCE AROUND 40 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 50 MPH WILL BE
POSSIBLE BY FRIDAY AFTERNOON. A TROPICAL STORM WIND WATCH MAY BE
REQUIRED ON THURSDAY.
...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...
THERE IS A 20 TO 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
ACROSS SOUTHWEST LOUISIANA WITH LESS THAN A 10 PERCENT CHANCE OF
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS.
...INLAND FLOODING...
RAINFALL AMOUNTS FROM 2 TO 3 INCHES WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS TO
AROUND 6 INCHES ARE EXPECTED. AS IS THE CASE DURING ANY TROPICAL
SYSTEM...ANY AREA THAT RECEIVES HEAVY RAINS MAY SEE FLASH
FLOODING.
...TORNADOES...
THE THREAT FOR TORNADOES WILL INCREASE FRIDAY INTO FRIDAY NIGHT.
...NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT UPDATE WILL BE ISSUED AROUND 11 AM.

[ROLLTIDE]

please post local IKE statements in this thread use the quote button Thanks

[dkmac]

Update from NWS N.O.:

Quote:.AT 700 AM CDT...1200Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE IKE WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 25.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 88.0 WEST OR ABOUT
575 MILES...EAST OF BROWNSVILLE TEXAS AND ABOUT 270 MILES...SOUTH-
SOUTHEAST OF THE MOUTH OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER.

IKE IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 10 MPH. A GENERAL
WEST-NORTHWESTWARD MOTION OVER THE CENTRAL AND WESTERN GULF OF
MEXICO IS EXPECTED TODAY AND FRIDAY. ON THIS TRACK THE CENTER WILL
BE APPROACHING THE NORTHWESTERN GULF OF MEXICO COAST LATE FRIDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 100 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. IKE
IS A CATEGORY TWO HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR- SIMPSON SCALE...AND IT
COULD INTENSIFY INTO A CATEGORY THREE HURRICANE OVER THE NEXT DAY
OR TWO.

IKE IS A LARGE TROPICAL CYCLONE. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND
OUTWARD UP TO 115 MILES FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 255 MILES.

AIR FORCE AND NOAA HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT REPORT THAT THE
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 945 MB...27.91 INCHES.

COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 3 TO 5 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE
LEVELS...ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS WAVES...CAN BE EXPECTED
WITHIN THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING AREA.

IKE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES OVER
SOUTHERN LOUISIANA.

...AREAS AFFECTED...

THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN...
COASTAL WATERS OF SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA AND SOUTH MISSISSIPPI...
SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA AND SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI.

...WATCHES/WARNINGS...

NO ADDITIONAL HAZARDS ARE IN EFFECT.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

ALL PREPAREDNESS MEASURES SHOULD BE COMPLETE AT THIS TIME.
TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS HAVE ONSET ALONG THE LOWER LOUISIANA
COAST AND WILL CONTINUE THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING.

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...

TIDES ARE TWO FEET ABOVE NORMAL THIS MORNING AND WILL CONTINUE TO
INCREASE 3 TO 5 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TODAY AND REMAIN ANOMALOUSLY
HIGH INTO SATURDAY BEFORE SLOWLY ABATING LATE SATURDAY INTO
SUNDAY. SOME EAST FACING SHORE LOCATIONS FROM BAY ST LOUIS TO THE
MOUTH OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER MAY EXPERIENCE AS MUCH AS 6 FEET
ABOVE NORMAL TIDES AT ASTRONOMICAL HIGH TIDE LATE THIS MORNING.

FLOODING OF COASTAL AREAS...INCLUDING ACCESS ROADS...OUTSIDE OF
HURRICANE PROTECTION LEVEE SYSTEMS IS IMMINENT OR ALREADY OCCURRING.

...WINDS...

FOR AREAS SOUTH OF THE LOUISIANA TIDAL LAKES...EAST WINDS 35 TO
45 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 55 MPH...BECOMING SOUTHEAST 25 TO 35 MPH WITH
GUSTS TO 45 MPH LATE TODAY AND TONIGHT...SETTLING TO SOUTHEAST 20
TO 30 MPH GUSTS TO 35 MPH FRIDAY. FOR AREAS NORTH OF THE LOUISIANA
TIDAL LAKES AND ALONG THE MISSISSIPPI GULF COAST...EAST WINDS 25
TO 30 MPH GUSTS 45 MPH TODAY...BECOMING SOUTHEAST 20 TO 30 MPH
LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT...SETTLING TO SOUTHEAST 15 TO 25
MPH FRIDAY.

