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Amtrak and CSX have cancelled trains Begining today. A little early to me. CSX has to secure crossing gates in big blows. I still think they are jumping the gun by a day, maybe two.
that does sound a little early but,.... what do I know.
Polk and Highlands schools are closed monday seeing as how they may be used as shelters
From the NWS, forecast for Lakeland, Florida, Monday Oct 24....

Monday: Periods of showers, mainly before 11am. High around 71. Windy, with a north northwest wind 46 to 49 mph decreasing to between 38 and 41 mph. Winds could gust as high as 69 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%. New rainfall amounts between one and two inches possible.

Gusts to 69 mph, windy? Now lets not overreact....breezy maybe.....
my area will be the same then im just to your west over here in plant city. Nah thats just a nice breeze to us hell we get those winds in a summer thunderstorm.
Inland Hurricane Warning
(Expires: Monday October 24 12:00AM EDT)

levy-citrus-sumter-hernando-pasco-pinellas-hillsborough-polk-
manatee-
including the cities of...cedar key...chiefland...crystal river...
inverness...bushnell...the villages...brooksville...spring hill...
new port richey...zephyrhills...clearwater...st. petersburg...
brandon...tampa...lakeland...winter haven...bradenton
1144 am edt sun oct 23 2005

...inland tropical storm warning now in effect from 8 pm this
evening to 2 pm edt monday...

the inland tropical storm warning is now in effect from 8 pm this
evening to 2 pm edt monday.

winds will increase gradually this evening across southwest and
west central florida...then increase rapidly to tropical storm force
between 3 am and 7 am monday morning. based on the current
forecast track...the strongest winds will occur from 8 to 11 am
in most areas...except perhaps a bit later in eastern polk county.
the best chances for high end tropical storm force gusts...60 to
70 mph...will be near the coastlines of manatee...pinellas...and
hillsborough counties.

winds and gusts will diminish in all areas by noon. however...gusts
to near tropical storm force are possible...especially near the
water...due to a strong cold front which will follow immediately
after wilma races into the atlantic.

specific impacts follow:

for the tampa bay metropolitan area...including hernando and pasco
counties...as well as polk county:

minor damage will occur to many mobile homes. poorly constructed
homes may receive some wall damage and partial roof removal. a few
houses may have minor damage to roof shingles and siding. a few
pool cages and lanai screens will be damaged. unsecured
lightweight items may become projectiles...causing additional
damage. some electrical wires will be blown down...and local power
outages are likely.

most newly planted trees and shrubs will be damaged or uprooted.
some rotting small trees will be uprooted...and rotten large
branches will snap. numerous small twigs will separate from trees.
a few palm fronds will be blown down.

for citrus and levy counties:

minor damage may occur in older mobile home parks. newly planted
trees and shrubs may be uprooted if not secured properly. some
small twigs will separate from trees. high profile and lightweight
vehicles may be blown around...especially near the water and in
open areas prone to gusty winds.

residents should move unfastened items...such as garbage cans and
deck furniture...indoors.


Hurricane Warning
(Expires: Sunday October 23 2:30PM EDT)

hurricane wilma local statement
national weather service tampa bay area - ruskin fl
1100 am edt sun oct 23 2005

...cor to add sumter county in the inland tropical storm warning
text...

...the center of hurricane wilma is over the southeast gulf of mexico
and will move towards the southern florida peninsula today and
tonight...

...areas affected...
this statement is for all residents of west central and southwest
florida

...watches and warnings...
a hurricane warning is in effect for the coastline and tidal
shorelines of lee...charlotte...desoto...and sarasota counties.

a tropical storm warning is in effect for the coastline and tidal
shorelines of manatee...pinellas...hillsborough...pasco...hernando
citrus and levy counties.

an inland hurricane warning is in effect for non coastal or non tidal
locations of lee...charlotte...desoto...hardee...highlands and
sarasota counties.

an inland tropical storm warning is in effect for non coastal or
non tidal locations of manatee...pinellas...hillsborough...polk...
pasco...hernando...citrus...sumter and levy counties.

flash flood watch is in effect through monday afternoon.

...storm information...
at 11 am edt...the center of hurricane wilma was located near
latitude 22.7 north...longitude 85.8 west or about 415 miles
southwest of tampa and 365 miles southwest of fort myers. wilma
was moving to the northeast at 8 mph...and a gradual increase in
forward speed is expected today.

