Hardcore Weather

Thanks Chessie.
Great pics.
Tap shut off up here again.
2 weeks with only about a quarter inch.
There are storms around but they always go the other way.

I totally missed the waterspout posts. Amazing photos, I'm trying to imagine how I would have reacted seeing that on my daily commute! I used to use the Courtney Love Campbell Causeway several times a week.

4.88 for the month of July.
The first part was wet but since then been dry.
There have been huge storm close by but they always die off on there way here.
Some of the lawns around me are actually turning brown.

ocala Wrote:4.88 for the month of July.
The first part was wet but since then been dry.
There have been huge storm close by but they always die off on there way here.
Some of the lawns around me are actually turning brown.

Placement is everything. Everything is green here, well watered and I've got the mosquitoes to prove it. :frown:

I can't believe the peninsula isn't lightning up like a Xmas tree. All that tropical gulf moisture and hardly any rain at all.
Kind of strange.

These waves were what we got from Bill on the 21st and 22nd of August. The surfers loved it!

Great photos!!

... STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT SOUTHEASTERN HIGHLANDS COUNTY...

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATES THUNDERSTORMS... MOVING NORTH AT 15 MPH... WILL AFFECT THE MENTIONED AREA INCLUDING VENUS... BRIGHTON AND ARCHBOLD

... UNTIL 415 PM EDT.

GUSTY WINDS UP TO 40 MPH WILL OCCUR. FREQUENT LIGHTNING IS EXPECTED. TO BE SAFE GO INDOORS IMMEDIATELY! IF CAUGHT OUTSIDE... FIND A LOW SPOT... AND STAY AWAY FROM TALL OBJECTS.

TORRENTIAL RAINS WILL REDUCE VISIBILITY TO NEAR ZERO AND WILL CAUSE PONDING OF WATER ON ROADWAYS.

000
FXUS62 KTBW 160653
AFDTBW

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY RUSKIN FL
253 AM EDT WED SEP 16 2009

.SYNOPSIS...AN UPPER LOW IS SPINNING ALONG THE WESTERN AR/LA LINE
WHILE RIDGING EXTENDS FROM THE YUCATAN EAST OVER CUBA TO THE
BAHAMAS. AT THE SURFACE...A LOW ALONG THE LA/MS BORDER TRAILS A
COLD FRONT SOUTH OVER THE GULF AND HAS A WARM FRONT REACHING
EASTWARD ALONG THE GULF COAST. HIGH PRESSURE OFF THE MID-ATLANTIC
COAST IS WEAKLY RIDGING TOWARD FL. A LOW PRESSURE TROUGH IS OVER
AND NE OF THE BAHAMAS.

&&

.SHORT TERM (TODAY - FRIDAY)...THE UPPER LOW WILL WANDER OVER THE
LOWER MISSISSIPPI RIVER VALLEY...MAINTAINING WEST AND SW FLOW ALOFT
THE AREA...AND THEN BEGIN TO WEAKEN FRI. THE SURFACE LOW AND
ASSOCIATED FRONTS REMAIN NEARLY IN PLACE OVER THE CENTRAL GULF
COAST. THE HIGH OFF THE MID-ATLANTIC COAST WILL BEGIN TO RIDGE IN
ACROSS THE STATE THU...AS THE BAHAMA TROUGH EXITS NE...AND CONTINUE
FRI.

THE ATMOSPHERE WILL BEGIN TO DRY SOME AS THE UPPER LOW WEAKENS AND
THE SURFACE RIDGE BUILDS IN. HOWEVER THIS WILL BE SLIGHT AS PWAT
VALUES OF 2.0-2.5 TODAY GO TO 1.8-2.1 BY FRI. LIGHT SOUTHERLY LOW
LEVEL FLOW WILL BACK TO SOUTHEASTERLY THU AND FRI AS THE AREA
COMES UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF THE SURFACE RIDGE WITH A TIGHTENING
GRADIENT. WIND SPEEDS PICK UP SOME BUT WILL STAY LIGHT ENOUGH FOR
AFTERNOON SEA BREEZES. THE MOISTURE AND SEA BREEZES BOUNDARIES
WILL RESULT IN SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THAT BEGIN IN
THE AFTERNOONS AND LINGER INTO THE EARLY EVENINGS. TEMPERATURES
WILL RUN NEAR OR A COUPLE OF DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL.

.LONG TERM (FRIDAY NIGHT-TUESDAY)...OVERALL FORECAST FOR THE LONG
TERM PERIOD REMAINS UNCHANGED. MID/UPPER LEVEL CUTOFF LOW OVER THE
LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY WILL GRADUALLY WEAKEN AND LIFT NORTHWARD
BECOMING ABSORBED INTO A DEVELOPING TROUGH OVER THE CENTRAL U.S
EARLY NEXT WEEK. THIS WILL ALLOW RIDGING TO BUILD IN FROM THE EAST
ACROSS FLORIDA DURING THE PERIOD WHILE A SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE
BUILDS DOWN THE U.S. EAST COAST HELPING TO SETUP A GENERAL EAST TO
SOUTHEAST FLOW ACROSS THE REGION. PLENTY OF MOISTURE WILL REMAIN AND
THIS WILL COMBINE WITH THE SEA BREEZES AND DAYTIME HEATING TO CAUSE
SCATTERED MAINLY AFTERNOON AND EVENING SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
EACH DAY. TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN NEAR NORMAL WITH DAYTIME HIGHS IN
THE UPPER 80S TO AROUND 90 AND OVERNIGHT LOWS MAINLY IN THE LOWER TO
MID 70S.