...INLAND FLOODING...

RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF ONE TO TWO INCHES ARE POSSIBLE ALONG THE
IMMEDIATE COAST FROM FAST MOVING OUTER BANDS TODAY AND FRIDAY.
LOCALIZED FLOODING FROM TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS POSSIBLE...BUT
WIDESPREAD FRESHWATER FLOODING IS NOT ANTICIPATED AT THIS
TIME...BASED ON THE CURRENT FORECAST TRACK OF IKE.

...TORNADOES...

ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE IN SQUALLS THAT WILL BE MOVING
ONSHORE THROUGHOUT THE DAY TODAY THROUGH FRIDAY AFTERNOON.

...NEXT UPDATE...

THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED AROUND 11 AM CDT.

[dkmac]

Special Weather Statement

Quote:Special weather statement
laz040-062-064-070-msz080-081-111545-

special weather statement
national weather service new orleans la
941 am cdt thu sep 11 2008

...squall line with tropical storm force gusts moving northwest
towards the mississippi coast and extreme southeast
louisiana...
...tropical storm warning is in effect...

At 939 am cdt...national weather service doppler radar indicated a
squall line of tropical showers with damaging winds over the near
coastal waters from 30 miles south of gulfport...into the chandeleur
sound to naer delacroix island...moving northwest at 55 mph.

This tropical squall band will affect areas in and around...bay st.
Louis...pass christian...gulfport airport...east new orleans...lake
catherine...lakefront airport...long beach...pearlington...
Diamondhead...stennis space center...kiln...slidell and pearl river
before 11 am cdt.

The primary threat from this squall will be wind gusts 40 to 50
mph...which could down tree limbs and blow around unsecured small
objects. Seek shelter in a safe home or building until these storms
have passed.

[HarvestMoon]

Hardin County, Texas

Quote:

[SIZE="5"]HARDIN COUNTY TEXAS OFFICIAL WEBSITE[/SIZE]


[SIZE="4"]HURRICANE INFORMATION[/SIZE]

09/11/08 6:23 A.M.

From: Hardin County Emergency Management Team



Re: Hurricane Ike


All schools in Hardin County will be closed for the remainder of this week.

Based on current information regarding the projected path of Hurricane Ike from the National Weather Service and the National Hurricane Center, Hardin County is now under a voluntary evacuation order in place at this time.

Emergency Management officials in Hardin County, Southeast Texas, and all of coastal Texas will continue to watch for any changes in course, and respond accordingly.

Residents with questions can call the Hardin County Emergency Management Office at 246-5119.

http://www.co.hardin.tx.us/ips/cms

[dkmac]

Tropical Storm Warning

Quote:Tropical Storm Warning
HURRICANE IKE LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA
1057 AM CDT THU SEP 11 2008

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM MISSISSIPPI-ALABAMA
BORDER TO MORGAN CITY LOUISIANA...

.AT 10 AM CDT...A HURRICANE WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FROM MORGAN
CITY LOUISIANA TO BAFFIN BAY TEXAS. HURRICANE CONDITIONS COULD
REACH THE COAST WITHIN THE WARNING AREA BY LATE FRIDAY.

AT 10 AM CDT...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FROM
SOUTH OF BAFFIN BAY TO PORT MANSFIELD TEXAS. A HURRICANE WATCH
REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THIS AREA.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM EAST OF MORGAN
CITY TO THE MISSISSIPPI-ALABAMA BORDER...INCLUDING THE CITY OF
NEW ORLEANS AND LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN.

AT 1000 AM CDT...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE IKE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 25.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 88.4 WEST OR ABOUT 470 MILES
EAST-SOUTHEAST OF GALVESTON TEXAS.

