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Winter weather statment Mobile AL
12-23-2004, 04:03 PM
Post: #1
Winter weather statment Mobile AL
Special Weather Statement
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
215 PM CST THU DEC 23 2004

ALZ052-053-055-056-059>064-FLZ001>006-MSZ075-076-078-079-240000-
BALDWIN COASTAL-BALDWIN INLAND-CLARKE-CONECUH-COVINGTON-ESCAMBIA-
ESCAMBIA COASTAL-ESCAMBIA INLAND-GEORGE-GREENE-MOBILE COASTAL-
MOBILE INLAND-MONROE-OKALOOSA COASTAL-OKALOOSA INLAND-PERRY-
SANTA ROSA COASTAL-SANTA ROSA INLAND-STONE-WASHINGTON-
215 PM CST THU DEC 23 2004

...A MIX OF WINTRY WEATHER IS POSSIBLE ACROSS THE AREA FRIDAY AND
FRIDAY NIGHT...

ARCTIC AIR WILL CONTINUE TO FLOW INTO THE AREA OVERNIGHT AND REMAIN
THROUGH MUCH OF THE WEEKEND. A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL MEANWHILE
MOVE ACROSS THE GULF AND BRING A CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION FOR THE
AREA. WITH THE COLD AIR IN PLACE...THE AREA CAN EXPECT A CHANCE OF
LIGHT RAIN MIXED WITH SLEET OR SNOW DURING FRIDAY MORNING...AND A
CHANCE FOR RAIN DURING MUCH OF THE AFTERNOON. AS THE TEMPERATURES
COOL FURTHER LATE IN THE DAY...A CHANCE FOR A MIX OF RAIN...SLEET AND
SNOW WILL RETURN BY SUNSET...WITH A CHANCE OF A MIX OF SLEET AND SNOW
FOR FRIDAY NIGHT. AT THIS TIME THE TRACK OF THE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM
APPEARS TO BE SUFFICIENTLY SOUTH OF THE AREA THAT PRECIPITATION
AMOUNTS WILL BE LIGHT AND NO SIGNIFICANT ACCUMULATION OF SLEET OR
SNOW IS EXPECTED.

$$

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12-23-2004, 04:54 PM
Post: #2
Winter weather statment Mobile AL
Good luck with the snow, Rollie!!! I'm pulling for ya!:ebd
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12-23-2004, 06:02 PM
Post: #3
Winter weather statment Mobile AL
fat lady is singing already

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12-23-2004, 06:58 PM
Post: #4
Winter weather statment Mobile AL
It's been soooooooo long since I even saw one flake here. Even if we dont see any its nice to hear we had a chance. Better to hear snow than hurricane.
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12-24-2004, 09:45 AM
Post: #5
Winter weather statment Mobile AL
Baldwin Coastal-baldwin Inland-mobile Coastal-mobile Inland-
709 Am Cst Fri Dec 24 2004

.now...
At 700 Am...national Weather Service Radar Indicated A Large
Area Of Precipitation Over The North Central Gulf Of Mexico. This
Precipitation Is Moving Toward The Northeast...and Could Move
Into The Coastal Counties Of Alabama Through 900 Am This Morning.
The Precipitation Has Already Moved Ashore Over Parts Of The
Western Florida Panhandle...and A Wintry Mix Of A Cold Rain And
Sleet Has Been Occurring Over Parts Of The Florida Panhandle
During The Past Hour Or So. As The Precipitation Moves Into
Coastal Alabama...a Similar Mix Of A Cold Rain And Sleet Can Be
Expected. At This Time...no Accumulations Of Frozen...or
Freezing Precipitation Is Expected. In Addition To The
Possible Wintry Mix Of Precipitation...brisk Northerly Winds And
Temperatures In The Mid 20s To Lower 30s Across The Region Will
Result In Wind Chill Values In The Teens This Morning.

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12-24-2004, 12:41 PM
Post: #6
Winter weather statment Mobile AL
Doppler is indicating precip along the coast, especially over Pensacola...however, that cold front has such dry air, I'm wondering if any of it is making it down to the surface. James, can you give us some updates?