...wind impacts...
no wind effects are expected through the afternoon. winds will
rapidly increase to tropical storm or just above hurricane force
across the coastal waters tonight...spreading toward the coastline
late tonight. tropical storm and hurricane force winds will affect
much of the area during the day on monday...then diminish to a gusty
northerly breeze monday night after a cold front sweeps across the
peninsula.

...surge impacts...
tides are running 1 to 2 feet above normal at gaging points south
of tampa bay this morning. tidal departures will vary greatly by
late tonight and monday...highly dependent on the track of the center
of wilma. based on the current track the greatest threat of storm
surge is south of lee county. lee and perhaps charlotte county will
likely experience overwash and some tidal flooding early monday as
wilma approaches. north of charlotte county...northerly winds will
create an outgoing tide which may expose sandbars and other features
especially across inlets...bays...and harbors.

...flood impacts...
scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms will develop this
afternoon ahead of hurricane wilma which may produce locally heavy
rain across west central and southwest florida. brief ponding of
water on roadways and perhaps minor flooding of low lying areas is
possible. the threat of flooding will increase tonight and
continue monday as bands of heavy rain from hurricane wilma move over
the area. rainfall will generally be from 1 to 3 inches...but 3 to 5
inches is possible mainly across charlotte...lee...and highlands
counties.

area rivers remain well below flood stage. heavy rain may
produce minor flooding on the manatee river late monday...and on the
peace and little manatee rivers by midweek. however...no
significant river flooding is expected.

...marine impacts...
wilma is expected to combine with a strong cold front from the west
which will bring tropical storm force winds...35 to 60 knots...
tonight through monday over all coastal waters. the threat for
hurricane force wind gusts...above 64 knots...is greatest south of
tampa bay...with hurricane force sustained winds possible over the
waters south of longboat key.

small craft should return to port this afternoon and remain in port
through monday night.

...tornado impacts...
the threat of tornadoes is not expected from tampa bay northward.
there is a slight chance of tornadoes over charlotte and lee
counties this afternoon...with a slight chance of tornadoes south of
tampa tonight and monday. the greatest threat will be over southwest
florida where the atmosphere will be the most unstable in
the deeper tropical air.

...next statement...
the next hurricane local statement for hurricane wilma will be issued
from the national weather service office in ruskin around 2 pm
today.
Spc Ww 231941
Urgent - Immediate Broadcast Requested
Tornado Watch Number 836
Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok
340 Pm Edt Sun Oct 23 2005

The Nws Storm Prediction Center Has Issued A
Tornado Watch For Portions Of

Southern And Central Florida
Coastal Waters

Effective This Sunday Afternoon And Monday Morning From 340 Pm
Until 100 Am Edt.

Tornadoes...hail To 0.5 Inch In Diameter...thunderstorm Wind Gusts
To 70 Mph...and Dangerous Lightning Are Possible In These Areas.

The Tornado Watch Area Is Approximately Along And 145 Statute
Miles Either Side Of A Line From 45 Miles Southeast Of Avon Park
Florida To 55 Miles West Southwest Of Fort Meyers Florida. For A
Complete Depiction Of The Watch See The Associated Watch Outline
Update (wous64 Kwns Wou6).

Remember...a Tornado Watch Means Conditions Are Favorable For
Tornadoes And Severe Thunderstorms In And Close To The Watch Area.
Persons In These Areas Should Be On The Lookout For Threatening
Weather Conditions And Listen For Later Statements And Possible
Warnings.

Discussion...threat Appears To Be Increasing Attm For Minisupercells
With Tornadoes As Outermost Confluence Bands Associated With Hrcn
Wilma Approach Eyw. Threat May Also Increase This Evening For Low
Level Rotation In Isolated Storms Now Forming In Heated Environment
Over Srn Parts Of The Fl Peninsula...where Low Level Shear Likely
Will Substantially Increase.

An Additional Watch Likely Will Be Required Later This Evening To
Cover E Cntrl Fl...and To Extend Watch Coverage Into Later Monday
Morning Across S Fl.

Aviation...tornadoes And A Few Severe Thunderstorms With Hail
Surface And Aloft To 0.5 Inch. Extreme Turbulence And Surface Wind
Gusts To 60 Knots. A Few Cumulonimbi With Maximum Tops To 450.
Mean Storm Motion Vector 18045.