IKE IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 10 MPH. A GENERAL
WEST-NORTHWESTWARD MOTION IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT DAY OR
SO...AND THE CENTER OF IKE SHOULD BE VERY NEAR THE COAST BY LATE
FRIDAY. HOWEVER...BECAUSE IKE IS A VERY LARGE TROPICAL
CYCLONE...WEATHER WILL DETERIORATE ALONG THE COASTLINE LONG BEFORE
THE CENTER REACHES THE COAST.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 100 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. IKE
IS A CATEGORY TWO HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. IKE IS
FORECAST TO BECOME A MAJOR HURRICANE PRIOR TO REACHING THE
COASTLINE.

IKE REMAINS A VERY LARGE TROPICAL CYCLONE. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS
EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115 MILES FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL
STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 275 MILES.

THE LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY A NOAA HURRICANE
HUNTER AIRCRAFT WAS 945 MB...27.91 INCHES.

COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 5 TO 7 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE
LEVELS...ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS WAVES...CAN BE EXPECTED
ALONG THE MISSISSIPPI AND SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA COAST.

RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER COASTAL
MISSISSIPPI AND SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA.

GMZ530-555-LAZ038-040-049-050-056>070-MSZ080>082-111900-
/O.CON.KLIX.TR.W.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN AND LAKE MAUREPAS-
COASTAL WATERS FROM PASCAGOULA MS TO THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE
MISSISSIPPI RIVER OUT 20 NM-TANGIPAHOA-ST. TAMMANY-ASCENSION-
LIVINGSTON-ASSUMPTION-ST. JAMES-ST. JOHN THE BAPTIST-
UPPER LAFOURCHE-ST. CHARLES-UPPER JEFFERSON-ORLEANS-
UPPER PLAQUEMINES-UPPER ST. BERNARD-UPPER TERREBONNE-
LOWER TERREBONNE-LOWER LAFOURCHE-LOWER JEFFERSON-
LOWER PLAQUEMINES-LOWER ST. BERNARD-HAN****-HARRISON-JACKSON-
1057 AM CDT THU SEP 11 2008

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...NEW INFORMATION...

.AT 10 AM CDT...A HURRICANE WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FROM MORGAN
CITY LOUISIANA TO BAFFIN BAY TEXAS. HURRICANE CONDITIONS COULD
REACH THE COAST WITHIN THE WARNING AREA BY LATE FRIDAY.

AT 10 AM CDT...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FROM
SOUTH OF BAFFIN BAY TO PORT MANSFIELD TEXAS. A HURRICANE WATCH
REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THIS AREA.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM EAST OF MORGAN
CITY TO THE MISSISSIPPI-ALABAMA BORDER...INCLUDING THE CITY OF
NEW ORLEANS AND LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN.

AT 1000 AM CDT...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE IKE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 25.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 88.4 WEST OR ABOUT 470 MILES
EAST-SOUTHEAST OF GALVESTON TEXAS.

IKE IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 10 MPH. A GENERAL
WEST-NORTHWESTWARD MOTION IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT DAY OR
SO...AND THE CENTER OF IKE SHOULD BE VERY NEAR THE COAST BY LATE
FRIDAY. HOWEVER...BECAUSE IKE IS A VERY LARGE TROPICAL
CYCLONE...WEATHER WILL DETERIORATE ALONG THE COASTLINE LONG BEFORE
THE CENTER REACHES THE COAST.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 100 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. IKE
IS A CATEGORY TWO HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. IKE IS
FORECAST TO BECOME A MAJOR HURRICANE PRIOR TO REACHING THE
COASTLINE.

IKE REMAINS A VERY LARGE TROPICAL CYCLONE. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS
EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115 MILES FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL
STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 275 MILES.

THE LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY A NOAA HURRICANE
HUNTER AIRCRAFT WAS 945 MB...27.91 INCHES.

COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 5 TO 7 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE
LEVELS...ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS WAVES...CAN BE EXPECTED
ALONG THE MISSISSIPPI AND SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA COAST.

RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER COASTAL
MISSISSIPPI AND SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA.

...AREAS AFFECTED...

THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN...
COASTAL WATERS OF SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA AND SOUTH MISSISSIPPI...
SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA AND SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI.

...WATCHES/WARNINGS...

NO ADDITIONAL HAZARDS ARE IN EFFECT.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

ALL PREPAREDNESS MEASURES SHOULD BE COMPLETE AT THIS TIME.
TROPICAL STORM WINDS HAVE ONSET ALONG THE LOWER LOUISIANA COAST
AND WILL CONTINUE THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING. HIGH TIDES AND SALT
WATER INUNDATION IS TAKING PLACE OUTSIDE THE HURRICANE LEVEE PROTECTION
SYSTEM.

