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Central Florida - Printable Version +- Hardcore Weather (http://hardcoreweather.com) +-- Forum: Weather (/forum-4.html) +--- Forum: Local Weather (/forum-13.html) +--- Thread: Central Florida (/thread-974.html) |
Central Florida - ocala - 07-29-2009 03:46 PM Thanks Chessie. Great pics. Tap shut off up here again. 2 weeks with only about a quarter inch. There are storms around but they always go the other way. Central Florida - Alex - 07-29-2009 06:39 PM I totally missed the waterspout posts. Amazing photos, I'm trying to imagine how I would have reacted seeing that on my daily commute! I used to use the Courtney Love Campbell Causeway several times a week. Central Florida - ocala - 08-02-2009 07:15 AM 4.88 for the month of July. The first part was wet but since then been dry. There have been huge storm close by but they always die off on there way here. Some of the lawns around me are actually turning brown. Central Florida - virgo10 - 08-02-2009 07:41 AM ocala Wrote:4.88 for the month of July. Placement is everything. Everything is green here, well watered and I've got the mosquitoes to prove it. :frown: Central Florida - ocala - 08-16-2009 04:24 PM I can't believe the peninsula isn't lightning up like a Xmas tree. All that tropical gulf moisture and hardly any rain at all. Kind of strange. Central Florida - liftofflady - 08-24-2009 09:58 AM These waves were what we got from Bill on the 21st and 22nd of August. The surfers loved it! Central Florida - virgo10 - 08-24-2009 10:09 AM Great photos!! Central Florida - The Bug - 08-24-2009 02:42 PM ... STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT SOUTHEASTERN HIGHLANDS COUNTY... NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATES THUNDERSTORMS... MOVING NORTH AT 15 MPH... WILL AFFECT THE MENTIONED AREA INCLUDING VENUS... BRIGHTON AND ARCHBOLD ... UNTIL 415 PM EDT. GUSTY WINDS UP TO 40 MPH WILL OCCUR. FREQUENT LIGHTNING IS EXPECTED. TO BE SAFE GO INDOORS IMMEDIATELY! IF CAUGHT OUTSIDE... FIND A LOW SPOT... AND STAY AWAY FROM TALL OBJECTS. TORRENTIAL RAINS WILL REDUCE VISIBILITY TO NEAR ZERO AND WILL CAUSE PONDING OF WATER ON ROADWAYS. Central Florida - ROLLTIDE - 09-16-2009 04:03 AM 000 FXUS62 KTBW 160653 AFDTBW AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY RUSKIN FL 253 AM EDT WED SEP 16 2009 .SYNOPSIS...AN UPPER LOW IS SPINNING ALONG THE WESTERN AR/LA LINE WHILE RIDGING EXTENDS FROM THE YUCATAN EAST OVER CUBA TO THE BAHAMAS. AT THE SURFACE...A LOW ALONG THE LA/MS BORDER TRAILS A COLD FRONT SOUTH OVER THE GULF AND HAS A WARM FRONT REACHING EASTWARD ALONG THE GULF COAST. HIGH PRESSURE OFF THE MID-ATLANTIC COAST IS WEAKLY RIDGING TOWARD FL. A LOW PRESSURE TROUGH IS OVER AND NE OF THE BAHAMAS. && .SHORT TERM (TODAY - FRIDAY)...THE UPPER LOW WILL WANDER OVER THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI RIVER VALLEY...MAINTAINING WEST AND SW FLOW ALOFT THE AREA...AND THEN BEGIN TO WEAKEN FRI. THE SURFACE LOW AND ASSOCIATED FRONTS REMAIN NEARLY IN PLACE OVER THE CENTRAL GULF COAST. THE HIGH OFF THE MID-ATLANTIC COAST WILL BEGIN TO RIDGE IN ACROSS THE STATE THU...AS THE BAHAMA TROUGH EXITS NE...AND CONTINUE FRI. THE ATMOSPHERE WILL BEGIN TO DRY SOME AS THE UPPER LOW WEAKENS AND THE SURFACE RIDGE BUILDS IN. HOWEVER THIS WILL BE SLIGHT AS PWAT VALUES OF 2.0-2.5 TODAY GO TO 1.8-2.1 BY FRI. LIGHT SOUTHERLY LOW LEVEL FLOW WILL BACK TO SOUTHEASTERLY THU AND FRI AS THE AREA COMES UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF THE SURFACE RIDGE WITH A TIGHTENING GRADIENT. WIND SPEEDS PICK UP SOME BUT WILL STAY LIGHT ENOUGH FOR AFTERNOON SEA BREEZES. THE MOISTURE AND SEA BREEZES BOUNDARIES WILL RESULT IN SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THAT BEGIN IN THE AFTERNOONS AND LINGER INTO THE EARLY EVENINGS. TEMPERATURES WILL RUN NEAR OR A COUPLE OF DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL. .LONG TERM (FRIDAY NIGHT-TUESDAY)...OVERALL FORECAST FOR THE LONG TERM PERIOD REMAINS UNCHANGED. MID/UPPER LEVEL CUTOFF LOW OVER THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY