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Longranger
12-31-2004, 05:29 PM (This post was last modified: 01-01-2005 07:04 PM by Jason234.)
Post: #1
Longranger
Going to slip a post in before the new year...no changes made to my idea's despite the disturbing analog of 1950. But the pattern is progressive and not stationary, the trof in the west is not locked in, especially with the SOI signal flipping all over the place. Once that trof reforms east of Hawaii, you'll get the trof in the east...and with the cross-polar flow going on, the air is like a container full of water under a faucet, it overflows and that is still in the back of my mind. NOGAPS showed this and Canadian too but that southeast ridge the way it is, it should be dammed to hell for how it torments winter weather enthusiasts. It's going to be a mess this month with, the temps but I going to call an average deviation of 2 degree' above normals in NYC and progressively cooler as you go further east...with maximum below average deviations in the west centered around the Pacific Northwest, Seattle might see snow some snow but accum. will be light with that flow off the water! The pattern change seems like it will occur Jan 15th (Probably earlier)when the trof breaks east...Keep in mind it only take's the polar vortex to drop for things to get mighty cold, which seems likely with some surface warming at the poles. And it also seems like we're getting some ridging building in Alaska, which eventually could translate to that omega block in eastern Canada b/c it's occurring now and not later. NAO is all over the place, but with the next full moon occurring Jan 25 look to see a Negative NAO in the beginning of February. That’s enough for now.
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01-24-2005, 09:59 PM
Post: #2
Longranger
This Was By Far My Best Longranger Ever!!
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