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...

TIDES ARE TWO TO FOUR FEET ABOVE NORMAL LATE THIS MORNING AND WILL
CONTINUE TO INCREASE 5 TO 7 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TODAY AND REMAIN
ANOMALOUSLY HIGH INTO SATURDAY BEFORE SLOWLY ABATING LATE SATURDAY
INTO SUNDAY. FLOODING OF COASTAL AREAS...INCLUDING ACCESS
ROADS...OUTSIDE OF HURRICANE PROTECTION LEVEE SYSTEMS IS OCCURRING
AT THIS TIME. AREAS ACROSS ST BERNARD PARISH OUTSIDE THE LEVEE
SYSTEM ARE EXPERIENCING FLOODED ROADWAYS IN THE SHELL
BEACH...HOPEDALE AND YSCLOSKEY COMMUNITIES. AREAS BELOW THE
TERREBONNE PARISH FLOOD GATES ARE INUNDATING AT THIS TIME.
FLOODING WILL ALSO IMPACT BAYS ALONG THE MISSISSIPPI COAST AND
ALONG RIVERS AND BAYOUS INTO THE LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN AND MAUREPAS
BASIN. FLOODING MAY BE MOST PRONOUNCED AT TIMES OF ASTRONOMICAL
HIGH TIDE MID-DAY TODAY AND AGAIN FRIDAY.

...WINDS...

FOR AREAS SOUTH OF THE LOUISIANA TIDAL LAKES...EAST WINDS 35 TO
45 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 55 MPH MAINLY IN SQUALLS...BECOMING SOUTHEAST 25
TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 45 MPH LATE TODAY AND TONIGHT...SETTLING
TO SOUTHEAST 20 TO 30 MPH GUSTS TO 35 MPH FRIDAY. FOR AREAS NORTH
OF THE LOUISIANA TIDAL LAKES AND ALONG THE MISSISSIPPI GULF
COAST...EAST WINDS 25 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS 45 MPH MAINLY IN SQUALLS TODAY
...BECOMING SOUTHEAST 20 TO 30 MPH LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND
TONIGHT...SETTLING TO SOUTHEAST 15 TO 25 MPH FRIDAY.

TREE LIMBS AND WEAK TREES MAY IMPACT POWER LINES IN GUSTS DURING
SQUALLS. UNSECURED ITEMS LIKE TRASH CANS AND LIGHT LAWN FURNITURE MAY
BE MOVED BY HIGHER WINDS. SIGNAGE AND CANOPY COVERS MAY BE DAMAGED
WITH GUSTS AROUND 50 MPH. PERSONS IN TEMPORARY TRAILER HOMES MAY
WISH TO SEEK STRONGER SHELTER UNTIL THE STRONG WIND THREAT
DIMINISHES.

...INLAND FLOODING...

RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF ONE TO TWO INCHES ARE POSSIBLE ALONG THE
IMMEDIATE COAST FROM FAST MOVING OUTER BANDS TODAY AND FRIDAY.
LOCALIZED FLOODING FROM TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS POSSIBLE...BUT
WIDESPREAD FRESHWATER FLOODING IS NOT ANTICIPATED AT THIS
TIME...BASED ON THE CURRENT FORECAST TRACK OF IKE.

...TORNADOES...

ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE IN SQUALLS THAT WILL BE MOVING
ONSHORE THROUGHOUT THE DAY TODAY THROUGH FRIDAY AFTERNOON.

...EVACUATIONS...

SEVERAL PARISHES IN SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA HAVE REQUESTED EVACUATIONS
IN LOW LYING AREAS. PLEASE FOLLOW ADVISE OF LOCAL PARISH AND
COUNTY OFFICIALS REGARDING EVACUATION DECLARATIONS.

...NEXT UPDATE...

THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED AROUND 2 PM CDT.

[ROLLTIDE]

local

Quote:BRAZORIA-CHAMBERS-GALVESTON-HARRIS-JACKSON-LIBERTY-MATAGORDA-
132 PM CDT FRI SEP 12 2008

...HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...NEW INFORMATION...