WILL GRADUALLY WEAKEN AND LIFT NORTHWARD BECOMING ABSORBED INTO A DEVELOPING TROUGH OVER THE CENTRAL U.S EARLY NEXT WEEK. THIS WILL ALLOW RIDGING TO BUILD IN FROM THE EAST ACROSS FLORIDA DURING THE PERIOD WHILE A SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS DOWN THE U.S. EAST COAST HELPING TO SETUP A GENERAL EAST TO SOUTHEAST FLOW ACROSS THE REGION. PLENTY OF MOISTURE WILL REMAIN AND THIS WILL COMBINE WITH THE SEA BREEZES AND DAYTIME HEATING TO CAUSE SCATTERED MAINLY AFTERNOON AND EVENING SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EACH DAY. TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN NEAR NORMAL WITH DAYTIME HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S TO AROUND 90 AND OVERNIGHT LOWS MAINLY IN THE LOWER TO MID 70S. && .AVIATION...SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL CAUSE SOME MVFR/LOCAL IFR CONDITIONS TODAY...OTHERWISE VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL. && .MARINE...LIGHT SOUTHERLY WINDS PICK UP SOME AND BECOME SOUTHEASTERLY THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK...AND THEN SE TO EAST FOR THE WEEKEND. SPEEDS WILL BE 10 KT OR LESS WITH SEAS FOR THE MOST PART BELOW 3 FT. THE MAIN MARINE CONCERN WILL BE PERIODS OF SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS. && .FIRE WEATHER...HIGH RH ALONG WITH LOW D.I. VALUES...DUE TO LIGHT WINDS...WILL CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT FEW DAYS. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... TPA 90 76 90 76 / 50 30 40 30 FMY 91 75 91 76 / 50 30 40 30 GIF 91 75 91 75 / 50 20 40 30 SRQ 88 74 90 75 / 50 30 40 30 BKV 90 71 90 72 / 50 30 40 30 SPG 89 79 90 79 / 50 30 40 30 && .TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... FL...NONE. GULF WATERS...NONE. && $$ SHORT TERM/MARINE/FIRE WEATHER...09/RUDE LONG TERM/AVIATION...69/CLOSE Central Florida - ROLLTIDE - 09-17-2009 09:21 AM XUS62 KTBW 171250 AFDTBW AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY RUSKIN FL 850 AM EDT THU SEP 17 2009 .DISCUSSION...SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE GULF WATERS SHOULD REMAIN MAINLY OFFSHORE UNTIL WEAKENING LATER THIS MORNING. CONVECTIVE DEBRIS WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE NORTHEAST ACROSS THE REGION...WHICH SHOULD HELP TO DELAY HEATING A BIT. AFTER THE STORMS DISSIPATE LATER THIS MORNING...INCREASING SUNSHINE WILL RESULT IN MORE RAPID HEATING WITH SHOWERS AND STORMS DEVELOPING OVER LAND DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS. STORM MOTION TODAY SHOULD BE SLOWLY NORTHWARD...WHICH MEANS SOME LOCATIONS WILL SEE MORE FREQUENT SHOWERS AS THEY SET UP IN NORTH-SOUTH ORIENTED LINES ALONG THE SEA BREEZE. THE 12Z TBW SOUNDING SHOWS LOTS OF MOISTURE AVAILABLE FOR SHOWERS TODAY...BUT NO SUPPORT FOR SEVERE STORMS. THE PRIMARY THREATS WILL CONTINUE TO BE LIGHTNING AND LOCALIZED STREET FLOODING. THE GRIDDED FORECAST HAS BEEN UPDATED TO REFLECT CURRENT RADAR TRENDS. THE TEXT FORECASTS ARE STILL IN GOOD SHAPE SO NO ZONE UPDATES ARE REQUIRED AT THIS TIME. && .AVIATION...A RIDGE OF UPPER LEVEL HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO DOMINATE THE WEATHER TODAY. THIS WILL BRING VFR CONDITIONS WITH EXPECTED CB DEVELOPMENT BY 15Z AND THEN SCATTERED TSRA AFTER 17Z. THIS WILL BE HANDLED BY VCTS GIVEN UNCERTAINTY REGARDING FINAL COVERAGE AND LOCATION OF STORMS. TS WILL END AFTER 00Z WITH LINGERING SHOWERS UNTIL 04Z...THEN CLEARING. WINDS ARE EXPECTED LIGHT AND VARIABLE THROUGH THE TAF PERIOD...WITH LOCAL SEABREEZES ANTICIPATED TODAY. && .MARINE...SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUE OFFSHORE...MAINLY ABOUT 20 MILES OFFSHORE. EXPECT THESE TO WEAKEN THROUGH THE MORNING WITH SIGNIFICANT IMPROVEMENT BY EARLY AFTERNOON. THE NEXT BATCH OF STORMS WILL LIKELY BE FROM THE SEA BREEZE ACTIVITY OVER LAND THIS EVENING PUSHING BACK OVER THE GULF WATERS AFTER SUNSET. NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGES PLANNED TO THE ONGOING FORECAST. && .TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... FL...NONE. GULF WATERS...NONE. && $$ UPDATE/MARINE...JILLSON AVIATION...JOHNSON |