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Snow for Mobile ?
12-15-2004, 10:24 AM
Post: #1
Snow for Mobile ?
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Mobile Al
320 Am Cst Wed Dec 15 2004

.short Term...freezing Temps Noted Area Wide This Morning From Mid
30s Well Inland To Around 30 Along The Coast. Will Continue The
Freeze Warnings Thru Mid Morning. Not Expecting A Hard Freeze Tonight
Although Many Inland Areas Will See Mid 20s Again...just Not For 5
Hours Or More. The Cold Dome Of High Pressure Responsible For The
Cold Temps Will Slip Eastward On Thursday. Although Return Moisture
Is Questionable...latest Gfs And Eta Are Bringing A Chance Of Rain To
The Area On Friday...then Pushing This System East Early Saturday.
Thickness Values Suggest A Few Flurries Might Be Possible Far Inland
Late Thursday Night-early Friday Morning With Cold Air Still In Place
As A Vigorous Upper Disturbance And Associated Moisture Push In From
The West-southwest. However...have Little Confidence In The Cold
Temps And There Would Be No Accumulation Will Just Keep
An Eye Out On This Potential For Now.


.extended...another Very Cold Dome Of High Pressure Will Begin To
Settle In Over The Region Over The Weekend. Looks Like Another Hard
Freeze Situation By Sunday Night As Latest Guidance Plummets Area
Lows Into The Teens Early Monday Morning. Cold/dry Conditions
Prevail Thru Tuesday...then Next Rain Chances Return By Wednesday
Next Week.


.marine...winds And Seas Warrant A Small Craft Advisory (sca) This
Morning...then Tapering Off This Afternoon As High Pressure Settles
Over The South. However...the Resulting Easterly Fetch Will Result
In Exercise Caution Conditions Offshore Tonight. Behind Friday's
Weather System...a Northwest Flow By Saturday Afternoon Will
Gradually Increase On Sunday And Could Push Winds To Gale Force By
Late Sunday Thru Monday Morning...mainly Offshore.


.fire...dry High Pressure Will Continue To Lower Daytime Rh Values
Below Critical Thresholds This Afternoon. Therefore A Red Flag
Warning Will Remain Posted For Today. Rh Values Rebound A Bit On
Thursday And Appears A Warning Will Not Be Necessary...however Will
Continue With Thursday's Fire Weather Watch And Let Day-shift Drop
It If Conditions Warrant.


.preliminary Temps / Pops...
Mobile 52 30 57 42 / 00 00 10 20
Pensacola 52 34 58 43 / 00 00 10 20
Destin 52 35 59 45 / 00 00 10 10
Evergreen 50 23 57 33 / 00 00 10 10
Waynesboro 51 23 59 35 / 00 00 10 20
Camden 50 25 55 32 / 00 00 10 10


.mob Watches/warnings/advisories...
Al...small Craft Advisory In Effect Today Gmz630-650-670.
Freeze Warning This Morning Alz063-064.
Hard Freeze Warning This Morning Alz051>062.
Fl...small Craft Advisory In Effect Today Gmz655-675.
Red Flag Warning This Afternoon Thru 6 Pm Flz001>006-008.
Fire Weather Watch 11 Am To 5 Pm Thursday Flz001>006-008.
Freeze Warning This Morning Flz002-004-006.
Hard Freeze Warning This Morning Flz001-003-005.
Ms...hard Freeze Warning This Morning Msz067-075-076-078-079.



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