&&

.AVIATION...SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL CAUSE SOME
MVFR/LOCAL IFR CONDITIONS TODAY...OTHERWISE VFR CONDITIONS WILL
PREVAIL.

&&

.MARINE...LIGHT SOUTHERLY WINDS PICK UP SOME AND BECOME SOUTHEASTERLY
THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK...AND THEN SE TO EAST FOR THE WEEKEND.
SPEEDS WILL BE 10 KT OR LESS WITH SEAS FOR THE MOST PART BELOW 3
FT. THE MAIN MARINE CONCERN WILL BE PERIODS OF SCATTERED
THUNDERSTORMS.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...HIGH RH ALONG WITH LOW D.I. VALUES...DUE TO LIGHT
WINDS...WILL CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT FEW DAYS.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TPA 90 76 90 76 / 50 30 40 30
FMY 91 75 91 76 / 50 30 40 30
GIF 91 75 91 75 / 50 20 40 30
SRQ 88 74 90 75 / 50 30 40 30
BKV 90 71 90 72 / 50 30 40 30
SPG 89 79 90 79 / 50 30 40 30

&&

.TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...NONE.
GULF WATERS...NONE.

&&

$$

SHORT TERM/MARINE/FIRE WEATHER...09/RUDE
LONG TERM/AVIATION...69/CLOSE

XUS62 KTBW 171250
AFDTBW

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY RUSKIN FL
850 AM EDT THU SEP 17 2009

.DISCUSSION...SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE GULF WATERS SHOULD
REMAIN MAINLY OFFSHORE UNTIL WEAKENING LATER THIS MORNING.
CONVECTIVE DEBRIS WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE NORTHEAST ACROSS THE
REGION...WHICH SHOULD HELP TO DELAY HEATING A BIT. AFTER THE
STORMS DISSIPATE LATER THIS MORNING...INCREASING SUNSHINE WILL
RESULT IN MORE RAPID HEATING WITH SHOWERS AND STORMS DEVELOPING
OVER LAND DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS. STORM MOTION TODAY SHOULD
BE SLOWLY NORTHWARD...WHICH MEANS SOME LOCATIONS WILL SEE MORE
FREQUENT SHOWERS AS THEY SET UP IN NORTH-SOUTH ORIENTED LINES
ALONG THE SEA BREEZE. THE 12Z TBW SOUNDING SHOWS LOTS OF MOISTURE
AVAILABLE FOR SHOWERS TODAY...BUT NO SUPPORT FOR SEVERE STORMS.
THE PRIMARY THREATS WILL CONTINUE TO BE LIGHTNING AND LOCALIZED
STREET FLOODING.

THE GRIDDED FORECAST HAS BEEN UPDATED TO REFLECT CURRENT RADAR
TRENDS. THE TEXT FORECASTS ARE STILL IN GOOD SHAPE SO NO ZONE
UPDATES ARE REQUIRED AT THIS TIME.

&&

.AVIATION...A RIDGE OF UPPER LEVEL HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO
DOMINATE THE WEATHER TODAY. THIS WILL BRING VFR CONDITIONS WITH
EXPECTED CB DEVELOPMENT BY 15Z AND THEN SCATTERED TSRA AFTER 17Z.
THIS WILL BE HANDLED BY VCTS GIVEN UNCERTAINTY REGARDING FINAL
COVERAGE AND LOCATION OF STORMS. TS WILL END AFTER 00Z WITH
LINGERING SHOWERS UNTIL 04Z...THEN CLEARING. WINDS ARE EXPECTED
LIGHT AND VARIABLE THROUGH THE TAF PERIOD...WITH LOCAL SEABREEZES
ANTICIPATED TODAY.

&&

.MARINE...SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUE OFFSHORE...MAINLY ABOUT
20 MILES OFFSHORE. EXPECT THESE TO WEAKEN THROUGH THE MORNING WITH
SIGNIFICANT IMPROVEMENT BY EARLY AFTERNOON. THE NEXT BATCH OF
STORMS WILL LIKELY BE FROM THE SEA BREEZE ACTIVITY OVER LAND THIS
EVENING PUSHING BACK OVER THE GULF WATERS AFTER SUNSET. NO
SIGNIFICANT CHANGES PLANNED TO THE ONGOING FORECAST.

&&

.TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...NONE.
GULF WATERS...NONE.

&&

$$

UPDATE/MARINE...JILLSON
AVIATION...JOHNSON