And Merry Christmas eve!
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12-24-2004, 02:59 PM
Post: #7
Winter weather statment Mobile AL
1230 Pm...national Weather Service Radar Showed An Area Of
Precipitation Moving Northeast Into Coastal Sections Of
Alabama And The Western Florida Panhandle. Surface Reports Have
Confirmed The Occurrence Of Sleet And Snow On The Immediate Coast
...and A Wintry Mix Of Primarily Cold Rain And Sleet Is Possible Over
Coastal Alabama And The Western Florida Panhandle Through 230 Pm...
Especially Along And Close To The Coast. At This Time...no
Accumulations Of Frozen...or Freezing Precipitation Is Expected. In
Addition To The Wintry Mix Of Precipitation...brisk Northerly Winds
And Temperatures In The Lower 30s Will Result In Wind Chill Values
Around 20 This Afternoon.

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12-25-2004, 09:50 AM
Post: #8
Winter weather statment Mobile AL
Special Weather Statement
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
730 AM CST SAT DEC 25 2004

ALZ061>064-FLZ001>006-MSZ078-079-251745-
BALDWIN COASTAL-BALDWIN INLAND-ESCAMBIA COASTAL-ESCAMBIA INLAND-
GEORGE-MOBILE COASTAL-MOBILE INLAND-OKALOOSA COASTAL-OKALOOSA INLAND-
SANTA ROSA COASTAL-SANTA ROSA INLAND-STONE-
730 AM CST SAT DEC 25 2004

...A MIX OF WINTRY WEATHER IS POSSIBLE ACROSS PARTS OF THE AREA
TODAY...

A COLD DOME OF SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE OVER THE REGION
TODAY...AS SURFACE LOW PRESSURE MOVES EAST ACROSS THE CENTRAL GULF
OF MEXICO. ALSO...AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE OVER THE LOWER TEXAS
COAST EARLY THIS MORNING WILL MOVE EAST ALONG THE NORTHERN GULF
THROUGHOUT THE DAY. THESE WEATHER FEATURES WILL RESULT IN THE
LIKELIHOOD OF PRECIPITATION ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COASTAL AREAS OF
MISSISSIPPI...ALABAMA AND THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE TODAY AND
THIS EVENING. PRECIPITATION CHANCES WILL BE LOWER FOR INLAND
LOCATIONS AWAY FROM THE COAST.

WITH THE COLD AIR IN PLACE...COASTAL AREAS CAN EXPECT A CHANCE OF
LIGHT RAIN MIXED AT TIMES WITH SLEET OR SNOW DURING THE DAY
TODAY. AT THIS TIME...THE TRACK OF THE SURFACE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM
APPEARS TO BE SUFFICIENTLY SOUTH OF THE AREA SO THAT THE
HEAVIER PRECIPITATION SHOULD REMAIN OFFSHORE...JUST SOUTH OF THE
AREA. PRECIPITATION AMOUNTS OVER COASTAL AREAS SHOULD BE LIGHT...
AND NO SIGNIFICANT ACCUMULATION OF SLEET OR SNOW IS EXPECTED. AS
THE UPPER LOW APPROACHES LATE IN THE DAY...EXPECT BETTER
PRECIPITATION CHANCES THAN DURING THE MORNING HOURS...BUT
SLIGHTLY WARMER TEMPERATURES SHOULD MAKE IT PRIMARILY A COLD RAIN
EVENT.

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12-25-2004, 04:35 PM
Post: #9
Winter weather statment Mobile AL
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Mobile Al
255 Pm Cst Sat Dec 25 2004

.short Term...interesting Weather Day Across The Southeastern Us
Continues With Moderate To Heavy Sleet Falling At The Office Mixed With
Snow And A Few Areas Seeing A Brief White Christmas. Heavier Snow
Reports Coming In To Our West And Can Be Seen By The Radar Bright Band
In That Area. At Midday...surface Low Was Located Due South Of Mobile
And Moving To The East With A Classic Appearance On Afternoon Water
Vapor Imagery. This Trend Will Continue As The Main Upper Trough And Pv
Max Continue To Rotate Eastward. Precipitation Will End From West To
East And Be Clearing Eastern Areas After Midnight. Dynamical Cooling
And Cold Advection Behind The First Gulf Cyclogenesis Event Of The
Season Will Allow The Precip To Continue To Mix With Sleet And
Snow...changing Over To Mainly Snow Near The End Of The Event Over The
Eastern Part Of The Area As Soundings Indicate A Good Amount Of
Moisture In The Snow Growth Region(-12c To -18c) With A Temp Profile At
Or Below Zero...supporting Wet Snowflakes. However...precipitation Will
Be Out Of Our Western Zones Before Temps Get To Critical Thresholds.
Will Have To Watch Any Residual Wet Areas For Some Patchy Slick Areas
Late Tonight And Early Sunday Morning. A Winter Weather Advisory Will
Be Issued Along And East Of I65 Tonight To Cover Possible Slick Spots
And Any Minor Accumulations.

