Spring Hill, Florida Area
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09-22-2009, 10:37 AM
Post: #925
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Spring Hill, Florida Area
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FXUS62 KTBW 221314 CCA AFDTBW AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...CORRECTED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY RUSKIN FL 910 AM EDT TUE SEP 22 2009 CORRECTED FOR AVIATION DISCUSSION .UPDATE...DEEP MID-UL NORTHERLY FLOW SHOWS UP AGAIN ON THE 12Z TBW SOUNDING. TODAY THAT FLOW HAS EXTENDED FURTHER SOUTH AS DEPICTED IN THE 12Z MFL SOUNDING AND IS STARTING TO SHOW IN THE 1Z EYW SOUNDING. A MODERATE LL EASTERLY FLOW WILL ONCE AGAIN AFFECT THE SEA BREEZE FORMATION. EXPECTING ANOTHER BRIEF AND WEAK SEA BREEZE TO FORM AND SLOWLY DRIFT EASTWARD...STRUGGLING TO REACH I 75. WITH THE MID LEVEL NORTHERLY FLOW USHERING IN SOME DRIER AIR ACROSS THE REGION...THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY WILL ONCE AGAIN BE SCATTERED ALONG THE SEA BREEZE. WENT AHEAD AND DROPPED POPS IN LEVY COUNTY TO 30% AS THE NORTHERLY COMPONENT TO THE MID LEVEL FLOW EXTENDS FURTHER TO THE SURFACE NORTH OF TAMPA BAY. OTHERWISE...CURRENT FORECAST IS ON TRACK. && .AVIATION...VFR CONDITIONS THIS MORNING WILL GIVE WAY TO BRIEF MVFR CEILINGS AND VISIBILITIES FROM MID AFTERNOON (AFTER 20Z) THROUGH EARLY EVENING AS SCATTERED SHOWERS AND STORMS DEVELOP ALONG THE WEST COAST SEA BREEZE. OUTSIDE OF THE CONVECTION VFR CONDITIONS WILL BE THE RULE. THE SHOWERS AND STORMS WILL GRADUALLY WIND DOWN BY MID EVENING TONIGHT...WITH VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED AT ALL TERMINAL SITES OVERNIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY MORNING. SURFACE WINDS WILL BE FROM THE NORTHEAST AND EAST AT 5 TO 10 KNOTS BUT GUSTS UP TO 25 KNOTS WILL BE POSSIBLE IN THE VICINITY OF ANY THUNDERSTORM DURING THE AFTERNOON. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... TPA 92 75 91 75 / 50 20 40 20 FMY 91 76 92 75 / 50 20 40 20 GIF 93 74 92 75 / 40 20 40 20 SRQ 91 75 90 74 / 50 20 40 20 BKV 91 73 91 73 / 40 20 40 20 SPG 90 78 90 78 / 50 20 40 20 && .TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... FL...NONE. GULF WATERS...NONE. && $$ UPDATE...20/BARRON AVIATION...57/MCMICHAEL Twitter updates we will follow you back http://twitter.com/Hardcoreweather Now on Facebook We will like you back http://www.facebook.com/pages/Hardcorewe...466?v=wall |
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