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Midwest/East Coast Snow Next Week - Printable Version

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Midwest/East Coast Snow Next Week - LI Phil - 11-26-2004 06:39 PM

Looks like Old Man Winter will be making a "for real" appearance in the eastern half of the nation next week. Measurable snow for the midwest all the way up the eastern seaboard...probably a Wednesday-Friday event. Some of the models are hinting at a monster low parking off the Coast of New Jersey and bombing out...depending on how cold it gets, it could spell MAJOR snow...I'm not buying into it just yet...but the potential is there. Regardless, precipitable amounts will be quite high...the lakes are also at the right temp for some serious lake effect snows...Give it another 72 hours to start verifying and before I'll make any calls, but this will be one to watch. We now return you to your regularly scheduled winter weather updates...

Midwest/East Coast Snow Next Week - Jason234 - 11-26-2004 08:51 PM

I hear you loud and clear...December 5th, I know! LOL

Midwest/East Coast Snow Next Week - Jason234 - 11-26-2004 10:19 PM

With the two systems phasing instead of seperating, implactions will be all over the place, in the weather and the forecast. For one, timing, type of precipatation, and amount. The amount of Theta or advected air, will have decreased significantly, with the northerly track. Also, we could very well except snow, with the thickness boundary for snow right above in the Long Island Sound area. If it were to snow, then it would be a lot, with the percipatable water very high (for this time of year). Good call....

Midwest/East Coast Snow Next Week - LI Phil - 11-27-2004 02:31 PM

It is still too far off to make a decent call, but I'm leaning towards this being an all-rain event for the EC. Lakes, Penna,western NY...probably a wet snow event...could be close to a foot or more in some of the snowbelt areas. That's a little down the road.

Tonight (late) and tomorrow is going to be a nasty-*** day for the I-95 corridor, and the southern states are already feeling the punch. But's that's for another forum...Better get the holiday decorations up today, because tomorrow will be for watching pro football.

Midwest/East Coast Snow Next Week - Jason234 - 11-27-2004 03:28 PM

The weird thing about snow, is that when you don't want it comes and when you do, it doesn't come. Got a couple of Alberta clippers coming in...don't underestimate the power of those ridges that follow...

Midwest/East Coast Snow Next Week - Jason234 - 11-28-2004 03:26 PM

The models are still having trouble phasing the northern branch with the southern, but we can see that the southern is being sheared, showing that they are aware of the possibilites per se. RIGHT NOW it seems like a rain-event with the thickness criteria, temp. inland. Also the theta-advection is showing 20 to 30 kts from the south, that should keep it rain also but unfortantely much to early to tell, with the track of the storm rather uncertain. We could see some snow though Friday afternoon Friday night, with a alberta clipper rotating around the prominent trof , and another possible snow event on monday evening as that is when the next UL trof approaches. BTW, this is all for Long Island...