As The Upper Trough Moves East Tonight...cold Advection And Nva Combine To
Support Downward Vertical Motion And Clearing Skies. One More Night Of
Widespread Freezing Temps Tonight As Clouds Begin To Clear From West To
East Late And Have Tempered Temps Cooler West To Warmer East.

Sunday...a Longwave Ridge Builds Over The Rockies As A Deep Upper Level
Low Develops Off The West Coast And Drops Southward. This Places The
Region In A Northwesterly Upper Level Flow And Helps Build Surface High
Pressure Over The Ohio Valley. This Will Keep The Area In A Northerly
Surface Flow Through At Least Monday And As The High Moves Eastward To
A Position Off The Mid-atlantic Coast Winds Will Veer To Easterly And
Then Southeasterly Early In The Extended. A Warming Trend Will Also
Begin On Sunday As High Temps Will Be 20 Or More Degrees Greater Than
Those Seen Today As Thickness Values Steadily Increase Through
Monday...in Fact High Temperatures On Monday Will Approach 60 In A Few
Areas.

&&

.extended...longwave Ridge Continues To Push Eastward Through The
Extended And Surface High Pressure Shifts Further East...allowing Temps
To Moderate. Pleasant Weather Will Continue Until The End Of The Period
When A Slight Chance Of Rain Creeps Back Into The Forecast.

&&

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12-25-2004, 04:44 PM
Post: #10
Winter weather statment Mobile AL
Urgent - Winter Weather Message
National Weather Service Mobile Al
340 Pm Cst Sat Dec 25 2004

Alz056>064-flz001-003-005-msz078-079-260345-
Butler Al-conecuh Al-covington Al-crenshaw Al-escambia Al-george Ms-
Inland Escambia Fl-inland Okaloosa Fl-inland Santa Rosa Fl-
Lower Baldwin Al-lower Mobile Al-stone Ms-upper Baldwin Al-
Upper Mobile Al-
Including The Cities Of...andalusia...bay Minette...brewton...
Crestview...dauphin Island...downtown Mobile...evergreen...
Lucedale...luverne And Wiggins
340 Pm Cst Sat Dec 25 2004

...winter Weather Advisory In Effect Until 7 Am Cst Sunday...

The National Weather Service In Mobile Has Issued A Winter Weather
Advisory Tonight For Portions Of Southeast Mississippi...southwest
Alabama And Northwest Florida.

Counties In The Advised Area Are...in Southeast Mississippi...stone
And George Counties. In Southwest Alabama...mobile...baldwin...
Escambia...covington...conecuh...butler And Crenshaw Counties. In
Northwest Florida...interior Portions Of Escambia...santa Rosa...and
Okaloosa Counties.

An Upper Level Disturbance Tracking Across The North Central Gulf
Will Interact With A Surface Low Over The Central Gulf To Produce
Areas Of Rain Through Early Sunday Morning. With Cold Air In
Place...most Of The Area Can Expect The Rain To Be Mixed With Sleet
And Snow At Times. The Track Of The Upper Level Disturbance
Indicates The Heavier Precipitation Amounts Will Be Over The Coastal
Sections And Generally Along And East Of The I-65 Corridor.

Although No Significant Accumulation Of Sleet Or Snow Is
Expected...there Is The Possibility Of Some Light Accumulations
Across Elevated Surfaces...especially Bridges And Overpasses. The
Main Threat Will Be From Mid Evening Through Early Sunday Morning As
The Surface Temperatures Fall At Or Below Freezing. The Rain Is
Expected To Push East Of The Area By 4 Am Sunday Morning...but Any
Standing Water Or Wet Spots On Bridges And Overpasses Could Continue
To Cause Slippery Conditions Through Sunrise Sunday Morning.

Remember...a Winter Weather Advisory Is Issued When Snow...sleet And
Or Ice Is Forecast To Develop In The Affected Areas...but
Accumulations Will Be Generally Light. The Main Accumulation Threat
Will Be On Bridges And Overpasses. Motorists Should Be Especially
Careful Tonight As Slippery Spots Can Easily Develop And Make For
Hazardous Driving Conditions.

Stay Tuned To Noaa Weather Radio And Other Local Media For Further
Details Or Updates.

$$


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