UPDATED PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS SECTION.
UPDATED STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE SECTION.
UPDATED WINDS SECTION.

...AREAS AFFECTED...

THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN THE
FOLLOWING COUNTIES OR MARINE AREAS:

BRAZORIA...CHAMBERS...GALVESTON...HARRIS...JACKSON...LIBERTY...
MATAGORDA.

...WATCHES/WARNINGS...

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THESE ADDITIONAL HAZARDS.

FLOOD WATCH.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IT IS IMPERATIVE THAT PERSONS WHO LIVE IN MOBILE HOMES OR POORLY-
BUILT STRUCTURES EVACUATE TO A SAFER LOCATION SUCH AS A WELL BUILT
HOME. PERSONS WHO LIVE IN HIGH RISES SHOULD CONSIDER EVACUATING AS
WINDS CAN BE AS MUCH AS 20 TO 30 MPH STRONGER AT THE TOP OF A HIGH
RISE THAN AT GROUND LEVEL. PERSONS OUTSIDE OF THE MANDATORY EVACUATION
AREAS WHO HAVE NOT EVACUATED SHOULD PLAN TO SHELTER IN PLACE IN A
WELL BUILT STRUCTURE DURING THE PERIOD OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS.

CURRENT EVACUATION INFORMATION:

BRAZORIA COUNTY:

MANDATORY EVACUATIONS HAVE BEEN ORDERED FOR THE ENTIRE COUNTY
WITH THE EXCEPTION OF THE CITIES OF PEARLAND...ALVIN...MANVEL...
AND ANGLETON WHICH ARE UNDER A VOLUNTARY EVACUATION.

CHAMBERS COUNTY:

A MANDATORY EVACUATION HAS BEEN ORDERED FOR THE ENTIRE COUNTY
EFFECTIVE IMMEDIATELY.

GALVESTON COUNTY:

POWER OUTAGES HAVE BEEN REPORTED ON THE BOLIVAR PENINSULA.

A MANDATORY EVACUATION HAS BEEN ORDERED FOR ALL OF GALVESTON
ISLAND.

A MANDATORY EVACUATION IS IN EFFECT FOR BOLIVAR PENINSULA...
OMEGA BAY...SAN LEON...BACLIFF...FREDDIESVILLE...TIKI ISLAND...
KEMAH...AND CLEAR LAKE SHORES.

THE GALVESTON-BOLIVAR FERRY HAS CEASED OPERATIONS.

THE BOLIVAR S.U.D. HAS INDICATED THEY HAVE CEASED WATER SERVICE
TO THE PENINSULA.

HARRIS COUNTY:

A MANDATORY EVACUATION HAS BEEN ORDERED FOR THE FOLLOWING ZIP
CODES...77058...77059...77062...77520...77546...77571...77586...
77598 AND 77507.

PERSONS THROUGHOUT HARRIS COUNTY THAT LIVE IN MOBILE HOMES OR
HIGH RISES SHOULD CONSIDER EVACUATING DUE TO THE HIGH THREAT OF
DAMAGING WINDS.

FOR RESIDENTS WITH SPECIAL NEEDS...PLEASE CALL 311.

SOUTHWEST AIRLINES HAS SUSPENDED FLIGHTS INTO AND OUT OF HOBBY
AIRPORT UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.

JACKSON COUNTY:

A MANDATORY EVACUATION HAS BEEN ORDERED FOR THE ENTIRE COUNTY.

SCHOOLS WILL BE CLOSED TODAY.

MATAGORDA COUNTY:

A MANDATORY EVACUATION HAS BEEN ORDERED FOR THE ENTIRE COUNTY.

PALACIOS SCHOOL DISTRICT WILL REMAIN CLOSED ON MONDAY SEPTEMBER
15TH.

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...

