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Where'd this come from?
12-24-2004, 11:24 AM
Post: #1
Where'd this come from?
Well the new ETA runs' have that 'moisture starved' alberta clipper dumping up to 6 inches of snow across portions of mass. and Connecticut, Monday! The GFS doesn't see anything, maybe because it seems to be more mesoscale, then synoptic. Nonetheless, keep an eye on it...
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12-24-2004, 04:56 PM
Post: #2
Where'd this come from?
WOW, is the only word to describe a storm on the 18z ETA run's. Could it happen yes, is it likely- more or less no. The point of the matter is, it has a reasonable solution and it's seeing a shortwave trof phasing with a cut-off low, which looks rather potent in almost all models. Tho, it looks like it will travel further north and east then forecasted by the models, just because they biased. Also, by the Mon. time period it looks like the jet will be in better configuration with a developing surface low, then the last type of these storm. For now I can only dream...
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12-25-2004, 11:30 AM
Post: #3
Where'd this come from?
Great pick up Keith234!!!! Woke up this morning to find this little tidbit:

...some wintry precipitation is possible sunday and monday...

low pressure over the gulf of mexico will move northeast to a
position off the north carolina coast sunday morning. an easterly
flow developing between the low and strong high pressure over quebec
will bring atlantic moisture into the area late tonight and sunday.
temperatures sunday morning will be cold enough for the precipitation
to begin as light snow. the light rain may mix in for a time during
the afternoon hours right along the coast...but this should be short
lived.

precipitation will be all snow sunday night as the intensifying
offshore low draws colder air down from the north. some light
accumulations are possible late sunday night into monday morning as a
strong upper level disturbance pushes through.

anyone planning to travel sunday into monday should keep abreast of
the latest national weather service forecasts. stay tuned to noaa
weather radio or local media outlets for further updates
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12-25-2004, 12:23 PM
Post: #4
Where'd this come from?
Seems like we won't get the snow directly from the GOM storm, but an easterly fetch will develop -much like the great lake region gets there snow. The WRF model, seems to be seeing a rather heavy band of snow forming, later Sunday to Sunday night. Right now the accumlations could range anywhere from 2-4 inches, probably the heaviest by the Boston region, where the easterly fetch will be the strongest. At first the snow should be showery in nature, but as time progresses the atmosphere will become instable, and late Sunday night we will see the "bulk" of the snow. You should keep an eye on it, especially because it will be occuring Sunday night.
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12-26-2004, 07:25 PM
Post: #5
Where'd this come from?
Jason234 Wrote:Well the new ETA runs' have that 'moisture starved' alberta clipper dumping up to 6 inches of snow across portions of mass. and Connecticut, Monday! The GFS doesn't see anything, maybe because it seems to be more mesoscale, then synoptic. Nonetheless, keep an eye on it...

While most of us were all praying for Holy Moly Rollie to get his white christmas, only Keith was watching the ETA for the East Coast...great call!!!

It's snowing like a mother outside my window right now!
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12-26-2004, 08:06 PM
Post: #6
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THANKS, it's really motivates me to do better. I'll be looking at the ETA much more often...das fo sure! (tm HF)
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12-26-2004, 10:06 PM
Post: #7
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Great call...enjoyed our chat...great, now I get to go back to work and shovel out of this tomorrow morning...
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12-29-2004, 07:23 PM
Post: #8
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ha - we got 6 inches!
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12-30-2004, 02:01 PM
Post: #9
Where'd this come from?
Great for you! You seemed like you needed it, didn't want you to cut your throat or something!
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01-04-2005, 06:10 PM
Post: #10
Where'd this come from?
now I want more! Tongue
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