...corfidi
Hurricane Warning
(Expires: Sunday October 23 8:30PM EDT)

hurricane local statement
national weather service tampa bay area - ruskin fl
515 pm edt sun oct 23 2005

...hurricane wilma gradually accelerating toward extreme southwest
florida and on track for a morning landfall...

...new information...
the tornado threat will continue to increase from the tampa bay area southward this evening as increasing low and mid level rotationcombines with the approach of feeder bands. a tornado watch is ineffect for all of west central florida from citrus county southward until 1 am. the greatest threat will be after 6 pm in most areas...especially from the tampa bay metro area to lakeland and points south. any tornadoes will be fast moving...but could contain wind gusts in the f-1 range...73 to 112 mph.

...areas affected...
this statement is for all residents of west central and southwest
florida

...watches and warnings...
a hurricane warning is in effect for the coastline and tidal
shorelines of lee...charlotte...desoto...and sarasota counties.

an inland hurricane warning is in effect for non coastal or non tidal
locations of lee...charlotte...desoto...hardee...highlands and
sarasota counties.

a tropical storm warning is in effect for the coastline and tidal
shorelines of manatee...pinellas...hillsborough...pasco...hernando
citrus and levy counties.

an inland tropical storm warning is in effect for non coastal or
non tidal locations of manatee...pinellas...hillsborough...polk...
pasco...hernando...citrus...sumter and levy counties.

a flash flood watch remains in effect for charlotte and lee counties
through monday afternoon.

...storm information...
at 5 pm edt...the center of hurricane wilma was located near
latitude 23.5 north...longitude 84.9 west or about 285 miles
southwest of fort myers and 345 miles southwest of tampa.
wilma was moving to the northeast at 11 mph...and a gradual
increase in forward speed will begin later this evening.

...wind impacts...

dangerous winds are expected late tonight and early monday in
lee county and possibly charlotte...desoto...and highlands county

winds will rapidly increase to tropical storm force in the
coastal waters between 9 pm and midnight south of englewood...and
between 11 pm and 2 am south of tarpon springs. the latest track
will bring tropical storm force gusts onshore in lee and charlotte
counties around midnight...with sustained tropical storm force winds
and hurricane force gusts in squalls by 3 am. a brief period of
sustained hurricane force winds...75 to 80 mph...is expected
between 6 and 9 am. because wilma is expected to maintain at
least high category 2 strength while accelerating inland...gusts to
100 mph are possible in stronger squalls.

farther north in the hurricane and inland hurricane warning areas...
sustained tropical storm force winds with possible hurricane force
gusts should arrive by 4 am...with the highest winds...50 to 65 mph
with gusts of 75 to 85 mph...between 7 and 10 am...perhaps up to 11
am in highlands county.

in the tampa bay area and points north through hernando county...
tropical storm force sustained winds should arrive around or soon
after 5 am...with the highest winds...40 to 50 mph with gusts up to
65 mph...expected between 7 and 11 am.

impacts for charlotte and lee county include:

poorly constructed or unsecured mobile homes will be
heavily damaged or destroyed. others will have substantial damage to
roofs...walls...and windows...and will likely be uninhabitable until
repaired. houses of poor to average construction will have partial
wall and roof failure...as well as blown out windows. most lanai
screens and pool cages will have damage...some will be destroyed.
unsecured light to moderate weight outdoor items will become
projectiles...causing additional damage and perhaps injury. many
areas will have power outages...hundreds of wires will fall...
transformers will pop...and some power poles will be pulled down.

rotting large trees will be uprooted...most common on saturated
ground. numerous large branches of healthy trees will snap...and
moderate damage is expected in citrus orchards. up to one half
of newly planted crops will be damaged.

impacts for sarasota...desoto...highlands...and hardee county
include:

older mobile homes will experience moderate to substantial damage.
some of poor construction will be uninhabitable until repaired.
houses of poor to average construction will have damage to shingles
...siding...and gutters. some windows will be blown out. many
lanai screens and pool cages will be damaged. unfastened home
items of light to moderate weight will become airborne...causing
additional damage and possible injury. dozens of wires will be
blown down. local power outages will affect entire neighborhoods.