TIDE LEVELS REPORTED AT 1230 PM CDT:

HOUSTON SHIP CHANNEL/BATTLESHIP TEXAS - 4.7 FEET
CLEAR LAKE ENTRANCE - 4.6 FEET
ROLLOVER PASS - 5.4 FEET
EAGLE POINT - 5.9 FEET
MORGANS POINT - 5.1 FEET
NORTH JETTY - 7.7 FEET
PIER 21 - 6.8 FEET
PLEASURE PIER - 8.9 FEET
FREEPORT - 7.4 FEET
PORT O'CONNOR - 3.6 FEET

WATER LEVELS WILL BEGIN RISING VERY RAPIDLY LATE THIS AFTERNOON
WITH WATER LEVELS PEAKING BETWEEN 11 PM AND 3 AM TONIGHT AS THE
STORM SURGE SPREADS ONTO THE COAST AND BAYSHORE AREAS. MAXIMUM
STORM TIDE LEVELS ARE HIGHLY DEPENDENT ON THE TRACK OF THE STORM
AND VARIATIONS IN THE TRACK OF ONLY 15 MILES CAN MAKE DIFFERENCES
OF SEVERAL FEET MORE OR LESS FROM SOME OF THESE VALUES.

MAXIMUM WATER LEVELS FORECAST:

SHORELINE OF GALVESTON BAY...15 TO 22 FEET

BOLIVAR PENINSULA...17 TO 20 FEET

GALVESTON ISLAND......14 TO 17 FEET

GULF-FACING COASTLINE FROM SARGENT TO
SAN LUIS PASS...8 TO 14 FEET

GULF-FACING COASTLINE WEST OF SARGENT...4 TO 7 FEET

SHORELINE OF MATAGORDA BAY...3 TO 5 FEET

SEVERE INUNDATION IS LIKELY NEAR THE IMMEDIATE COAST AND BAYSHORE
AREAS!

NEIGHBORHOODS THAT ARE AFFECTED BY THE STORM SURGE...AND POSSIBLY
ENTIRE COASTAL COMMUNITIES...WILL BE INUNDATED DURING THE PERIOD
OF PEAK STORM TIDE. MANY RESIDENCES OF AVERAGE CONSTRUCTION
DIRECTLY ON THE COAST WILL BE DESTROYED. WIDESPREAD AND
DEVASTATING PERSONAL PROPERTY DAMAGE IS LIKELY ELSEWHERE. VEHICLES
LEFT BEHIND WILL LIKELY BE SWEPT AWAY. NUMEROUS ROADS WILL BE
SWAMPED...SOME MAY BE WASHED AWAY BY THE WATER. ENTIRE FLOOD PRONE
COASTAL COMMUNITIES WILL BE CUTOFF. WATER LEVELS MAY EXCEED 9 FEET
FOR MORE THAN A MILE INLAND. COASTAL RESIDENTS IN MULTI-STORY
FACILITIES RISK BEING CUTOFF. CONDITIONS WILL BE WORSENED BY
BATTERING WAVES CLOSER TO THE COAST. SUCH WAVES WILL EXACERBATE
PROPERTY DAMAGE...WITH MASSIVE DESTRUCTION OF HOMES...INCLUDING
THOSE OF BLOCK CONSTRUCTION. DAMAGE FROM BEACH EROSION COULD TAKE
YEARS TO REPAIR.

HIGH TIDE TIMES:

MORGANS POINT...
FRI 2:52 PM.
SAT 2:59 PM.
CLEAR LAKE ENTRANCE...
SAT 10:43 AM.
EAGLE POINT...
SAT 8:32 AM.
PORT BOLIVAR...
FRI 1:52 PM.
SAT 4:52 AM.
SAT 3:00 PM.
GALVESTON CHANNEL...
FRI 1:38 PM.
SAT 4:38 AM.
SAT 2:46 PM.
GALVESTON PLEASURE PIER...
SAT 3:32 AM.
SAT 1:40 PM.
JAMAICA BEACH...
FRI 4:16 PM.
SAT 7:16 AM.
SAT 5:24 PM.
SAN LUIS PASS...
FRI 1:29 PM.
SAT 4:29 AM.
SAT 2:37 PM.
FREEPORT...
SAT 3:54 AM.
SAT 2:02 PM.
PORT O CONNOR...
SAT 2:01 PM.

NOTE...TIDE LEVELS ARE REFERENCED FROM THE MEAN LOWER LOW WATER.

...WINDS...

