ZCZC MIATWOAT ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 AM EDT SUN JUN 19 2016
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
1. A low pressure system located over the central Bay of Campeche
about 200 miles east of Tuxpan, Mexico is producing an area of
showers and thunderstorms over the southwestern Gulf of Mexico.
The low is moving westward to west-northwestward at around 10 mph
and is forecast to reach the coast of eastern Mexico on Monday.
Although upper-level winds are only marginally conducive, a tropical
depression is still likely to form later today or on Monday.
An Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft is scheduled to
investigate the low this afternoon, if necessary. Regardless of
whether or not a tropical cyclone develops, areas of heavy rain are
expected over portions of eastern Mexico tonight through Tuesday.
These rains could could cause life-threatening flash floods and
mud slides, especially in areas of high terrain. For additional
information on this system, see High Seas Forecasts issued by the
National Weather Service.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...
70 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...
70 percent
High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service are
available under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and
on the Web at
http://www.opc.ncep.noaa.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.shtml.
Forecaster Cangialosi
![[Image: two_atl_5d0.png]](http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/xgtwo/two_atl_5d0.png)
000
NOUS42 KNHC 181528
REPRPD
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
1130 AM EDT SAT 18 JUNE 2016
SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
VALID 19/1100Z TO 20/1100Z JUNE 2016
TCPOD NUMBER.....16-023
I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. SUSPECT AREA (BAY OF CAMPECHE)
FLIGHT ONE -- TEAL 71 FLIGHT TWO -- TEAL 72
A. 19/1800Z A. 20/0530Z,1130Z
B. AFXXX 01BBA INVEST B. AFXXX 0204A CYCLONE
C. 19/1530Z C. 20/0300Z
D. 21.5N 95.0W D. 22.0N 96.5W
E. 19/1730Z TO 19/2230Z E. 20/0500Z TO 20/1130Z
F. SFC TO 10,000 FT F. SFC TO 10,000 FT
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
$$
SEF
.
.
AL, 94, 2016061906, , BEST, 0, 199N, 930W, 25, 1009, LO, 34, NEQ, 0, 0, 0, 0, 1012, 150, 30, 35, 0, L, 0, , 0, 0, INVEST
.
.
000
AXNT20 KNHC 191028
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
628 AM EDT SUN JUN 19 2016
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 32N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on
0600 UTC surface analysis and
satellite imagery through
1030 UTC.
...SPECIAL FEATURE...
A large low pressure system, centered over the central Bay of
Campeche is producing widespread cloudiness and disorganized
showers and thunderstorms over much of the Bay of Campeche,
southern Gulf of Mexico, the Yucatan peninsula and the far NW
Caribbean. The low is moving westward to west-northwestward at
around 10 mph and is forecast to reach the coast of eastern Mexico
on Monday. Although upper-level winds are only marginally
conducive, there is still a high chance for a
tropical depression
to form during the next day or so. Please refer to the Atlantic
Tropical Weather Outlook under AWIPS/WMO headers TWOAT/ABNT20 KNHC
for more details.