many large branches of healthy trees will be snapped...and rotting
small to medium sized trees will be uprooted. dozens of palm fronds
will be blown down...and minor damage will occur to citrus orchards
and newly planted lowland crops.

impacts for the tampa bay and lakeland areas include:

minor damage will occur to many mobile homes. poorly constructed
homes may receive some wall damage and partial roof removal. a
few houses may have minor damage to roof shingles and siding. a
few pool cages and lanai screens will be damaged. unsecured light
weight items may become projectiles...causing additional damage.
some electrical wires will be blown down...and local power outages
are likely.

most newly planted trees and shrubs will be damaged or uprooted.
some rotting small trees will be uprooted...and rotten large
branches will snap. numerous small twigs will separate from trees.
a few palm fronds will be blown down.

...surge impacts...
tides continue running around a half foot above normal at gaging
points from the tampa bay area south early this afternoon. tidal
departures will vary greatly by late tonight and monday...highly
dependent on the track of the center of wilma. based on the current
track the greatest threat of storm surge is south of lee county.

however...as wilma approaches...tides should rise ahead of the
arrival...including locations just to the northwest of the track.
thus...tidal departures may range up to 2 feet above normal
overnight in charlotte and lee counties...and up to 1 foot above
normal elsewhere...before winds turn more north or northeasterly
and evacuate water from many of these areas.

tides may rise once again monday afternoon along west facing
beaches of lee county...including bonita beach...fort myers
beach...and the north end of sanibel and southwest portion of pine
island. storm tides could reach 4 feet or higher...which may
produce run up...overwash...or minor nuisance flooding.

please note that any slight shift up the coast will greatly
increase the threat for minor to moderate storm surge flooding in
lee county.

...flood impacts...
very little rain has fallen across west central and southwest florida
during the morning hours...however scattered showers and isolated
thunderstorms are expected to develop and increase across the region
the remainder of the afternoon hours as hurricane wilma gets closer
to the region. these rains may produce locally heavy rainfall amounts
across west central and southwest florida. brief ponding of water on
roadways and perhaps minor flooding of low lying areas will be
possible.

the threat of flooding will increase tonight through monday
as bands of heavy rain from hurricane wilma overspread the area.
rainfall will generally range from 1 inch in levy county...1 to 2
inches with locally 3 inches in heavier bands from tampa to lakeland
and points north...2 to 4 inches with locally 5 inches elsewhere
north of charlotte and lee county...and 3 to 5 inches with locally 6
inches in charlotte and lee counties...where a flash flood watch is
in effect.

area rivers remain well below flood stage early this afternoon.
heavy rain may produce minor flooding on the manatee river late
monday...and on the peace and little manatee rivers by midweek.
however...no significant river flooding is expected at this time.

...next statement...
the next hurricane local statement for hurricane wilma will be issued
from the national weather service office in ruskin around 815 pm edt
this evening.
Bulletin - Eas Activation Requested
Tornado Warning
National Weather Service Tampa Bay Area - Ruskin Fl
548 Pm Edt Sun Oct 23 2005

The National Weather Service In Ruskin Has Issued A

* Tornado Warning For...
Northwestern Hardee County In Florida.
Southwestern Polk County In Florida.
Southeastern Hillsborough County In Florida.
Northeastern Manatee County In Florida.

* Until 615 Pm Edt

* At 548 Pm Edt...national Weather Service Doppler Radar Indicated A
Tornado Over Northwestern Hardee County...moving Northwest At 15
Mph.

* The Tornado Will Affect...
Fort Green By 550 Pm Edt.
Fort Lonesome By 615 Pm Edt.

At 545 Pm Edt...emergency Management Officials Also Reported Several
Public Sitings Of A Tornado On The Ground Just Southwest Of Zolfo
Springs.

This Is A Dangerous Storm! Move Into The Interior Room On The Lowest
Floor Of A Sturdy Building...away From Windows. Cover Your Head And
Body With Pillows Or Blankets.
This morning had a strangeness to it.....quiet, sullen, humid....not a breath of wind, not a bird sound. You didn't have to watch the news to know something was about to happen. Now, a light rain and thunder in the distance....showtime, I guess.

Katie, Bob, and everyone else in florida....keep your head down and stay safe.

The Harley is sleeping in the living room tonight!
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