THE WIND FIELD SURROUNDING IKE IS UNUSUALLY LARGE. TROPICAL STORM
FORCE WIND GUSTS IN EXCESS OF 39 MPH ARE EXPECTED TO REACH THE
COASTAL COUNTIES IN THE NEXT FEW HOURS...AND SPREAD INLAND TO THE
HOUSTON AREA BY LATE THIS AFTERNOON. WINDS OF AT LEAST TROPICAL
STORM FORCE WILL LAST UP TO 24 HOURS.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS IN EXCESS OF 74 MPH WILL REACH THE COASTAL
COUNTIES LATE THIS EVENING. THESE WINDS WILL SPREAD INLAND THROUGH
THE HOUSTON METRO AREA BETWEEN MIDNIGHT AND 3 AM CDT. HURRICANE
FORCE WINDS MAY LAST FOR UP TO 12 HOURS.

PEAK WIND GUSTS OF 90 TO 110 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS
HARRIS...LIBERTY...BRAZORIA...GALVESTON...AND CHAMBERS COUNTIES.
WIND GUSTS NEAR 115 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE NEAR WHERE THE CENTER OF
THE STORM COMES ONSHORE.

VERY DANGEROUS WINDS WILL PRODUCE WIDESPREAD DAMAGE AND
DESTRUCTION OF MOBILE HOMES IS LIKELY.

STRUCTURAL DAMAGE WILL INCLUDE THE MAJORITY OF MOBILE HOMES BEING
SEVERELY DAMAGED. THOSE THAT SURVIVE WILL BE UNINHABITABLE UNTIL
REPAIRED. HOUSES OF POOR TO AVERAGE CONSTRUCTION WILL HAVE MAJOR
DAMAGE...INCLUDING PARTIAL WALL COLLAPSE AND ROOFS BEING LIFTED
OFF. MANY WILL BE UNINHABITABLE. WELL CONSTRUCTED HOUSES WILL
INCUR MINOR DAMAGE TO SHINGLES...SIDING...GUTTERS...AS WELL AS
BLOWN OUT WINDOWS. UP TO ONE QUARTER OF GABLED ROOFS WILL FAIL.

PARTIAL ROOF FAILURE IS EXPECTED AT INDUSTRIAL PARKS...ESPECIALLY
TO THOSE BUILDINGS WITH LIGHT WEIGHT STEEL AND ALUMINUM
COVERINGS. OLDER LOW RISING APARTMENT ROOFS MAY ALSO BE TORN
OFF...AS WELL AS RECEIVING SIDING AND SHINGLE DAMAGE. UP TO ONE
QUARTER OF ALL GLASS IN HIGH RISE OFFICE BUILDINGS WILL BE BLOWN
OUT. AIRBORNE DEBRIS WILL CAUSE DAMAGE...INJURY...AND POSSIBLE
FATALITIES.

NATURAL DAMAGE WILL INCLUDE ALL TREES WITH ROTTING BASES BECOMING
UPROOTED OR SNAPPED. NEARLY ALL LARGE BRANCHES WILL SNAP. BETWEEN
ONE QUARTER AND ONE HALF OF HEALTHY SMALL TO MEDIUM SIZED TREES
WILL BE SNAPPED OR UPROOTED...MOST COMMON WHERE THE GROUND IS
SATURATED. UP TO THREE QUARTERS OF NEWLY PLANTED GROUND CROPS
WILL BE DAMAGED.

...INLAND FLOODING...

A FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT.

RAIN BANDS ASSOCIATED WITH HURRICANE IKE WILL BEGIN SPREADING ONTO
THE UPPER TEXAS COAST THIS AFTERNOON AND THROUGH THE HOUSTON METRO
AREA BY EARLY THIS EVENING.

WIDESPREAD RAINFALL OF 5 TO 7 INCHES WITH ISOLATED TOTALS OF 10
TO 12 INCHES WILL BE POSSIBLE THROUGH THE DURATION OF THE STORM.
SIGNIFICANT FLOODING WILL BE POSSIBLE IN AREAS OF HEAVIEST
RAINFALL.

...TORNADOES...

THE THREAT FOR TORNADOES WILL INCREASE RAPIDLY BY THIS EVENING AND
CONTINUE THROUGH LATE SATURDAY AS IKE MOVES ONSHORE. YOU SHOULD
PLAN TO SEEK SHELTER IN AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR AWAY
FROM WINDOWS.

...NEXT UPDATE...

THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED AROUND 530 PM CDT.