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Gulf OF Mexico next week - Printable Version

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Gulf OF Mexico next week - ROLLTIDE - 09-22-2015 11:42 AM

Who wants to jink next weeks system in the GOM ?


RE: Gulf OF Mexico next week - Kelly_Jernigan - 09-22-2015 01:26 PM

(09-22-2015 11:42 AM)ROLLTIDE Wrote:  Who wants to jink next weeks system in the GOM ?

I don't, I got the other one sheered apart!!!


RE: Gulf OF Mexico next week - Alex - 09-23-2015 08:27 AM

I thought the other one moved into Mexico.
Same difference... Tongue


RE: Gulf OF Mexico next week - ROLLTIDE - 09-23-2015 09:14 AM

...
Quote: NEXT WEEK: Partly sunny days; widely scattered showers, and highs in the
low 80s are likely on most days. We will have to watch the Gulf of
Mexico; all global models continue to suggest a tropical low will form
there. Most of them do not bring it northward to the Central Gulf Coast,
but it is way too early to know if this will be a significant system,
or the ultimate destination. See the Weather Xtreme video for maps,
graphics, and more details.



RE: Gulf OF Mexico next week - ROLLTIDE - 09-24-2015 03:57 AM

2AM

Quote: 1. Disorganized showers and thunderstorms over the far western
Caribbean Sea and Central America are associated with a trough of
low pressure. Development of this system is not expected during
the next several days due to interaction with land and unfavorable
upper-level winds. The disturbance is forecast to reach the
southern Gulf of Mexico by late this weekend, and even though
upper-level winds are not expected to be particularly favorable,
some development is possible early next week while the system moves
northward over the central Gulf of Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent



RE: Gulf OF Mexico next week - ROLLTIDE - 09-24-2015 06:07 AM

...


RE: Gulf OF Mexico next week - ROLLTIDE - 09-24-2015 10:14 AM

......


RE: Gulf OF Mexico next week - Alex - 09-24-2015 11:27 AM

Looking at the model's on Levi's site, a 1004 mb low shows up over the GOM on Monday...

[Image: gfs_mslp_pcpn_frzn_us_17.png]


RE: Gulf OF Mexico next week - ROLLTIDE - 09-25-2015 11:48 AM

James Spann

Quote: NEXT WEEK: Confidence is high some type of tropical low will move
northward out of the Gulf of Mexico, but no way of resolving details
since the various global models are all over the road with the placement
of the system. We will forecast a higher rain coverage Monday afternoon
through Tuesday, followed by a trend toward drier weather Wednesday. It
is doubtful this becomes a tropical storm, but remember open tropical
waves can bring some big rain amounts. See the Weather Xtreme video for
maps, graphics, and more details



RE: Gulf OF Mexico next week - ROLLTIDE - 09-26-2015 12:49 PM

..

Quote: 1. Visible satellite images and surface observations indicate that a
low pressure area has formed over the southeastern portion of the
Yucatan Peninsula. This low is producing disorganized showers and
thunderstorms and gusty winds over portions of the northwestern
Caribbean Sea and the Yucatan Peninsula. This system is expected to
reach the southern Gulf of Mexico on Sunday and should continue to
move northward thereafter while it interacts with an upper-level low
near the Texas coast. During this interaction, there is some
potential for the system to become a tropical cyclone. Regardless
of tropical cyclone formation, this disturbance is likely to produce
locally heavy rainfall over portions of the northern Gulf coast and
southeastern United States early next week. An Air Force Reserve
reconnaissance aircraft is scheduled to investigate this system on
Sunday, if necessary.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent