08-27-2017, 10:02 PM
![[Image: two_atl_0d0.png?280233]](http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/xgtwo/two_atl_0d0.png?280233)
![[Image: two_atl_5d0.png]](http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/xgtwo/two_atl_5d0.png)
ZCZC MIATWOAT ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 PM EDT Sun Aug 27 2017
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Harvey, located inland over southeastern Texas.
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Potential
Tropical Cyclone Ten, located off the southeast U.S. coast.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent.
1. A tropical wave located near the coast of western Africa is
producing a large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms.
Environmental conditions appear conducive for gradual development
of this system while it moves westward at 15 to 20 mph over the
tropical Atlantic during the next several days.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent.
Public Advisories on Potential Tropical Cyclone Ten are issued under
WMO header WTNT35 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPAT5.
Forecast/Advisories on Potential Tropical Cyclone Ten are issued
under WMO header WTNT25 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMAT5.
Forecaster Cangialosi/Brennan
JM
Quote: The next African tropical wave may develop
A tropical wave emerging from the coast of Africa on Sunday night is expected to develop into a tropical depression by Friday over the central tropical Atlantic, according to the 12Z Sunday runs of our top three models for predicting tropical cyclone genesis--the European, GFS, and UKMET models. The wave is predicted to head west to west-northwest at 15 – 20 mph, reaching the northern Lesser Antilles Islands no earlier than Tuesday, September 5. However, the storm is emerging from Africa fairly far to the north, and has a good chance of turning more to the northwest by the weekend and missing the Lesser Antilles Islands entirely. In its tropical weather outlook issued at 8 pm EDT Sunday, the National Hurricane Center gave this new wave 2-day and 5-day odds of development of 0% and 40%, respectively.
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